en 2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi

2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi
	Wicker: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ; Pinkins: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
U.S. senator before election; Roger Wicker; Republican	Elected U.S. senator ; Roger Wicker; Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Senator Roger Wicker took office on December 31, 2007, as an interim appointee after fellow Republican Trent Lott resigned 13 days prior. Wicker retained his Senate seat in the subsequent 2008 special election, won full terms in 2012 and 2018, and sought a third full term. Primary elections took place on March 12, 2024.

No Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election in Mississippi since John C. Stennis in 1982. Wicker easily won re-election to a third full term.^[1] Wicker improved on his performance and flipped Issaquena, Jasper, and Marshall Counties from 2018.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Roger Wicker, incumbent U.S. senator^[2]

Eliminated in primary

Ghannon Burton, retired U.S. Marine Corps colonel^[3]
Dan Eubanks, state representative^[4]

Endorsements

Roger Wicker

Executive branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)^[5]

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Ghannon Burton (R)	$212,429^[a]	$207,927	$4,501
Dan Eubanks (R)	$52,717^[b]	$52,717	$0
Roger Wicker (R)	$8,139,009	$6,397,660	$3,593,927
Source: Federal Election Commission^[10]

Results

Republican primary results^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Roger Wicker (incumbent)	152,086	61.40%
	Republican	Ghannon Burton	61,387	24.78%
	Republican	Dan Eubanks	34,238	13.82%
Total votes			247,711	100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Ty Pinkins, lawyer and nominee for Secretary of State in 2023^[12]

Declined

Brandon Presley, former Mississippi Public Service Commissioner for the Northern District (2008–2024) and nominee for governor in 2023^[13]

Endorsements

Ty Pinkins

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Ty Pinkins (D)	$324,980	$189,792	$135,188
Source: Federal Election Commission^[10]

Results

Democratic primary results^[17]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ty Pinkins	82,264	100.0%
Total votes			82,264	100.0%

Independents

Filed paperwork

Jon Taggart^[18]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[19]	Solid R	November 9, 2023
Inside Elections^[20]	Solid R	November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[21]	Safe R	November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill^[22]	Safe R	June 8, 2024
Elections Daily^[23]	Safe R	May 4, 2023
CNalysis^[24]	Solid R	November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics^[25]	Solid R	August 5, 2024
Split Ticket^[26]	Safe R	October 23, 2024
538^[27]	Solid R	October 23, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[c]	Margin of error	Roger Wicker (R)	Ty Pinkins (D)	Other	Undecided
Change Research (D)^[28]^[A]	September 29 – October 3, 2024	565 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	35%	7%^[d]	10%

Endorsements

Roger Wicker (R)

Executive branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)^[5]

Organizations

Ty Pinkins (D)

Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Roger Wicker (R)	$8,610,740	$6,794,208	$3,669,111
Ty Pinkins (D)	$499,484	$447,377	$52,107
Source: Federal Election Commission^[29]

Results

2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi^[30]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Roger Wicker (incumbent)	763,420	62.81%	+4.32%
	Democratic	Ty Pinkins	451,981	37.19%	−2.28%
Total votes			1,215,401	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Issaquena (largest city: Mayersville)
Jasper (largest city: Bay Springs)
Marshall (largest city: Holly Springs)

By congressional district

Wicker won 3 of 4 congressional districts.^[31]

District	Wicker	Pinkins	Representative
1st	69%	31%	Trent Kelly
2nd			Bennie Thompson
3rd			Michael Guest
4th	72%	28%	Mike Ezell

Notes

^ $27,560 of this total was self-funded by Burton
^ $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Eubanks
^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ "Would not vote" with 7%

