2024 United States presidential election in Texas
2024 United States presidential election in Texas Turnout 61.15% (of registered voters) 5.58 pp
County results
Congressional district results
Trump
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Harris
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Texas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas had 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.[ 1]
Texas was considered by some to be potentially in play, as the state had not backed a Republican for president by double digits since it favored Mitt Romney in 2012 . This increased competitiveness was largely explained by the fast-growing Texas Triangle trending leftwards in some elections, namely in the closely-contested 2018 U.S. Senate race and the 2020 U.S. presidential election , which saw the Metroplex county of Tarrant and the Greater Austin counties of Williamson and Hays flip to the Democratic candidate for the first time in decades. However, in the 2020 state elections , predominantly Hispanic South Texas shifted significantly rightward, a trend that the rest of the state followed in the 2022 midterms .[ 2] [ 3] In 2024, Trump went on to win Texas by a margin of over 1.5 million votes, the second-largest margin of victory for any presidential candidate in Texas history.[ 4] Trump won 242 out of the state's 254 counties, the most for a Republican since 1972 .[citation needed ]
Trump’s 13.7 percent margin was significantly greater than his single-digit margins in 2016 and 2020 . Trump significantly outperformed his polling averages in the state and became the first presidential candidate to win Texas by double digits since 2012 , reversing the trend towards Democrats that Texas had exhibited in the two previous presidential elections. According to exit polls, 55% of Latinos in the state voted for Trump.[ 5] Data also showed that Trump made large inroads with Asian-American voters in Texas, who awarded him 58% of their votes.[ 6] This marked the first time a Republican candidate won a majority of both Asian and Latino voters in Texas. Such rightward trends by these groups were replicated nationwide.
Trump became the first presidential candidate to receive over 6 million votes in Texas, setting a record for the most votes received by a candidate in any election in the state, as well as the largest vote total ever received by a Republican presidential candidate in any state in American history.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Texas Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday , March 5, 2024. Incumbent president Joe Biden won the state in a landslide, with minor opposition from various other candidates, particularly in the Lower Rio Grande Valley region. Biden lost Loving County , in which there was only one ballot cast for Frankie Lozada.
Popular vote share by county 40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
>90%
No votes
Republican primary
The Texas Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday , March 5, 2024. Former president Donald Trump easily won the state and all of its delegates against Nikki Haley , who remained his only major opposition. Trump received the endorsements of U.S. senators John Cornyn and Ted Cruz , as well as Texas governor Greg Abbott , in his primary campaign.
Popular vote share by county 50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
>90%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. independent bid
The Texas Secretary of State 's office announced on August 8 that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would appear on the state ballot.[ 9] Kennedy later dropped out of the race nationally on August 23.[ 10] [ 11]
General election
Candidates
The following presidential candidates have received ballot access in Texas:[ 12]
In addition, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was on the ballot under the Texas Independent Party before he suspended his campaign.
Predictions
Source
Ranking
As of
Cook Political Report [ 13]
Likely R
August 27, 2024
Inside Elections [ 14]
Likely R
August 29, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball [ 15]
Likely R
September 25, 2024
Decision Desk HQ /The Hill [ 16]
Likely R
October 4, 2024
CNN [ 17]
Solid R
January 14, 2024
The Economist [ 18]
Likely R
June 13, 2024
538 [ 19]
Likely R
October 5, 2024
CNalysis [ 20]
Lean R
November 4, 2024
NBC News [ 21]
Likely R
October 6, 2024
YouGov [ 22]
Lean R
October 16, 2024
Split Ticket [ 23]
Likely R
November 1, 2024
Polling
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation
Dates administered
Dates updated
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Donald TrumpRepublican
Undecided[ a]
Margin
270ToWin [ 24]
October 18 – November 3, 2024
November 3, 2024
44.4%
51.8%
3.8%
Trump +7.4%
538 [ 25]
through November 3, 2024
November 3, 2024
43.8%
51.7%
4.5%
Trump +7.9%
Silver Bulletin [ 26]
through November 3, 2024
November 3, 2024
44.3%
51.4%
4.3%
Trump +7.1%
The Hill /DDHQ [ 27]
through October 29, 2024
November 3, 2024
44.2%
51.8%
4.0%
Trump +7.6%
