Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election
Polling results for the 2015 UK General Election, compared to the actual result.
In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015 , various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from 6 May 2010 (the date of the previous general election ) to 7 May 2015.
Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain (England , Scotland and Wales ). Separate polls covering constituent countries of the UK and English regions are reported further below while polling of individual constituencies and groups of them (such as groups of marginals) is covered in a separate article .
In the event, the actual results proved to be rather different from those indicated by the opinion polls. Opinion polls conducted in the last few months of the campaign, and even in the last few days, had indicated a very close result between the Conservatives and Labour in terms of numbers of votes, suggesting that one of the main parties would have to form a perhaps complex coalition with smaller parties in order to govern.
However the actual results showed a stronger performance by the Conservatives, which gave them an overall majority, since Labour also had a weaker performance than the polls had suggested.[ 1] [ 2] [ 3] When the exit poll was initially presented, some commentators and politicians doubted it, with Paddy Ashdown even declaring "If this poll is correct I will publicly eat my hat on your programme" in response to the apparently poor results for the Liberal Democrats .[ 4] The exit poll was eventually proved to have in fact overestimated the Liberal Democrats' performance. If the Survation telephone poll (6 May) had been published it would have produced results within 1% of the election results.
Graphical summary
Local regression of poll results from 6 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line corresponding to a political party. Labour Party
Conservative Party
Liberal Democrats
UK Independence Party
Green Party
The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 13 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party: red for the Labour Party , blue for the Conservative Party , purple for the UK Independence Party , yellow for the Liberal Democrats , and green for the combined Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party . While not shown here, other parties have on occasion polled higher than one or more of the parties represented, for example in the Lord Ashcroft poll conducted on 17–19 April 2015, where the Scottish National Party polled 6% and the Greens 4%.[ 5] Each dot represents a party's results from an opinion poll displayed in the table below.
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[ 6] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.
Throughout the 2010–2015 parliament , first and second places had without exception alternated between the Conservatives and Labour. The Liberal Democrats and the UK Independence Party had tended to hold either third or fourth place in each individual poll. The combined Green parties of England and Wales and Scotland have most frequently polled fifth and on occasions polled fourth – level with or ahead of the UK Independence Party or the Liberal Democrats . Included in the 'others' column are other smaller parties, the largest of which (by votes at the 2010 general election) were the British National Party , the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru . Detailed poll results that break down 'others' for some dates in 2014 and 2010 are available in a second table, below.
2015
Date(s) conducted
Polling organisation/client
Sample size
Con
Lab
Lib Dem
UKIP
Green
Others
Lead
7 May
2015 general election (GB only) [ 7] [ 8]
–
37.8%
31.2%
8.1%
12.9%
3.8%
6.3%
6.6%
5–7 May
Populus [ 9]
3,917
34%
34%
9%
13%
5%
6%
Tie
6 May
Survation [ 10] (unpublished)
1,045
37%
31%
10%
11%
5%
6%
6%
30 Apr–6 May
SurveyMonkey [ 11]
18,131
34%
28%
7%
13%
8%
9%
6%
5–6 May
Lord Ashcroft
3,028
33%
33%
10%
11%
6%
8%
Tie
5–6 May
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,186
36%
35%
8%
11%
5%
5%
1%
4–6 May
YouGov/The Sun
10,307
34%
34%
10%
12%
4%
6%
Tie
5–6 May
ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,007
35%
34%
9%
12%
4%
6%
1%
4–6 May
Survation/Daily Mirror [ n 1]
4,088
31%
31%
10%
16%
5%
7%
Tie
3–6 May
ICM/The Guardian [ n 2]
2,023
34%
35%
9%
11%
4%
7%
1%
3–6 May
ICM/The Guardian [ n 3]
1,560
35%
35%
9%
11%
3%
7%
Tie
1–6 May
Panelbase Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine [ 12]
3,019
31%
33%
8%
16%
5%
7%
2%
4–5 May
Opinium
2,960
35%
34%
8%
12%
6%