Partisan clients

^ Poll sponsored by Pinkins's campaign

References

^ "2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
^ Vance, Taylor (January 4, 2023). "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker". Daily Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2023. Phillip Waller, the communications director for Wicker, said in a statement that Wicker will also run for re-election next year.
^ Wolf, Stephen (November 14, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/14". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 14, 2023. Wicker recently drew a primary challenge from retired Marine Col. Ghannon Burton, but there's little indication yet whether the 16-year incumbent is actually in danger of losing renomination in this solidly red state.
^ Corder, Frank (June 19, 2023). "Senate 2024: Eubanks files to challenge Wicker". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved June 20, 2023.
^ ^a ^b Corder, Frank (February 29, 2024). "Trump Endorses Wicker for Re-Election". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
^ ^a ^b "National Right to Life Endorses U.S. Senator Roger Wicker for Re-Election in Mississippi - National Right to Life". February 20, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "U.S. Chamber Endorses Sen. Roger Wicker for U.S. Senate in Mississippi". www.uschamber.com. February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "2024 Candidates". With Honor Fund. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "2024 Election United States Senate - Mississippi". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
^ "Mississippi Primary Election Results". Secretary of State of Mississippi. March 12, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
^ DiNatale, Sara (January 3, 2023). "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 3, 2023.
^ Vance, Taylor (January 8, 2024). "Brandon Presley, courted by national Democrats to run for U.S. Senate, will not run against Sen. Roger Wicker". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "2023 Endorsements | Freethought Equality Fund". freethoughtequality.org. Archived from the original on August 23, 2023. Retrieved August 23, 2023.
^ ^a ^b "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
^ ^a ^b "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
^ "2024 Democratic Primary". Mississippi Secretary of State.
^ "TAGGART, JON M MR. - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved July 22, 2024.
^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
^ Change Research (D)
^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
^ "Certification of Votes for United States Senate" (PDF). MS SOS. Retrieved December 28, 2024.
^ https://www.sos.ms.gov/elections/electionresults/2024%20Official%20Statewide%20Results.pdf

External links

Official campaign websites

[10] $27,560 of this total was self-funded by Burton

[11] $15,000 of this total was self-funded by Eubanks

[key-30] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[33] "Would not vote" with 7%

[32] Poll sponsored by Pinkins's campaign

[1] "2024 Senate Election Interactive Map - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved July 13, 2024.

[Ty-2] Vance, Taylor (January 4, 2023). "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker". Daily Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2023. Phillip Waller, the communications director for Wicker, said in a statement that Wicker will also run for re-election next year.

[3] Wolf, Stephen (November 14, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 11/14". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 14, 2023. Wicker recently drew a primary challenge from retired Marine Col. Ghannon Burton, but there's little indication yet whether the 16-year incumbent is actually in danger of losing renomination in this solidly red state.

[4] Corder, Frank (June 19, 2023). "Senate 2024: Eubanks files to challenge Wicker". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved June 20, 2023.

[WickerTrump-5] Corder, Frank (February 29, 2024). "Trump Endorses Wicker for Re-Election". Magnolia Tribune. Retrieved March 1, 2024.

[aipac-6] "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.

[NRtLC-7] "National Right to Life Endorses U.S. Senator Roger Wicker for Re-Election in Mississippi - National Right to Life". February 20, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.

[USCoC-8] "U.S. Chamber Endorses Sen. Roger Wicker for U.S. Senate in Mississippi". www.uschamber.com. February 23, 2024. Retrieved February 26, 2024.

[WHF-9] "2024 Candidates". With Honor Fund. Retrieved January 2, 2024.

[FEC-12] "2024 Election United States Senate - Mississippi". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.

[13] "Mississippi Primary Election Results". Secretary of State of Mississippi. March 12, 2024. Retrieved April 6, 2024.

[14] DiNatale, Sara (January 3, 2023). "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 3, 2023.

[15] Vance, Taylor (January 8, 2024). "Brandon Presley, courted by national Democrats to run for U.S. Senate, will not run against Sen. Roger Wicker". Mississippi Today. Retrieved January 8, 2024.

[FEF-16] "2023 Endorsements | Freethought Equality Fund". freethoughtequality.org. Archived from the original on August 23, 2023. Retrieved August 23, 2023.

[POP-17] "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved February 21, 2024.

[VCG-18] "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.

[19] "2024 Democratic Primary". Mississippi Secretary of State.

[20] "TAGGART, JON M MR. - Candidate overview". FEC.gov. Retrieved July 22, 2024.

[21] "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.

[Inside_Elections-22] "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-23] "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.

[24] "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.

[25] "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.

[26] "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.

[27] "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.

[28] "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.

[29] "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.

[31] Change Research (D)

[34] "2024 Election United States Senate - Indiana". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 5, 2024.

[35] "Certification of Votes for United States Senate" (PDF). MS SOS. Retrieved December 28, 2024.

[36] ttps://www.sos.ms.gov/elections/electionresults/2024%20Official%20Statewide%20Results.pdf

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2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Independents

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

Polling

Endorsements

Fundraising

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Notes

References

External links

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