Average
44.2%
51.7%
4.1%
Trump +7.5%
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[ 28]
November 3–4, 2024
2,434 (LV)
± 2.0%
55%
44%
1%
Morning Consult [ 29]
October 22−31, 2024
2,120 (LV)
± 2.0%
52%
45%
3%
ActiVote[ 30]
October 21−27, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
55%
45%
–
New York Times /Siena College [ 31]
October 23−26, 2024
1,180 (RV)
± 3.3%
52%
41%
7%
1,180 (LV)
52%
42%
6%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [ 32] [ A]
October 24–25, 2024
1,002 (LV)
± 3.0%
50%
44%
6%[ c]
CES /YouGov [ 33]
October 1–25, 2024
6,526 (A)
–
51%
47%
2%
6,473 (LV)
51%
47%
2%
Emerson College [ 34]
October 18−21, 2024
815 (LV)
± 3.4%
53%
46%
1%[ d]
53% [ e]
46%
1%[ d]
Rose Institute /YouGov [ 35]
October 7–17, 2024
1,108 (RV)
± 3.5%
49%
44%
7%[ f]
1,108 (RV)
50% [ e]
45%
5%
1,075 (LV)
51%
46%
3%
ActiVote[ 36]
September 26 − October 16, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
56%
44%
–
Morning Consult [ 29]
October 6−15, 2024
2,048 (LV)
± 2.0%
50%
46%
4%
Marist College [ 37]
October 3–7, 2024
1,365 (RV)
± 3.3%
52%
46%
2%[ g]
1,186 (LV)
± 3.6%
53%
46%
1%
Mainstreet Research /Florida Atlantic University [ 38]
October 2–6, 2024
811 (RV)
± 3.4%
50%
45%
5%[ h]
775 (LV)
50%
45%
5%[ h]
New York Times /Siena College [ 39]
September 29 – October 6, 2024
617 (LV)
± 5.0%
50%
44%
6%
RMG Research[ 40] [ B]
September 25–27, 2024
779 (LV)
± 3.5%
51%
45%
3%[ i]
53% [ e]
46%
1%
Public Policy Polling (D) [ 41] [ C]
September 25–26, 2024
759 (RV)
± 3.5%
51%
46%
3%
Emerson College [ 42]
September 22−24, 2024
950 (LV)
± 3.1%
51%
46%
3%[ d]
52% [ e]
47%
1%[ d]
ActiVote[ 43]
September 7−24, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
54%
46%
–
Morning Consult [ 29]
September 9−18, 2024
2,716 (LV)
± 2.0%
50%
46%
4%
Morning Consult [ 29]
August 30 – September 8, 2024
2,940 (LV)
± 2.0%
52%
43%
5%
Emerson College [ 44]
September 3–5, 2024
845 (LV)
± 3.3%
50%
46%
4%
51% [ e]
48%
1%[ j]
YouGov [ 45] [ D]
August 23–31, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
49%
44%
7%[ k]
ActiVote[ 46]
August 14–31, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
54.5%
45.5%
–
Quantus Insights (R)[ 47]
August 29–30, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 3.1%
49%
42%
9%[ l]
52%
44%
4%[ m]
August 23, 2024
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D) [ 48] [ C]
August 21–22, 2024
725 (RV)
± 3.6%
49%
44%
6%
August 19–22, 2024
Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[ 49]
July 31 – August 13, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
53%
47%
–
August 6, 2024
Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
July 21, 2024
Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024
Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024
Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
YouGov [ 50] [ E]
January 11–24, 2024
1,500 (RV)
± 2.5%
52%
39%
9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[ 51]
May 8–17, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 2.9%
46%
39%
15%[ n]
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Cornel WestIndependent
Jill SteinGreen
Chase OliverLibertarian
Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[ 28]
November 3–4, 2024
2,434 (LV)
± 2.0%
54%
44%
−
1%
0%
1%
Cygnal (R)[ 52]
October 26−28, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
51%
43%
−
2%
2%
2%
New York Times /Siena College [ 31]
October 23−26, 2024
1,180 (RV)
± 3.3%
50%
40%
−
2%
2%
6%
1,180 (LV)
51%
40%
−
1%
1%
7%
UT Tyler [ 53]
October 14–21, 2024
1,129 (RV)
± 3.0%
51%
45%
–
1%
2%
1%
956 (LV)
51%
46%
–
1%
1%
1%
YouGov [ 54] [ D]
October 2–10, 2024
1,091 (LV)
± 3.0%
51%
46%
–
2%
1%
–
CWS Research (R)[ 55] [ F]
October 1–4, 2024
533 (LV)
± 4.2%
48%
43%
–
2%
1%
6%
University of Houston [ 56]
September 26 – October 10, 2024
1,329 (LV)
± 2.7%
51%
46%
–
1%
0%
2%
Public Policy Polling (D) [ 41] [ C]
September 25–26, 2024
759 (RV)
± 3.5%
49%
44%
0%
1%
–
6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[ 57]
September 13–18, 2024
1,200 (LV)
± 2.9%
50%
44%
–
1%
1%
4%
CWS Research (R)[ 58] [ G]
September 4–9, 2024
504 (LV)
± 4.4%
51%
41%
–
0%
2%
6%
Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D)[ 59]
August 24–29, 2024
800 (RV)
± 3.5%
51%
43%
–
2%
2%
2%
YouGov [ 45] [ D]
August 23–31, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
49%
44%
–
2%
0%
5%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Robert Kennedy JrIndependent
Cornel WestIndependent
Jill SteinGreen
Chase OliverLibertarian
Other / Undecided
New York Times /Siena College [ 39]
September 29 – October 6, 2024
617 (LV)
± 5.0%
49%
42%
0%
0%
2%
2%
5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [ 60] [ C]
August 21–22, 2024
725 (RV)
± 3.6%
45%
42%
6%
1%
0%
–
6%
University of Houston [ 61]
August 5–16, 2024
1,365 (LV)
± 2.7%
50%
45%
2%
–
1%
1%
1%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Other / Undecided
ActiVote[ 62]
June 25 – July 18, 2024
400 (LV)
± 4.9%
54%
46%
–
Remington Research Group (R)[ 63]
June 29 – July 1, 2024
589 (LV)
± 4.0%
49%
39%
12%
Manhattan Institute [ 64]