5%
1%
4–5 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,148
34%
34%
9%
12%
5%
6%
Tie
4–5 May
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,504
33%
34%
9%
16%
4%
4%
1%
3–5 May
ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News Archived 22 October 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,011
35%
32%
9%
14%
4%
6%
3%
3–5 May
BMG/May2015.com, New Statesman
1,009
34%
34%
10%
12%
4%
6%
Tie
3–4 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,664
33%
33%
10%
12%
5%
6%
Tie
30 Apr–4 May
TNS
1,185
33%
32%
8%
14%
6%
6%
1%
2–3 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,789
34%
33%
9%
12%
5%
7%
1%
1–3 May
Lord Ashcroft
1,001
32%
30%
11%
12%
7%
9%
2%
1–3 May
Populus
2,054
34%
34%
10%
13%
5%
5%
Tie
1–2 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,967
34%
33%
8%
13%
5%
7%
1%
1–2 May
Survation/Mail on Sunday
2,128
31%
34%
8%
17%
4%
6%
3%
30 Apr–1 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,575
33%
34%
8%
14%
5%
5%
1%
30 Apr–1 May
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,117
33%
34%
9%
16%
3%
5%
1%
30 Apr
Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One ; Ask Nicola Sturgeon , Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
29–30 Apr
YouGov/Sun on Sunday
1,970
34%
35%
9%
12%
5%
6%
1%
29–30 Apr
Populus
2,016
33%
33%
9%
15%
4%
5%
Tie
29–30 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,729
34%
35%
8%
12%
5%
6%
1%
29–30 Apr
Panelbase
1,020
32%
34%
8%
17%
4%
7%
2%
28–30 Apr
ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror Archived 14 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,002
33%
33%
8%
13%
7%
6%
Tie
28–30 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,956
35%
34%
8%
13%
5%
5%
1%
28–29 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,823
35%
34%
9%
12%
4%
6%
1%
26–29 Apr
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,010
35%
30%
8%
10%
8%
9%
5%
27–28 Apr
ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,005
35%
35%
7%
11%
6%
6%
Tie
27–28 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,749
34%
35%
9%
12%
4%
6%
1%
26–27 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,127
35%
34%
9%
12%
5%
6%
1%
25–27 Apr
BMG/May2015.com [ 13]
1,013
35%
32%
11%
14%
3%
5%
3%
23–27 Apr
TNS
1,186
34%
33%
7%
15%
5%
5%
1%
25–26 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,096
33%
34%
8%
14%
5%
6%
1%
24–26 Apr
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
36%
30%
9%
11%
7%
7%
6%
24–26 Apr
ICM/The Guardian
1,004
35%
32%
9%
13%
5%
6%
3%
24–26 Apr
Populus
2,072
33%
36%
8%
14%
5%
4%
3%
24–25 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,271
32%
34%
9%
14%
6%
5%
2%
24–25 Apr
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,004
33%
30%
9%
18%
4%
6%
3%
23–24 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,594
33%
35%
8%
13%
6%
5%
2%
21–24 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,964
34%
33%
9%
13%
6%
5%
1%
22–23 Apr
Populus
2,051
32%
35%
8%
14%
5%
6%
3%
22–23 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,834
33%
35%
8%
13%
6%
6%
2%
22–23 Apr
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,205
33%
29%
10%
18%
4%
6%
4%
21–23 Apr
Panelbase
1,012
31%
34%
7%
17%
4%
7%
3%
21–22 Apr
ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 30 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,003
36%
32%
8%
10%
5%
9%
4%
21–22 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,060
33%
34%
7%
14%
5%
6%
1%
20–21 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,799
35%
34%
7%
13%
5%
6%
1%
19–20 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,078
34%
35%
7%
13%
5%
6%
1%
16–20 Apr
TNS
1,199
32%
34%
8%
15%
5%
6%
2%
18–19 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,675
34%
35%
8%
13%
5%
6%
1%
17–19 Apr
Lord Ashcroft
1,002
34%
30%
10%
13%
4%
9%
4%
17–19 Apr
Populus [permanent dead link ]
2,048
32%
34%
9%
15%
4%
6%
2%
17–19 Apr
ICM/The Guardian
1,003
34%
32%
10%
11%
5%
8%
2%
17–18 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,780
33%
36%
8%
13%
5%
5%
3%
16–17 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,955
36%
32%
8%
13%
5%
6%
4%
16–17 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,713
34%
34%
9%
14%
5%
5%
Tie
16–17 Apr
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,314
34%
33%
7%
17%
3%
6%
1%
16 Apr
Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
15–16 Apr
Populus Archived 17 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine
2,048
33%
34%
9%
14%
4%
5%
1%
15–16 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,939
34%
34%
7%
14%
5%
6%
Tie
14–16 Apr
Panelbase
1,025
33%
34%
8%
16%
4%
5%
1%
14–15 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,894
34%
35%
8%
13%
5%
6%
1%
12–15 Apr
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,000
33%
35%
7%
10%
8%
7%
2%
13–14 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,842
33%
35%
8%
13%
5%
6%
2%
12–13 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,444
33%
34%
8%
13%
6%
5%
1%
9–13 Apr
TNS
1,192
34%
32%
9%
14%
5%
6%
2%
11–12 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,717
33%
36%
7%
13%
5%
6%
3%
10–12 Apr
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
33%
33%
9%
13%
6%
8%
Tie
10–12 Apr
ICM/The Guardian
1,042
39%
33%
8%
7%
7%
5%
6%
10–12 Apr
Populus [permanent dead link ]
2,036
33%
33%
8%
15%
5%
6%
Tie
10–11 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,887
34%
34%
7%
13%
6%
6%
Tie
9–10 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,782
33%
35%
8%
13%
5%
5%
2%
8–9 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,916
36%
34%
7%
11%
6%
6%
2%
8–9 Apr
Populus
2,020
31%
33%
8%
16%
6%
7%
2%
8–9 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,938
35%
34%
8%
12%
4%
6%
1%
8–9 Apr
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,111
31%
35%
9%
15%
4%
6%
4%
7–9 Apr
Panelbase
1,013
31%
37%
8%
16%
4%
4%
6%
7–8 Apr
ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 16 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,013
34%
33%
12%
12%
4%
6%
1%
7–8 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,871
34%
35%
8%
13%
5%
5%
1%
6–7 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,672
33%
35%
8%
14%
5%
5%
2%
2–7 Apr
TNS
1,207
30%
33%
8%
19%
4%
7%
3%
2–6 Apr
Populus
2,008
31%
33%
10%
15%
4%
7%
2%
3–4 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,906
34%
33%
10%
13%
4%
6%
1%
2–3 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,974
33%
33%
7%
14%
7%
5%
Tie
2–3 Apr
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,207
31%
33%
9%
18%
3%
6%
2%
2 Apr
Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
1–2 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,583
37%
35%
7%
12%
5%
4%
2%
31 Mar–2 Apr
Panelbase
1,006
33%
33%
7%
17%
5%
5%
Tie
31 Mar–1 Apr
Populus
2,057
32%
34%
9%
15%
5%
5%
2%
31 Mar–1 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,678
36%
34%
8%
13%
4%
5%
2%
30–31 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,566
35%
36%
7%
12%
5%
5%
1%
30 Mar
Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
29–30 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,001
35%
35%
8%
12%
5%
5%
Tie
26–30 Mar
TNS
1,197
33%
32%
8%
16%
5%
7%
1%
28–29 Mar
ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 19 September 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,005
36%
32%
9%
12%
5%
7%
4%
27–29 Mar
Lord Ashcroft
1,004
36%
34%
6%
10%
7%
6%
2%
27–29 Mar
Populus
2,004
34%
34%
8%
15%
4%
5%
Tie
27–28 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,799
32%
36%
8%
13%
6%
5%
4%
26 Mar
First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
25–26 Mar
Populus
2,049
31%
33%
9%
16%
5%
6%
2%
25–26 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,698
36%
34%
7%
13%
5%
5%
2%
24–26 Mar
Panelbase
1,007
34%
34%
5%
15%
6%
6%
Tie
24–25 Mar
Opinium/The Observer
1,959
34%
33%
8%
13%
7%
3%
1%
24–25 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,610
34%
35%
8%
12%
6%
5%
1%
24–25 Mar
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,007
32%
33%
8%
18%
4%
5%
1%
23–24 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,006
35%
35%
8%
12%
6%
4%
Tie
22–23 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,641
34%
34%
8%
12%
6%
5%
Tie
18–23 Mar
YouGov/The Times
8,271
34%
33%
8%
14%
5%
6%
1%
20–22 Mar
ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,001
35%
35%
8%
10%
7%
6%
Tie
20–22 Mar
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
33%
33%
8%
12%
5%
9%
Tie
20–22 Mar
Populus
2,035
31%
33%
9%
16%
5%
5%
2%
20–21 Mar
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,008
30%
34%
10%
17%
3%
6%
4%
19–20 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,532
33%
35%
8%
14%
5%
5%
2%
18–19 Mar
Opinium/The Observer
1,979
36%
33%
7%
14%
6%
4%
3%
18–19 Mar
Populus Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine
2,020
31%
34%
9%
17%
5%
4%
3%
18–19 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,293
35%
33%
8%
13%
6%
5%
2%
17–18 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,752
33%
34%
8%
14%
6%
5%
1%
16–17 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,830
34%
36%
7%
12%
6%
5%
2%
15–16 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,683
33%
35%
7%
13%
7%
5%
2%
13–16 Mar
TNS
1,188
33%
32%
7%
17%
4%
7%
1%
13–15 Mar
Lord Ashcroft
1,002
31%
29%
8%
15%
8%
9%
2%
13–15 Mar