June 25–27, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
52%
41%
7%
UT Tyler [ 65]
June 11–20, 2024
1,144 (RV)
± 3.7%
46%
40%
14%
931 (LV)
± 3.8%
48%
43%
9%
YouGov [ 66] [ D]
May 31 – June 9, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
46%
39%
15%[ o]
YouGov [ 67] [ D]
April 12–22, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 3.3%
48%
40%
12%[ p]
John Zogby Strategies [ 68] [ H]
April 13–21, 2024
743 (LV)
–
50%
40%
10%
Cygnal (R)[ 69]
April 4–6, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 2.9%
51%
42%
7%
Marist College [ 70]
March 18–21, 2024
1,117 (RV)
± 3.8%
55%
44%
1%
Mainstreet Research /Florida Atlantic University [ 71]
February 29 – March 3, 2024
489 (RV)
–
50%
42%
8%
458 (LV)
51%
42%
7%
UT Tyler [ 72]
February 18–26, 2024
1,167 (RV)
± 3.2%
46%
42%
12%
YouGov [ 73] [ D]
February 2–12, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 3.4%
48%
41%
11%[ q]
YouGov [ 50] [ E]
January 11–24, 2024
1,145 (LV)
± 2.5%
49%
40%
11%
Emerson College [ 74] [ I]
January 13–15, 2024
1,315 (RV)
± 2.6%
49%
41%
10%
YouGov [ 75] [ D]
December 1–10, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
45%
39%
16%
YouGov [ 76] [ D]
October 5–17, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
45%
37%
18%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[ 51]
May 8–17, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 2.9%
44%
42%
14%[ r]
CWS Research (R)[ 77] [ J]
April 17–21, 2023
677 (LV)
± 3.8%
45%
42%
13%
Emerson College [ 78]
October 17–19, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
47%
40%
13%
Emerson College [ 79]
September 20–22, 2022
1,000 (LV)
± 3.0%
49%
40%
11%
Echelon Insights[ 80]
August 31 – September 7, 2022
813 (LV)
± 4.4%
48%
43%
9%
Blueprint Polling (D)[ 81]
June 8–10, 2022
603 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
38%
17%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent
Cornel WestIndependent
Jill SteinGreen
Other / Undecided
YouGov [ 82] [ K]
June 20 – July 1, 2024
1,484 (LV)
± 2.5%
49%
40%
5%
–
2%
4%[ s]
Manhattan Institute [ 64]
June 25–27, 2024
600 (LV)
± 4.0%
45%
36%
7%
1%
0%
11%[ t]
UT Tyler [ 65]
June 11–20, 2024
1,144 (RV)
± 3.7%
46%
38%
12%
–
1%
3%[ u]
931 (LV)
± 3.8%
47%
41%
8%
–
1%
3%[ u]
YouGov [ 66] [ D]
May 31 – June 9, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
43%
34%
8%
2%
2%
11%
YouGov [ 67] [ D]
April 12–22, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 3.3%
45%
36%
8%
2%
2%
7%
Texas Lyceum[ 83]
April 12–21, 2024
926 (RV)
± 3.2%
41%
31%
11%
1%
1%
15%[ v]
Cygnal (R)[ 69]
April 4–6, 2024
1,000 (RV)
± 2.9%
46%
37%
8%
1%
2%
6%
UT Tyler [ 72]
February 18–26, 2024
1,167 (RV)
± 3.2%
41%
37%
13%
6%
3%
–
YouGov [ 73] [ D]
February 2–12, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 3.4%
45%
36%
6%
3%
2%
8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[ 84]
February 1–3, 2024
605 (LV)
± 4.0%
44%
35%
6%
1%
1%
13%
Emerson College [ 74] [ I]
January 13–15, 2024
1,315 (RV)
± 2.6%
46%
36%
5%
1%
1%
11%
YouGov [ 75] [ D]
December 1–10, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
42%
34%
8%
3%
2%
12%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other / Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[ 85]
April 5–10, 2024
1,600 (LV)
± 2.45%
46%
34%
9%
11%[ w]
Marist College [ 70]
March 18–21, 2024
1,117 (RV)
± 3.8%
48%
36%
15%
1%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Jill SteinGreen
Other / Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[ 85]
April 5–10, 2024
1,600 (LV)
± 2.45%
48%
36%
3%
13%[ x]
YouGov [ 50] [ E]
January 11–24, 2024
1,500 (RV)
± 2.5%
49%
40%
3%
8%[ y]
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent
Joe ManchinNo Labels
Cornel WestIndependent
Other / Undecided
National Public Affairs[ 86]
February 6–8, 2024
807 (LV)
± 3.5%
42%
35%
6%
4%
3%
9%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Donald TrumpRepublican
Robert Kennedy Jr.Independent
Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [ 68] [ H]
April 13–21, 2024
743 (LV)
–
45%
40%
15%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Robert Kennedy Jr.Independent
Joe BidenDemocratic
Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies [ 68] [ H]
April 13–21, 2024
743 (LV)
–
53%
35%
12%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Nikki HaleyRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Other / Undecided
UT Tyler [ 72]
February 18–26, 2024
1,167 (RV)
± 3.2%
42%
36%
22%
YouGov [ 73] [ D]
February 2–12, 2024
1,200 (RV)
± 3.4%
31%
40%
29%[ z]
YouGov [ 50] [ E]
January 11–24, 2024
1,500 (RV)
± 2.5%
43%
39%
18%
YouGov [ 75] [ D]
December 1–10, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
33%
36%
31%
YouGov [ 76] [ D]
October 5–17, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
32%
34%
34%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Nikki HaleyRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent
Cornel WestIndependent
Jill SteinGreen
Other / Undecided
UT Tyler [ 72]
February 18–26, 2024
1,167 (RV)
± 3.2%
33%
36%
20%
7%
3%
1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[ 84]
February 1–3, 2024
605 (LV)
± 4.0%
30%
32%
14%
0%
0%