ICM/The Guardian
1,001
36%
35%
8%
9%
4%
8%
1%
13–15 Mar
Populus
2,041
34%
34%
8%
15%
5%
5%
Tie
12–13 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,669
34%
34%
7%
14%
5%
6%
Tie
11–13 Mar
ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday Archived 22 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine
2,002
33%
35%
7%
16%
4%
5%
2%
11–12 Mar
Populus
2,041
29%
32%
8%
18%
6%
7%
3%
11–12 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,619
33%
32%
7%
16%
6%
6%
1%
10–12 Mar
Opinium/The Observer
1,947
33%
35%
7%
14%
7%
5%
2%
10–11 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,728
34%
35%
7%
14%
5%
5%
1%
8–11 Mar
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,025
33%
34%
8%
13%
6%
6%
1%
9–10 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,598
33%
31%
8%
15%
6%
6%
2%
8–9 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,745
35%
31%
8%
14%
6%
6%
4%
6–8 Mar
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
34%
30%
5%
15%
8%
7%
4%
6–8 Mar
Populus
2,026
32%
33%
9%
15%
6%
6%
1%
5–6 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,754
34%
33%
8%
15%
5%
5%
1%
3–6 Mar
Opinium/The Observer
1,961
34%
34%
8%
14%
7%
5%
Tie
4–5 Mar
Populus Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine
2,063
31%
33%
8%
16%
5%
5%
2%
4–5 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,748
31%
35%
6%
15%
8%
4%
4%
3–4 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,544
34%
34%
8%
14%
6%
4%
Tie
2–3 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,701
36%
34%
5%
14%
6%
5%
2%
1–2 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,866
35%
32%
7%
15%
6%
5%
3%
27 Feb–1 Mar
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
34%
31%
7%
14%
7%
8%
3%
27 Feb–1 Mar
Populus
2,056
32%
34%
8%
14%
5%
7%
2%
26–27 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,959
34%
34%
8%
14%
5%
5%
Tie
25–27 Feb
Populus Archived 27 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine
2,005
31%
33%
9%
16%
6%
5%
2%
25–26 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,638
33%
34%
8%
13%
6%
6%
1%
24–26 Feb
Opinium/The Observer
1,948
34%
35%
6%
14%
6%
6%
1%
24–25 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,581
33%
33%
8%
15%
6%
5%
Tie
23–24 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,520
35%
33%
6%
14%
7%
5%
2%
23 Feb
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,046
28%
34%
10%
19%
4%
5%
6%
22–23 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,772
33%
33%
8%
13%
7%
5%
Tie
20–23 Feb
ComRes/Daily Mail Archived 24 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine
1,004
34%
32%
8%
13%
8%
6%
2%
20–22 Feb
Lord Ashcroft
1,004
32%
36%
7%
11%
8%
6%
4%
20–22 Feb
Populus
2,059
32%
32%
9%
15%
6%
6%
Tie
19–20 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,568
33%
34%
8%
13%
6%
6%
1%
17–20 Feb
Opinium/The Observer
1,975
35%
33%
6%
15%
7%
5%
2%
18–19 Feb
Populus
2,011
31%
32%
9%
17%
6%
5%
1%
18–19 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,564
32%
33%
9%
15%
6%
5%
1%
17–18 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,743
32%
34%
8%
14%
6%
5%
2%
16–17 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,548
33%
34%
6%
15%
7%
5%
1%
15–16 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,580
32%
32%
6%
16%
8%
5%
Tie
12–16 Feb
TNS
1,193
28%
35%
6%
18%
7%
6%
7%
13–15 Feb
Lord Ashcroft
1,004
30%
31%
9%
16%
8%
6%
1%
13–15 Feb
Populus
2,012
31%
33%
10%
15%
5%
5%
2%
13–15 Feb
ICM/The Guardian
1,000
36%
32%
10%
9%
7%
7%
4%
12–13 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,620
32%
35%
7%
15%
7%
5%
3%
11–12 Feb
ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday Archived 14 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine
2,017
32%
34%
7%
16%
4%
7%
2%
11–12 Feb
Populus
2,055
31%
34%
9%
14%
6%
6%
3%
11–12 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,592
31%
34%
7%
15%
7%
6%
3%
10–12 Feb
Opinium/The Observer
1,969
33%
35%
8%
14%
6%
6%
2%
10–11 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,764
32%
33%
7%
15%
7%
6%
1%
9–10 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,677
33%
35%
6%
13%
8%
5%
2%
8–10 Feb
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,010
34%
36%
6%
9%
7%
8%
2%
8–9 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,552
34%
33%
7%
14%
7%
6%
1%
6–8 Feb
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
34%
31%
9%
14%
6%
6%
3%
6–8 Feb
Populus
2,003
33%
34%
8%
15%
4%
4%
1%
5–6 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,668
32%
33%
7%
15%
8%
5%
1%
3–6 Feb
Opinium/The Observer
1,947
32%
34%
7%
15%
8%
4%
2%
4–5 Feb
Populus
2,056
31%
34%
8%
16%
5%
6%
3%
4–5 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,719
32%
33%
9%
15%
5%
5%
1%
3–4 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,749
34%
33%
6%
13%
7%
7%
1%
2–3 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,705
33%
33%
7%
14%
7%
5%
Tie
1–2 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,630
33%
35%
7%
14%
6%
5%
2%
30 Jan–2 Feb
Populus
2,040
31%
34%
8%
14%
5%
6%
3%
29 Jan–2 Feb
TNS
1,182
27%
33%
6%
18%
8%
8%
6%
30 Jan–1 Feb
Lord Ashcroft
1,002
31%
31%
8%
15%
9%
6%
Tie
29–30 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,550
32%
35%
7%
15%
6%
5%
3%
27–30 Jan
Opinium/The Observer
1,975
32%
33%
5%
18%
6%
6%
1%
28–29 Jan
Populus
2,020
34%
35%
10%
14%
4%
3%
1%
28–29 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,593
34%
34%
6%
14%
7%
5%
Tie
27–28 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,548
33%
33%
6%
16%
7%
5%
Tie
26–27 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,655
34%
33%
7%
14%
7%
5%
1%
25–26 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,656
34%
33%
6%
15%
7%
5%
1%
23–26 Jan
TNS-BMRB/BBC Radio 4 Woman's Hour Archived 3 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine
975
28%
39%
4%
14%
8%
7%
11%
25 Jan
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,014
31%
30%
7%
23%
3%
6%
1%
23–25 Jan
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,001
31%
30%
8%
17%
7%
7%
1%
23–25 Jan
Populus
2,039
34%
35%
9%
13%
6%
3%
1%
22–25 Jan
Lord Ashcroft
1,001
32%
32%
6%
15%
9%
6%
Tie
22–23 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,578
32%
32%
7%
15%
7%
6%
Tie
21–22 Jan
Populus
2,049
32%
36%
9%
13%
6%
4%
4%
21–22 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,640
31%
33%
7%
17%
8%
4%
2%
20–21 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,645
33%
34%
6%
14%
8%
5%
1%
19–20 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,570
32%
30%
8%
15%
10%
5%
2%
18–19 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,747
32%
32%
8%
15%
7%
6%
Tie
16–19 Jan
ICM/The Guardian
1,002
30%
33%
11%
11%
9%
7%
3%
15–19 Jan
TNS
1,188
31%
31%
8%
16%
7%
7%
Tie
16–18 Jan
Lord Ashcroft
1,004
29%
28%
9%
15%
11%
8%
1%
16–18 Jan
Populus
2,036
35%
36%
8%
13%
4%
4%
1%
15–16 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,647
31%
32%
7%
18%
7%
4%
1%
14–15 Jan
YouGov/Sun on Sunday
1,763
31%
33%
7%
16%
7%
6%
2%
14–15 Jan
ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
2,023
33%
34%
7%
18%
3%
5%
1%
14–15 Jan
Populus
2,070
32%
35%
9%
14%
6%
4%
3%
14–15 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,660
32%
32%
6%
16%
8%
6%
Tie
13–15 Jan
Opinium/The Observer
1,966
28%
33%
7%
20%
6%
6%
5%
13–14 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,834
32%
34%
6%
15%
7%
6%
2%
12–13 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,782
32%
33%
7%
14%
7%
6%
1%
11–13 Jan
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,010
33%
34%
8%
11%
8%
6%
1%
11–12 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,649
32%
33%
6%
17%
6%
6%
1%
9–11 Jan
Lord Ashcroft
1,002
34%
28%
8%
16%
8%
6%
6%
9–11 Jan
Populus
2,056
32%
37%
10%
13%
4%
4%
5%
8–9 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,684
32%
32%
7%
18%
6%
5%
Tie
7–8 Jan
Populus
2,046
33%
34%
8%
14%
6%
5%
1%
7–8 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,753
33%
33%
8%
13%
7%
6%
Tie
6–8 Jan
TNS
1,201
28%
35%
6%
18%
5%
8%
7%
6–7 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,707
32%
33%
7%
15%
7%
6%
1%
5–6 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,769
33%
33%
7%
13%
8%
5%
Tie
4–5 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,728
31%
34%
7%
14%
8%
6%
3%
2–4 Jan
Populus
2,046
34%
36%
9%
12%
5%
5%
2%
30 Dec–2 Jan
Opinium/The Observer
1,970
32%
33%
8%
17%
4%
7%
1%
2014
Date(s) conducted
Polling organisation/client
Sample size
Con
Lab
Lib Dem
UKIP
Green
Others
Lead
19–23 Dec
Opinium/The Observer [ n 4]
2,003
29%
33%
6%
19%
6%
7%
4%
21–22 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,642
32%
36%
6%
16%
5%
5%
4%
19–21 Dec
Populus
2,051
35%
35%
9%
12%
4%
5%
Tie
18–19 Dec
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,009
30%
33%
10%
21%
3%
3%
3%
18–19 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,109
32%
34%
6%
15%
8%
5%
2%
16–19 Dec
Opinium/The Observer
1,427
29%
36%
6%
16%
5%
8%
7%
17–18 Dec
Populus
2,069
34%
35%
9%
13%
4%
4%
1%
17–18 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,981
30%
35%
6%
16%
8%
4%
5%
16–17 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,087
33%
33%
8%
14%
7%
5%
Tie
15–16 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,021
33%
34%
6%
16%
6%
5%
1%
12–16 Dec
ICM/The Guardian
1,001
28%
33%
14%
14%
5%
6%
5%