24%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Ron DeSantisRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Other / Undecided
YouGov [ 75] [ D]
December 1–10, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
39%
37%
24%
YouGov [ 76] [ D]
October 5–17, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
39%
38%
24%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[ 51]
May 8–17, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 2.9%
44%
42%
14%[ aa]
CWS Research (R)[ 77]
April 17–21, 2023
677 (LV)
± 3.8%
44%
40%
16%
Echelon Insights[ 80]
August 31 – September 7, 2022
813 (LV)
± 4.4%
44%
41%
15%
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Ron DeSantisRepublican
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
Other / Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[ 51]
May 8–17, 2023
1,000 (RV)
± 2.9%
45%
40%
15%[ ab]
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Vivek RamaswamyRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Other / Undecided
YouGov [ 75] [ D]
December 1–10, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
34%
37%
30%
YouGov [ 76] [ D]
October 5–17, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
33%
36%
32%
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Mike PenceRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Other / Undecided
YouGov [ 76] [ D]
October 5–17, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
29%
36%
36%
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size[ b]
Margin of error
Tim ScottRepublican
Joe BidenDemocratic
Other / Undecided
YouGov [ 76] [ D]
October 5–17, 2023
1,200 (RV)
± 2.8%
33%
34%
33%
Results
By county
County
Donald Trump Republican
Kamala Harris Democratic
Various candidates Other parties
Margin
Total
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Anderson
15,597
80.48%
3,635
18.76%
149
0.76%
11,962
61.72%
19,381
Andrews
5,205
85.81%
806
13.29%
55
0.90%
4,399
72.52%
6,066
Angelina
26,049
75.56%
8,146
23.63%
281
0.81%
17,903
51.93%
34,476
Aransas
10,090
77.43%
2,831
21.73%
110
0.84%
7,259
55.70%
13,031
Archer
4,592
89.48%
520
10.13%
20
0.39%
4,072
79.35%
5,132
Armstrong
1,029
92.79%
77
6.94%
3
0.27%
952
85.85%
1,109
Atascosa
13,142
71.16%
5,153
27.90%
173
0.94%
7,989
43.26%
18,468
Austin
12,457
80.81%
2,816
18.27%
142
0.92%
9,641
62.54%
15,415
Bailey
1,395
80.13%
332
19.07%
14
0.80%
1,063
61.06%
1,741
Bandera
10,939
80.43%
2,532
18.62%
129
0.95%
8,407
61.81%
13,600
Bastrop
23,301
58.37%
15,989
40.06%
627
1.57%
7,312
18.31%
39,917
Baylor
1,471
87.82%
184
10.99%
20
1.19%
1,287
76.83%
1,675
Bee
6,111
69.44%
2,606
29.61%
83
0.95%
3,505
39.83%
8,800
Bell
75,161
57.37%
53,973
41.20%
1,879
1.43%
21,188
16.17%
131,013
Bexar
337,545
44.39%
411,389
54.10%
11,529
1.51%
−73,844
−9.71%
760,463
Blanco
6,447
75.64%
1,973
23.15%
103
1.21%
4,474
52.49%
8,523
Borden
370
95.61%
16
4.13%
1
0.26%
354
91.48%
387
Bosque
7,969
83.13%
1,524
15.90%
93
0.97%
6,445
67.23%
9,586
Bowie
27,122
73.88%
9,282
25.28%
307
0.84%
17,840
48.60%
36,711
Brazoria
95,867
59.16%
63,976
39.48%
2,203
1.36%
31,891
19.68%
162,046
Brazos
56,671
61.63%
33,844
36.80%
1,446
1.57%
22,827
24.83%
91,961
Brewster
2,545
55.59%
1,969
43.01%
64
1.40%
576
12.58%
4,578
Briscoe
666
89.40%
72
9.66%
7
0.94%
594
79.74%
745
Brooks
1,077
44.84%
1,308
54.45%
17
0.71%
−231
−9.61%
2,402
Brown
14,593
86.59%
2,132
12.65%
128
0.76%
12,461
73.94%
16,853
Burleson
7,590
81.01%
1,705
18.20%
74
0.79%
5,885
62.81%
9,369
Burnet
21,795
77.42%
6,114
21.72%
244
0.86%
15,681
55.70%
28,153
Caldwell
8,880
56.43%
6,618
42.05%
239
1.52%
2,262
14.38%
15,737
Calhoun
5,939
75.74%
1,853
23.63%
49
0.63%
4,086
52.11%
7,841
Callahan
6,180
88.44%
761
10.89%
47
0.67%
5,419
77.55%
6,988
Cameron
60,991
52.44%
54,258
46.65%
1,060
0.91%
6,733
5.79%
116,309
Camp
4,011
76.36%
1,201
22.86%
41
0.78%
2,810
53.50%
5,253
Carson
2,866
90.21%
290
9.13%
21
0.66%
2,576
81.08%
3,177
Cass
11,693
82.68%
2,406
17.01%
44
0.31%
9,287
65.67%
14,143
Castro
1,594
78.79%
418
20.66%
11
0.55%
1,176
58.13%
2,023
Chambers
20,567
82.36%
4,192
16.79%
214
0.85%
16,375
65.57%
24,973
Cherokee
16,593
80.91%
3,744
18.26%
170
0.83%
12,849
62.65%
20,507
Childress
1,991
87.63%
263
11.58%
18
0.79%
1,728
76.05%
2,272
Clay
5,288
89.51%
584
9.88%
36
0.61%
4,704
79.63%
5,908
Cochran
735
82.31%
148
16.57%
10
1.12%
587
65.74%
893
Coke
1,623
89.47%
179
9.87%
12
0.66%
1,444
79.60%
1,814
Coleman
3,712
89.15%
428
10.28%
24
0.57%
3,284
78.87%
4,164
Collin
279,534
54.00%
222,115
42.91%
16,041
3.09%
57,419
11.09%
517,690
Collingsworth
1,066
88.76%
135
11.24%
0
0.00%
931
77.52%
1,201
Colorado
7,824
78.15%
2,108
21.05%
80
0.80%
5,716
57.10%
10,012
Comal
74,756
72.23%
27,680
26.75%
1,055
1.02%
47,076
45.48%
103,491
Comanche
5,679
86.78%
834
12.74%
31
0.48%
4,845
74.04%
6,544
Concho
1,038
86.64%
153
12.77%
7
0.59%
885
73.87%
1,198
Cooke
16,975
82.86%
3,310
16.16%
202
0.98%
13,665
66.70%
20,487
Coryell
16,688
69.75%
6,959
29.09%
279
1.16%
9,729
40.66%
23,926
Cottle
565
85.87%
89
13.53%
4
0.60%
476
72.34%
658
Crane
1,195
85.97%
186
13.38%
9
0.65%
1,009
72.59%
1,390
Crockett
1,087
76.71%
323
22.79%
7
0.50%
764
53.92%
1,417
Crosby
1,416
75.32%
451
23.99%
13
0.69%
965
51.33%
1,880
Culberson
451
57.75%
319
40.85%
11
1.40%
132
16.90%
781
Dallam
1,285
88.80%
152
10.50%
10
0.70%
1,133
78.30%
1,447
Dallas
322,569
37.79%
511,118
59.88%
19,847
2.33%
-188,549
-22.09%
853,534
Dawson
2,810
79.99%
667
18.99%
36
1.02%
2,143
61.00%
3,513
Deaf Smith
3,233
75.43%
1,019
23.78%
34
0.79%
2,214
51.65%
4,286
Delta
2,250
84.65%
397
14.94%
11
0.41%
1,853
69.71%
2,658
Denton
250,521
55.77%
191,503
42.63%
7,164
1.60%
59,018
13.14%
449,188
DeWitt
6,515
83.26%
1,270
16.23%
40
0.51%
5,245
67.03%
7,825
Dickens
844
84.99%
146
14.70%
3
0.31%
698
70.29%
993
Dimmit
1,653
48.23%
1,765
51.50%
9
0.27%
-112
-3.27%
3,427
Donley
1,512
88.32%
174
10.16%
26
1.52%
1,338
78.16%
1,712
Duval
2,439
54.67%
2,003
44.90%
19
0.43%
436
9.77%
4,461
Eastland
7,397
88.44%
918
10.98%
49
0.58%
6,479
77.46%
8,364
Ector
32,429
75.96%
9,881
23.15%
380
0.89%
22,548
52.81%
42,690
Edwards
869
86.47%
133
13.23%
3
0.30%
736
73.24%
1,005
El Paso
105,124
41.72%
143,156
56.81%
3,725
1.47%
-38,032
-15.09%
252,005
Ellis
64,763
64.88%
33,850
33.91%
1,205
1.21%
30,913
30.97%
99,818
Erath
15,349
83.42%
2,871
15.60%
180
0.98%
12,478
67.82%
18,400
Falls
4,520
72.01%
1,713
27.29%
44
0.70%
2,807
44.72%
6,277
Fannin
13,648
83.24%
2,607
15.90%
140
0.86%
11,041
67.34%
16,395
Fayette
10,699
80.09%
2,515
18.83%
145
1.08%
8,184
61.26%
13,359
Fisher
1,487
81.08%
330
17.99%
17
0.93%
1,157
63.09%
1,834
Floyd
1,715
82.06%
358
17.13%
17
0.81%
1,357
64.93%
2,090
Foard
448
82.20%
92
16.88%
5
0.92%
356
65.32%
545
Fort Bend
173,592
47.75%
179,310
49.33%
10,613
2.92%
-5,718
-1.58%
363,515
Franklin
4,473
84.22%
813
15.31%
25
0.47%
3,660
68.91%
5,311
Freestone
7,500
82.85%
1,499
16.56%
53
0.59%
6,001
66.29%
9,052
Frio
3,060
61.96%
1,848
37.42%
31
0.62%
1,212
24.54%
4,939
Gaines
5,840
91.02%
538
8.39%
38
0.59%
5,302
82.63%
6,416
Galveston
100,295
62.91%
56,732
35.59%
2,397
1.50%
43,563
27.32%
159,424
Garza
1,374
85.93%
213
13.32%
12
0.75%
1,161
72.61%
1,599
Gillespie
13,202
80.05%
3,160
19.16%
130
0.79%
10,042
60.89%
16,492
Glasscock
623
93.97%
38
5.73%
2
0.30%
585
88.24%
663
Goliad
3,178
79.71%
778
19.51%
31
0.78%
2,400
60.20%
3,987
Gonzales
5,981
76.99%
1,729
22.26%
59
0.75%
4,252
54.73%
7,769
Gray
6,691
88.27%
845
11.15%
44
0.58%
5,846
77.12%
7,580
Grayson
50,556
76.55%
14,800
22.41%
685
1.04%
35,756
54.14%
66,041
Gregg
33,026
70.66%
13,294
28.44%
418
0.90%
19,732
42.22%
46,738
Grimes
11,197
79.69%
2,734
19.46%
120
0.85%
8,463
60.23%
14,051
Guadalupe
54,691
64.08%
29,573
34.66%
1,086
1.27%
25,118
29.43%
85,350
Hale
7,283
78.44%
1,903
20.50%
99
1.06%
5,380
57.94%
9,285
Hall
992
86.34%
149
12.97%
8
0.69%
843
73.37%
1,149
Hamilton
3,809
85.02%
625
13.95%
46
1.03%
3,184
71.07%
4,480
Hansford
1,842
92.15%
146
7.30%
11
0.55%
1,696
84.85%
1,999
Hardeman
1,210
86.12%
188
13.38%
7
0.50%
1,022
72.74%
1,405
Hardin
24,691
87.69%
3,347
11.89%
119
0.42%
21,344
75.80%
28,157
Harris
722,695
46.40%
808,771
51.93%
26,018
1.67%
-86,076
-5.63%
1,557,484
Harrison
22,658
74.92%
7,369
24.37%
216
0.71%
15,289
50.55%
30,243
Hartley
1,843
91.15%
163
8.06%
16
0.79%
1,680
83.09%
2,022
Haskell
1,918
85.36%
313
13.93%
16
0.71%
1,605
71.43%
2,247
Hays
58,438
46.44%
65,528
52.08%
1,861
1.48%
-7,090
-5.64%
125,827
Hemphill
1,412
87.48%
190
11.77%
12
0.75%
1,222
75.71%
1,614
Henderson
31,379
81.29%
6,919
17.92%
305
0.79%
24,460
63.37%
38,603
Hidalgo
110,760
50.98%
104,517
48.11%
1,988
0.91%
6,243
2.87%
217,265
Hill
13,669
81.82%
2,919
17.47%
118
0.71%
10,750
64.35%
16,706
Hockley
6,616
82.59%
1,323
16.51%
72
0.90%
5,293
66.08%
8,011
Hood
30,174
82.32%
6,070
16.56%
412
1.12%
24,104
65.76%
36,656
Hopkins
13,754
81.98%
2,917
17.39%
107
0.63%
10,837
64.59%
16,778
Houston
7,247
77.32%
2,065
22.03%
61
0.65%
5,182
55.29%
9,373
Howard
7,817
81.01%
1,759
18.23%
74
0.76%
6,058
62.78%
9,650
Hudspeth
759
73.12%
275
26.49%
4
0.39%
484
46.63%
1,038
Hunt
36,137
77.33%
10,212
21.85%
384
0.82%
25,925
55.48%
46,733
Hutchinson
7,273
88.09%
913
11.06%
70
0.85%
6,360
77.03%
8,256
Irion
761
87.67%
105
12.10%
2
0.23%
656
75.57%
868
Jack
3,819
90.91%
363
8.64%
19
0.45%
3,456
82.27%
4,201
Jackson
5,386
85.10%
907
14.33%
36
0.57%
4,479
70.77%
6,329
Jasper
13,162
82.99%
2,615
16.49%
83
0.52%
10,547
66.50%
15,860
Jeff Davis
699
59.79%
450
38.49%
20
1.72%
249
21.30%
1,169
Jefferson
46,596
53.91%
38,936
45.05%
901
1.04%
7,660
8.86%
86,433
Jim Hogg
725
45.74%
856
54.01%
4
0.25%
-131
-8.27%
1,585
Jim Wells
7,636
57.55%
5,577
42.03%
55
0.42%
2,059
15.52%
13,268
Johnson
60,752
75.07%
19,247
23.78%
931
1.15%
41,505
51.29%
80,930
Jones
5,988
86.20%
907
13.06%
52
0.74%
5,801
73.14%
6,947
Karnes
4,001
78.84%
1,051
20.71%
23
0.45%
2,950
58.13%
5,075
Kaufman
44,063
63.37%
24,476
35.56%
749
1.07%
19,337
27.81%
69,538
Kendall
22,668
77.00%
6,355
21.59%
415
1.41%
16,313
55.41%
29,438
Kenedy
115
72.68%
41
25.95%
2
1.27%
74
46.83%
158
Kent
390
87.64%
50
11.24%
5
1.12%
340
76.40%
445
Kerr
21,615
76.73%
6,315
22.42%
240
0.85%
15,300
54.31%
28,170
Kimble
2,126
88.44%
261
10.86%
17
0.70%
1,865
77.58%
2,404
King
129
95.56%
6
4.44%
0
0.00%
123
91.12%
135
Kinney
1,063
74.65%
346