14–15 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,648
32%
34%
6%
14%
8%
6%
2%
13–15 Dec
Ipsos Mori/Evening Standard
1,012
32%
29%
9%
13%
9%
8%
3%
11–15 Dec
TNS
1,180
28%
35%
5%
19%
7%
6%
7%
12–14 Dec
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,002
29%
32%
12%
16%
5%
6%
3%
12–14 Dec
Populus
2,074
34%
36%
10%
12%
5%
4%
2%
11–12 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,941
32%
32%
7%
16%
7%
5%
Tie
10–12 Dec
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
2,014
33%
34%
8%
18%
2%
5%
1%
10–11 Dec
Populus
1,140
34%
35%
9%
14%
4%
3%
1%
10–11 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,088
32%
34%
7%
14%
7%
6%
2%
9–10 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,983
33%
33%
6%
15%
7%
5%
Tie
8–9 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,959
32%
32%
8%
15%
7%
5%
Tie
7–8 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,925
34%
33%
6%
15%
6%
6%
1%
5–7 Dec
Lord Ashcroft
1,001
30%
31%
8%
19%
5%
7%
1%
5–7 Dec
Populus
1,323
33%
36%
8%
15%
4%
4%
3%
4–5 Dec
YouGov/SundayTimes
1,838
32%
32%
6%
17%
7%
7%
Tie
3–4 Dec
Opinium/The Observer
1,940
29%
34%
6%
19%
6%
6%
5%
3–4 Dec
Populus
1,271
33%
35%
9%
14%
4%
5%
2%
3–4 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,663
31%
32%
7%
15%
8%
6%
1%
2–3 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,925
32%
31%
6%
17%
7%
6%
1%
1–2 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,912
32%
33%
7%
16%
7%
5%
1%
30 Nov–1 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,763
32%
32%
8%
15%
6%
6%
Tie
28–30 Nov
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,005
28%
31%
9%
18%
7%
7%
3%
28–30 Nov
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
30%
32%
7%
16%
6%
8%
2%
28–30 Nov
Populus
2,053
32%
35%
9%
14%
5%
5%
3%
27–28 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,018
32%
34%
7%
15%
6%
6%
2%
26–27 Nov
Populus
2,048
32%
37%
9%
14%
4%
5%
5%
26–27 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,970
31%
31%
8%
17%
6%
6%
Tie
25–27 Nov
TNS
1,194
30%
31%
6%
19%
6%
8%
1%
25–26 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,067
33%
32%
6%
16%
7%
5%
1%
24–25 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,890
32%
33%
7%
16%
6%
6%
1%
23–24 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,641
30%
34%
6%
18%
6%
6%
4%
14–24 Nov
Lord Ashcroft [ n 5]
20,011
30%
33%
7%
19%
6%
5%
3%
21–23 Nov
Lord Ashcroft
1,004
27%
32%
7%
18%
7%
8%
5%
21–23 Nov
Populus
2,049
31%
36%
9%
15%
5%
4%
5%
20–21 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,970
33%
33%
7%
16%
6%
5%
Tie
19–21 Nov
YouGov/The Sun on Sunday
2,314
33%
34%
8%
15%
5%
4%
1%
20 Nov
2014 Rochester and Strood by-election
19–20 Nov
Populus
2,013
33%
36%
9%
14%
4%
4%
3%
19–20 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,995
34%
33%
7%
15%
6%
5%
1%
18–20 Nov
Opinium/The Observer
1,948
30%
33%
7%
19%
4%
7%
3%
18–19 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,906
34%
33%
7%
14%
6%
6%
1%
17–18 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,975
32%
34%
7%
15%
6%
6%
2%
16–17 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,589
33%
32%
7%
15%
8%
6%
1%
14–17 Nov
Opinium Archived 20 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine [ 14]
1,947
34%
33%
5%
18%
5%
6%
1%
14–16 Nov
Lord Ashcroft
1,004
29%
30%
9%
16%
7%
9%
1%
14–16 Nov
Populus
2,054
35%
36%
7%
11%
5%
6%
1%
13–14 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,975
31%
33%
7%
18%
5%
6%
2%
12–14 Nov
ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,000
30%
34%
8%
19%
3%
6%
4%
12–13 Nov
Populus
2,052
33%
35%
9%
13%
4%
5%
2%
12–13 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,003
33%
32%
8%
15%
6%
6%
1%
11–12 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,972
32%
35%
7%
15%
6%
4%
3%
10–11 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,143
33%
34%
7%
15%
6%
6%
1%
9–10 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,656
32%
33%
6%
17%
6%
6%
1%
8–10 Nov
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,011
32%
29%
9%
14%
7%
9%
3%
7–9 Nov
ICM/The Guardian
1,002
31%
32%
11%
14%
6%
6%
1%
7–9 Nov
Lord Ashcroft
1,005
30%
29%
10%
16%
7%
8%
1%
7–9 Nov
Populus
2,047
34%
36%
8%
13%
4%
5%
2%
7 Nov
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,020
29%
34%
6%
23%
4%
4%
5%
6–7 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,022
33%
33%
7%
16%
6%
5%
Tie
4–7 Nov
Opinium/The Observer
1,980
29%
32%
9%
19%
4%
7%
3%
5–6 Nov
Populus
2,011
33%
35%
9%
14%
4%
4%
2%
5–6 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,041
32%
33%
8%
15%
7%
5%
1%
4–5 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,047
32%
33%
7%
17%
7%
5%
1%
3–4 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,988