24.30%
15
1.05%
717
50.35%
1,424
Kleberg
5,612
55.95%
4,338
43.25%
81
0.80%
1,274
12.70%
10,031
Knox
1,156
84.01%
214
15.55%
6
0.44%
942
68.46%
1,376
Lamar
17,044
80.08%
4,079
19.16%
162
0.76%
12,965
60.92%
21,285
Lamb
3,398
81.62%
729
17.51%
36
0.87%
2,669
64.11%
4,163
Lampasas
8,961
79.15%
2,232
19.72%
128
1.13%
6,729
59.43%
11,321
La Salle
1,417
60.04%
933
39.53%
10
0.43%
484
20.51%
2,360
Lavaca
9,215
87.79%
1,235
11.77%
47
0.44%
7,980
76.02%
10,497
Lee
6,724
79.79%
1,640
19.46%
63
0.75%
5,084
60.33%
8,427
Leon
7,982
87.90%
1,033
11.38%
66
0.72%
6,949
76.52%
9,081
Liberty
25,241
80.58%
5,952
19.00%
130
0.42%
19,289
61.58%
31,323
Limestone
7,081
77.87%
1,921
21.13%
91
1.00%
5,160
56.74%
9,093
Lipscomb
1,125
89.36%
123
9.77%
11
0.87%
1,002
79.59%
1,259
Live Oak
4,307
84.57%
761
14.94%
25
0.49%
3,546
69.63%
5,093
Llano
10,902
79.99%
2,613
19.17%
114
0.84%
8,289
60.82%
13,629
Loving
86
88.26%
10
10.31%
1
1.03%
76
78.35%
97
Lubbock
86,547
69.22%
37,148
29.71%
1,343
1.07%
49,399
39.51%
125,038
Lynn
2,175
84.73%
371
14.45%
21
0.82%
1,804
70.28%
2,567
Madison
4,498
81.95%
964
17.56%
27
0.49%
3,534
64.39%
5,489
Marion
3,577
75.88%
1,101
23.36%
36
0.76%
2,476
52.52%
4,714
Martin
1,825
87.61%
247
11.86%
11
0.53%
1,578
75.75%
2,083
Mason
2,076
82.09%
434
17.16%
19
0.75%
1,642
64.93%
2,529
Matagorda
9,957
74.71%
3,231
24.24%
139
1.05%
6,726
50.47%
13,327
Maverick
9,285
58.97%
6,373
40.48%
87
0.55%
2,912
18.49%
15,745
McCulloch
3,033
86.34%
455
12.95%
25
0.71%
2,578
73.39%
3,513
McLennan
64,606
64.82%
33,863
33.97%
1,203
1.21%
30,743
30.85%
99,672
McMullen
448
91.99%
37
7.60%
2
0.41%
411
84.39%
487
Medina
17,464
70.94%
6,950
28.23%
203
0.83%
10,514
42.71%
24,617
Menard
861
82.79%
170
16.35%
9
0.86%
691
66.44%
1,040
Midland
46,944
79.61%
11,351
19.25%
673
1.14%
35,593
60.36%
58,968
Milam
8,691
78.31%
2,331
21.00%
76
0.69%
6,360
57.31%
11,098
Mills
2,418
88.18%
310
11.31%
14
0.51%
2,108
76.87%
2,742
Mitchell
2,144
85.28%
352
14.00%
18
0.72%
1,792
71.28%
2,514
Montague
9,825
88.33%
1,208
10.86%
90
0.81%
8,617
77.47%
11,123
Montgomery
221,964
72.24%
82,277
26.78%
3,017
0.98%
139,687
45.46%
307,258
Moore
4,458
83.02%
860
16.01%
52
0.97%
3,598
67.01%
5,370
Morris
4,092
75.14%
1,312
24.09%
42
0.77%
2,780
51.05%
5,446
Motley
612
94.15%
35
5.38%
3
0.47%
577
88.77%
650
Nacogdoches
17,575
68.96%
7,690
30.17%
221
0.87%
9,885
38.79%
25,486
Navarro
14,983
75.42%
4,708
23.70%
176
0.88%
10,275
51.72%
19,867
Newton
4,781
83.13%
952
16.55%
18
0.32%
3,829
66.58%
5,751
Nolan
4,048
79.03%
1,020
19.91%
54
1.06%
3,028
59.12%
5,122
Nueces
67,201
55.23%
53,248
43.76%
1,229
1.01%
13,593
11.47%
121,678
Ochiltree
2,723
90.32%
269
8.92%
23
0.76%
2,454
81.40%
3,015
Oldham
895
91.61%
74
7.57%
8
0.82%
821
84.04%
977
Orange
30,191
82.99%
5,945
16.34%
241
0.67%
24,246
66.65%
36,377
Palo Pinto
11,093
83.18%
2,143
16.07%
100
0.75%
8,950
67.11%
13,336
Panola
9,500
82.91%
1,905
16.63%
53
0.46%
7,595
66.28%
11,458
Parker
75,168
82.75%
14,872
16.37%
800
0.88%
60,296
66.38%
90,840
Parmer
2,123
84.72%
368
14.68%
15
0.60%
1,755
70.04%
2,506
Pecos
3,042
71.66%
1,144
26.95%
59
1.39%
1,898
44.71%
4,245
Polk
19,216
79.11%
4,910
20.21%
165
0.68%
14,306
58.90%
24,291
Potter
23,007
71.63%
8,748
27.23%
366
1.14%
14,259
44.40%
32,121
Presidio
686
34.40%
1,289
64.64%
19
0.96%
-603
-30.24%
1,994
Rains
5,649
86.01%
869
13.23%
50
0.76%
4,780
72.78%
6,568
Randall
53,314
79.69%
12,935
19.33%
652
0.98%
40,379
60.36%
66,901
Reagan
800
84.30%
141
14.86%
8
0.84%
659
69.44%
949
Real
1,625
82.99%
315
16.09%
18
0.92%
1,310
66.90%
1,958
Red River
4,682
80.78%
1,103
19.03%
11
0.19%
3,579
61.75%
5,796
Reeves
2,340
68.04%
1,070
31.11%
29
0.85%
1,270
36.93%
3,439
Refugio
2,134
69.40%
919
29.89%
22
0.71%
1,215
39.51%
3,075
Roberts
547
95.63%
20
3.50%
5
0.87%
527
92.13%
572
Robertson
6,177
75.59%
1,926
23.57%
69
0.84%
4,251
52.02%
8,172
Rockwall
43,542
69.65%
18,092
28.94%
879
1.41%
25,450
40.71%
62,513
Runnels
3,580
88.26%
452
11.14%
24
0.60%
3,128
77.12%
4,056
Rusk
17,234
79.27%
4,337
19.95%
170
0.78%
12,897
59.32%
21,741
Sabine
4,972
89.09%
590
10.57%
19
0.34%
4,382
78.52%
5,581
San Augustine
2,917
77.85%
809
21.59%
21
0.56%
2,108
56.26%
3,747
San Jacinto
10,524
82.18%
2,175
16.98%
107
0.84%
8,349
65.20%
12,806
San Patricio
17,337
67.78%
8,025
31.37%
217
0.85%
9,312
36.41%
25,579
San Saba
2,412
89.04%
276
10.19%
21
0.77%
2,136
78.85%
2,709
Schleicher
906
81.77%
192
17.33%
10
0.90%
714
64.44%
1,108
Scurry
4,945
86.44%
734
12.83%
42
0.73%
4,211
73.61%
5,721
Shackelford
1,565
90.57%
146
8.45%
17
0.98%
1,419
82.12%
1,728
Shelby
8,164
81.98%
1,741
17.48%
54
0.54%
6,423
64.50%
9,959
Sherman
817
93.26%
48
5.48%
11
1.26%
769
87.78%
876
Smith
74,862
71.85%
28,041
26.91%
1,283
1.24%
46,821
44.94%
104,186
Somervell
4,493
84.87%
751
14.19%
50
0.94%
3,742
70.68%
5,294
Starr
9,487
57.74%
6,862
41.76%
82
0.50%
2,625
15.98%
16,431
Stephens
3,368
89.55%
384
10.21%
9
0.24%
2,984
79.34%
3,761
Sterling
583
92.69%
43
6.84%
3
0.47%
540
85.85%
629
Stonewall
604
84.36%
110
15.36%
2
0.28%
494
69.00%
716
Sutton
1,167
83.30%
228
16.27%
6
0.43%
939
67.03%
1,401
Swisher
1,840
81.24%
403
17.79%
22