32%
34%
7%
15%
6%
6%
2%
2–3 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,652
33%
34%
8%
15%
5%
5%
1%
31 Oct–2 Nov
Lord Ashcroft
1,002
30%
29%
10%
16%
6%
9%
1%
31 Oct–2 Nov
Populus
2,019
34%
35%
9%
13%
4%
4%
1%
31 Oct–1 Nov
Survation/The Mirror
2,012
27%
31%
9%
24%
3%
6%
4%
30–31 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,808
31%
32%
7%
18%
6%
6%
1%
29–30 Oct
Populus
2,035
34%
34%
8%
15%
5%
3%
Tie
29–30 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,883
33%
32%
7%
15%
7%
6%
1%
28–29 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,972
31%
34%
6%
17%
7%
5%
3%
27–28 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,052
32%
33%
8%
17%
5%
5%
1%
26–27 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,629
32%
32%
8%
18%
6%
4%
Tie
24–26 Oct
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,002
30%
30%
9%
19%
4%
7%
Tie
24–26 Oct
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
31%
31%
7%
18%
5%
7%
Tie
24–26 Oct
Populus
2,004
34%
36%
8%
13%
3%
4%
2%
23–24 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,069
33%
33%
7%
16%
6%
6%
Tie
21–24 Oct
Opinium/The Observer
1,972
33%
33%
6%
18%
4%
5%
Tie
22–23 Oct
Populus
2,029
33%
35%
9%
15%
3%
4%
2%
22–23 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,020
34%
34%
6%
15%
6%
5%
Tie
21–22 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,052
31%
33%
7%
17%
6%
6%
2%
20–21 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,103
32%
33%
8%
16%
5%
5%
1%
19–20 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,727
31%
33%
7%
15%
6%
8%
2%
17–19 Oct
Lord Ashcroft
1,000
28%
31%
7%
18%
8%
8%
3%
17–19 Oct
Populus
2,058
34%
36%
9%
13%
3%
5%
2%
16–17 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,966
32%
35%
7%
16%
5%
6%
3%
15–16 Oct
ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
996
29%
31%
7%
24%
5%
5%
2%
15–16 Oct
ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
1,004
31%
34%
7%
19%
4%
5%
3%
15–16 Oct
Populus
2,031
33%
35%
10%
14%
4%
3%
2%
15–16 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,045
31%
32%
8%
18%
7%
4%
1%
14–15 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,133
31%
33%
7%
19%
5%
5%
2%
13–14 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,144
30%
34%
8%
18%
5%
5%
4%
11–14 Oct
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,002
30%
33%
8%
16%
5%
8%
3%
12–13 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,782
31%
34%
7%
17%
4%
7%
3%
10–12 Oct
Lord Ashcroft
1,001
28%
32%
8%
19%
5%
8%
4%
10–12 Oct
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,001
31%
35%
11%
14%
4%
6%
4%
10–12 Oct
Populus
2,067
35%
36%
9%
13%
3%
4%
1%
10 Oct
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,003
31%
31%
7%
25%
2%
4%
Tie
9–10 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,167
32%
34%
9%
16%
5%
5%
2%
9 Oct
2014 Clacton by-election
9 Oct
2014 Heywood and Middleton by-election
8–9 Oct
Lord Ashcroft
5,059
31%
34%
8%
18%
4%
5%
3%
8–9 Oct
Populus
2,055
34%
35%
9%
13%
4%
5%
1%
8–9 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,049
30%
35%
9%
15%
5%
5%
5%
7–9 Oct
Opinium/The Observer
1,968
28%
35%
9%
17%
4%
7%
7%
7–8 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,862
33%
34%
7%
14%
6%
6%
1%
6–7 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,155
32%
34%
8%
15%
5%
6%
2%
5–6 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,739
35%
33%
8%
13%
4%
7%
2%
3–5 Oct
Lord Ashcroft
1,002
32%
30%
7%
17%
7%
6%
2%
3–5 Oct
Populus
2,037
31%
37%
8%
15%
3%
4%
6%
2–3 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,130
36%
34%
7%
13%
5%
5%
2%
1–2 Oct
Populus
2,014
33%
38%
8%
13%
3%
4%
5%
1–2 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,133
35%
34%
6%
14%
5%
6%
1%
30 Sep–1 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,068
31%
38%
7%
15%
5%
4%
7%
29–30 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,106
31%
36%
7%
15%
5%
6%
5%
28–29 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,715
31%
36%
7%
16%
4%
6%
5%
26–28 Sep
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,007
29%
35%
10%
15%
4%
7%
6%
26–28 Sep
Lord Ashcroft
1,000
32%
32%
8%
17%
4%
8%
Tie
26–28 Sep
Populus
2,024
34%
36%
7%
14%
5%
3%
2%
25–26 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,992
31%
36%
6%
15%
6%
6%
5%
24–26 Sep
ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
2,003
29%
35%
7%
19%
4%
6%
6%
23–26 Sep
Opinium/The Observer
1,984
32%
34%
7%
17%
4%
6%
2%
24–25 Sep
Populus
2,034
33%
37%
9%
13%
3%
4%
4%
24–25 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,972
31%
37%
7%
13%
5%
7%
6%
23–24 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,117