0.97%
1,437
63.45%
2,265
Tarrant
426,626
51.82%
384,501
46.70%
12,185
1.48%
42,125
5.12%
823,312
Taylor
41,198
74.34%
13,624
24.58%
595
1.08%
27,574
49.76%
55,417
Terrell
314
77.53%
91
22.47%
0
0.00%
223
55.06%
405
Terry
2,815
82.17%
587
17.13%
24
0.70%
2,228
65.04%
3,426
Throckmorton
823
91.44%
73
8.11%
4
0.45%
750
83.33%
900
Titus
7,861
76.96%
2,275
22.27%
78
0.77%
5,586
54.69%
10,214
Tom Green
33,399
73.47%
11,585
25.48%
477
1.05%
21,814
47.99%
45,461
Travis
170,787
29.25%
398,981
68.32%
14,207
2.43%
-228,194
-39.07%
583,975
Trinity
6,136
83.21%
1,195
16.21%
43
0.58%
4,941
67.00%
7,374
Tyler
8,286
86.38%
1,249
13.02%
58
0.60%
7,037
73.36%
9,593
Upshur
16,939
85.18%
2,820
14.18%
128
0.64%
14,119
71.00%
19,887
Upton
1,149
88.18%
146
11.20%
8
0.62%
1,003
76.98%
1,303
Uvalde
6,482
66.33%
3,218
32.93%
72
0.74%
3,264
33.40%
9,772
Val Verde
9,162
62.70%
5,282
36.15%
168
1.15%
3,880
26.55%
14,612
Van Zandt
24,351
86.98%
3,450
12.32%
196
0.70%
20,901
74.66%
27,997
Victoria
25,010
70.84%
9,998
28.32%
297
0.84%
15,012
42.52%
35,305
Walker
17,515
69.47%
7,461
29.59%
238
0.94%
10,054
39.88%
25,214
Waller
17,077
61.96%
10,183
36.95%
301
1.09%
6,894
25.01%
27,561
Ward
3,115
82.74%
627
16.65%
23
0.61%
2,488
66.09%
3,765
Washington
14,020
76.76%
4,058
22.22%
187
1.02%
9,962
54.54%
18,265
Webb
33,384
50.63%
31,952
48.46%
601
0.91%
1,432
2.17%
65,937
Wharton
12,439
75.52%
3,910
23.74%
122
0.74%
8,529
51.78%
16,471
Wheeler
2,093
92.04%
169
7.43%
12
0.53%
1,924
84.61%
2,274
Wichita
31,818
71.45%
12,237
27.48%
475
1.07%
19,581
43.97%
44,530
Wilbarger
3,566
79.83%
860
19.25%
41
0.92%
2,706
60.58%
4,467
Willacy
2,856
51.34%
2,673
48.05%
34
0.61%
183
3.29%
5,563
Williamson
155,310
50.18%
147,766
47.74%
6,439
2.08%
7,544
2.44%
309,515
Wilson
20,894
76.48%
6,247
22.87%
179
0.65%
14,647
53.61%
27,320
Winkler
1,646
85.15%
283
14.64%
4
0.21%
1,363
70.51%
1,933
Wise
32,385
84.68%
5,605
14.66%
253
0.66%
26,780
70.02%
38,243
Wood
20,621
84.56%
3,618
14.84%
147
0.60%
17,003
69.72%
24,386
Yoakum
2,039
85.06%
342
14.27%
16
0.67%
1,697
70.79%
2,397
Young
7,298
87.78%
962
11.57%
54
0.65%
6,336
76.21%
8,314
Zapata
2,970
60.97%
1,877
38.53%
24
0.50%
1,093
22.44%
4,871
Zavala
1,482
42.44%
1,984
56.82%
26
0.74%
-502
-14.38%
3,492
Totals
6,393,597
56.05%
4,835,250
42.39%
177,339
1.56%
1,558,347
13.66%
11,406,186
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Swing by county
Democratic — +5–7.5%
Democratic — +2.5–5%
Democratic — +0–2.5%
Republican — +0–2.5%
Republican — +2.5–5%
Republican — +5–7.5%
Republican — +7.5–10%
Republican — +10–12.5%
Republican — +12.5–15%
Republican — +>15%
County flips
Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold
Flip
By congressional district
Trump won 27 of 38 congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[ 88] [user-generated source ]
Analysis
A heavily populated West South Central state , Texas is one of the fastest growing and most diverse states in the U.S. and is generally considered to be a red state , not having voted Democratic in a presidential election since 1976 and with Republicans holding all statewide offices since 1999. Texas's location in the American South and largely in the greater Bible Belt has given the Republican Party the upper hand in the state in recent decades.[ 89] Trump received the most raw votes for a political candidate ever in Texas, breaking his own record from 2020 by over 500,000. The Democratic vote total fell by 425,000 between 2020 and 2024. Compared to 2020, Trump improved his performance in 233 counties while Harris improved in 21 counties. Loving and Kaufman counties were the only counties in Texas to swing to the Democrats by more than 5%.[ 90]
Trump flipped 10 counties that voted for Biden in 2020, including multiple heavily Hispanic counties in the Rio Grande Valley and South Texas , including 97.7% Hispanic Starr County , becoming the first Republican to win it since Benjamin Harrison in 1892 (ironically, during the only other election cycle in which a president who served non-consecutive terms was elected).[ 91] [ 92] Trump became the first Republican to win Maverick County since Herbert Hoover in 1928 ,[ 93] the first Republican to win Webb County since William Howard Taft in 1912 ,[ 94] the first Republican to win Duval County since Theodore Roosevelt in 1904 , the first Republican to win Hidalgo County and Willacy County since Richard Nixon in 1972 , and the first Republican to win Cameron County and Culberson County since George W. Bush in 2004 .[ 95] Trump won the 3 largest metro areas in Texas, which include Dallas-Fort Worth (which Trump carried by a margin of about 7 percentage points), Greater Houston (which Trump also carried by about 7 percentage points), and Greater San Antonio (which Trump carried by about 5 percentage points). Trump also carried every other metro area in the state except for Greater Austin and El Paso (though he greatly improved on his 2020 margins in both of these).[ 96] Nevertheless, Trump was the first Republican to win the White House without winning Hays County since Richard Nixon in 1968 .
2024 presidential election in Texas voter demographics[ 97]
Demographic subgroup
Trump
Harris
% of total vote
Ideology
Liberals
12
87
18
Moderates
37
62
38
Conservatives
92
8
44
Party
Democrats
4
95
26
Republicans
97
3
38
Independents
49
48
36
Gender
Men
63
35
48
Women
50
49
52
Race/ethnicity
White
66
33
55
Black
12
86
11
Latino
55
45
26
Asian
55
42
4
Gender by race/ethnicity
White men
70
27
25
White women
62
37
30
Black men
22
77
5
Black women
4
94
6
Latino men
65
35
14
Latina women
41
58
12
All other races
58
40
8
White evangelical or born again Christian
Yes
86
13
23
No
46
53
77
Age
18–29 years old
48
50
14
30–44 years old
55
44
24
45–64 years old
58
41
37
65 and older
59
40
26
First time voter
Yes
77
23
9
No
54
44
91
Education
No college degree
61
38
58
College graduate
49
49
42
Education by race
White college graduates
57
41
27
White no college degree
74
25
29
Non-White college graduates
37
62
16
Non-White no college degree
48
51
29
Military service
Veterans
65
34
18
Non-veterans
54
44
82
Area type
Urban
46
52
42
Suburban
62
37
49
Rural
72
25
9
Biden job approval
Strongly disapprove
98
1
52
Somewhat disapprove
35
60
12
Somewhat approve
4
95
21
Strongly approve
1
99
15
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S.
Dissatisfied
50
48
40
Angry
86
13
37
Satisfied
15
85
15
Enthusiastic
n/a
n/a
8
Quality of candidate that mattered most
Has ability to lead
70
29
29
Can bring needed change
69
29
29
Has good judgment
33
65
23
Cares about people like me
43
57
17
Vote for president mainly
For your candidate
59
40
79
Against their opponent
46
52
20
Issue regarded as most important
Democracy
23
75
31
Economy
87
12
35
Abortion
9
91
14
Immigration
91
9
14
Foreign policy
n/a
n/a
5
Democracy threatened in the United States
Democracy in the U.S. very threatened
60
38
41
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat threatened
59
40
32
Democracy in the U.S. somewhat secure
46
53
22
Democracy in the U.S. very secure
n/a
n/a
4
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately
Very confident
30
68
34
Somewhat confident
68
31
47
Not very confident
56
40
14
Not at all confident
n/a
n/a
4
Condition of the nation's economy
Not so good
55
44
32
Poor
94
5
39
Good
6
93
25
Excellent
n/a
n/a
4
Family's financial situation today
Worse than four years ago
84
15
53
About the same
33
65
27
Better than four years ago
12
86
20
Abortion should be
Legal in all cases
10
89
23
Legal in most cases
43
54
35
Illegal in most cases
95
5
31
Illegal in all cases
n/a
n/a
8
Most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. should be
Offered chance at legal status
21
76
50
Deported
92
7
48
See also
Notes
^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Key: A – all adults RV – registered voters LV – likely voters V – unclear
^ "Other" with 1%
^ a b c d "Someone else" with 1%
^ a b c d e With voters who lean towards a given candidate
^ "Other" with 7%
^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
^ a b "Another candidate" with 2%
^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
^ "Someone else"
^ "Someone else" with 3%
^ "Other candidate" with 3%
^ "Would not vote" with 4%
^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
^ "Someone else" with 9%
^ "Someone else" with 6%
^ "Someone else" with 7%
^ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
^ "Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
^ a b Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
^ "Someone else" with 5%
^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
^ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
^ Libertarian candidate with 1%
^ "Someone else" with 21%
^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
^ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
References
^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats" . NPR . Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021 .
^ "House Generic Ballot Estimates, 2008-2022" . Split Ticket . April 7, 2023.
^ "Republican victories show Texas is still far from turning blue" . The Texas Tribune . November 9, 2022. As large as the cities are and how Democratic that they are, Texas Democrats still don't have a way to get past that red wall of rural West Texas, [Drew Landry] said. Rural Texas still rules the day. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott.
^ Jack Fink (November 9, 2024). "Trump's margin of victory in Texas is largest for a president-elect in 20 years" . CBS News .
^ "Exit poll results 2024" . CNN. Retrieved November 15, 2024 .
^ Guskin, Emily; Alcantara, Chris; Chen, Janice Kai. "Texas presidential and senatorial exit polls" . The Washington Post . Retrieved November 15, 2024 .
^ "Texas Democratic Primary Election Results" . Texas Secretary of State . Retrieved March 28, 2024 .
^ "Texas Republican Primary Election Results" . The New York Times . Retrieved April 5, 2024 .
^ Salinas, Juan (August 8, 2024). "Robert Kennedy Jr. will be on the 2024 Texas ballot" . The Texas Tribune . Retrieved August 9, 2024 .
^ "RFK Jr. endorses Trump after weeks of back-channel courtship" . NBC News. August 23, 2024. Retrieved August 25, 2024 .
^ Pellish, Aaron; Dovere, Edward-Isaac (August 23, 2024). "RFK Jr. suspends presidential campaign" . CNN. Retrieved August 25, 2024 .
^ "The Green Papers: 2024 Presidential Candidate Ballot Access by State" . The Green Papers . Retrieved September 1, 2024 .
^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings" . Cook Political Report . December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^ "Presidential Ratings" . Inside Elections . April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^ "2024 Electoral College ratings" . University of Virginia Center for Politics . June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^ "2024 presidential predictions" . The Hill . December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024 .
^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270" . CNN . Retrieved January 14, 2024 .
^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model" . The Economist . Retrieved June 12, 2024 .
^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast" . FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved October 1, 2024 .
^ "2024 Presidential Forecast" . CNalysis . December 30, 2023. Retrieved November 4, 2024 .
^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024" . NBC News .
^ "2024 Presidential Election Polls" . YouGov .
^ "2024 Presidential Forcast" . Split Ticket . June 2, 2023.
^ 270ToWin
^ 538
^ Silver Bulletin
^ The Hill/DDHQ
^ a b "Atlas Poll - US Key States - November 4, 2024" (PDF) . AtlasIntel . November 4, 2024.
^ a b c d Easley, Cameron; Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2024). "Tracking the 2024 Election: State by State" . Morning Consult .
^ Allis, Victor (October 28, 2024). "Trump has double digit lead in Texas" . ActiVote .
^ a b Weisman, Jonathan; Baker, Camille (October 28, 2024). "Republicans Cling to Slim Leads in Nebraska and Texas Senate Races" . The New York Times .
^ "Election 2024: Harris 48%, Trump 46% in Virginia; Cruz +4 in Texas" . Rasmussen Reports. October 28, 2024.
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