33%
37%
7%
13%
5%
5%
4%
22–23 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,141
31%
37%
7%
15%
5%
5%
6%
21–22 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,671
33%
35%
7%
14%
5%
6%
2%
19–21 Sep
Lord Ashcroft
1,004
27%
33%
9%
17%
6%
8%
6%
19–21 Sep
Populus
2,048
33%
37%
9%
12%
4%
4%
4%
19 Sep
2014 Scottish independence referendum : The "No" campaign wins
18–19 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,126
31%
36%
7%
16%
5%
5%
5%
17–18 Sep
Populus
2,268
32%
36%
9%
15%
4%
5%
4%
17–18 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,072
33%
35%
8%
14%
5%
5%
2%
16–17 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,029
33%
36%
8%
13%
5%
5%
3%
12–17 Sep
Lord Ashcroft
8,053
30%
35%
7%
19%
5%
6%
5%
15–16 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,977
34%
37%
7%
12%
6%
4%
3%
12–16 Sep
Survation/Bright Blue
1,052
29%
34%
11%
18%
4%
4%
5%
14–15 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,703
31%
35%
7%
15%
6%
5%
4%
12–14 Sep
ICM/The Guardian
1,002
33%
35%
10%
9%
7%
6%
2%
12–14 Sep
Lord Ashcroft
1,004
33%
33%
9%
14%
6%
6%
Tie
12–14 Sep
Populus
2,052
34%
35%
9%
13%
3%
5%
1%
12 Sep
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,090
31%
35%
8%
19%
3%
4%
4%
11–12 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,900
32%
35%
7%
15%
6%
6%
3%
10–11 Sep
Populus
2,010
33%
37%
9%
13%
2%
4%
4%
10–11 Sep
YouGov/TheSun
2,068
31%
35%
7%
16%
5%
6%
4%
9–11 Sep
Opinium/The Observer
1,960
29%
37%
7%
19%
4%
5%
8%
9–10 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,122
32%
38%
6%
14%
5%
5%
6%
8–9 Sep
YouGov/TheSun
2,099
30%
36%
8%
16%
5%
5%
6%
6–9 Sep
Ipsos MORI
1,010
34%
33%
7%
15%
6%
5%
1%
7–8 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,724
31%
36%
8%
16%
5%
4%
5%
5–7 Sep
Lord Ashcroft
1,001
28%
35%
8%
18%
6%
5%
7%
5–7 Sep
Populus
2,058
34%
36%
9%
12%
4%
6%
2%
4–5 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,961
33%
35%
7%
15%
4%
5%
2%
3–4 Sep
Populus
2,026
32%
38%
8%
14%
4%
4%
6%
3–4 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,043
32%
36%
7%
16%
5%
4%
4%
2–3 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,103
33%
36%
7%
14%
5%
5%
3%
1–2 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,068
32%
35%
8%
15%
5%
4%
3%
31 Aug–1 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,704
34%
35%
7%
14%
5%
6%
1%
29–31 Aug
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,001
28%
35%
9%
17%
6%
5%
7%
29–31 Aug
Populus
2,010
32%
36%
9%
15%
3%
5%
4%
28–29 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,010
32%
36%
7%
16%
4%
4%
4%
26–29 Aug
Opinium/The Observer
1,974
30%
36%
7%
16%
4%
7%
6%
27–28 Aug
Populus
2,006
35%
34%
8%
13%
5%
4%
1%
27–28 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,046
33%
36%
7%
13%
5%
6%
3%
26–27 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,129
34%
35%
7%
14%
6%
5%
1%
25–26 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,021
33%
37%
8%
13%
5%
5%
4%
22–25 Aug
Populus
2,062
32%
38%
8%
15%
3%
4%
6%
21–22 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,866
34%
36%
8%
14%
5%
3%
2%
20–22 Aug
ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
2,058
32%
34%
8%
18%
3%
5%
2%
20–21 Aug
Populus
2,065
33%
39%
9%
11%
3%
4%
6%
20–21 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,028
33%
38%
8%
12%
5%
4%
5%
19–20 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,070
34%
38%
9%
11%
4%
4%
4%
18–19 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,036
36%
37%
9%
12%
3%
3%
1%
17–18 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,710
33%
38%
8%
12%
4%
4%
5%
15–17 Aug
Populus
2,049
32%
37%
9%
14%
3%
5%
5%
14–15 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,019
34%
38%
7%
13%
4%
4%
4%
12–15 Aug
Opinium/The Observer
1,963
28%
32%
10%
21%
4%
6%
4%
13–14 Aug
Populus
2,018
32%
35%
9%
14%
5%
7%
3%
13–14 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,984
35%
35%
8%
12%
5%
5%
Tie
12–13 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,116
34%
36%
10%
12%
4%
5%
2%
11–12 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,942
35%
38%
8%
11%
4%
3%
3%
10–11 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,676
33%
37%
8%
12%
5%
4%
4%
9–11 Aug
Ipsos MORI
1,003
33%
33%
7%
13%
7%
6%
Tie
8–11 Aug
Populus
2,031
33%
37%
9%
12%
3%
5%
4%
8–10 Aug
ICM/The Guardian
1,002
31%
38%
12%
10%
4%
5%
7%
7–8 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,943
33%
37%
8%
13%
4%
4%
4%
6–7 Aug
Populus
2,050
36%
35%
9%
11%
3%
5%
1%
6–7 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,016
33%
38%
7%
12%
4%
5%
5%
5–6 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,944
34%
37%
9%
12%
4%
4%
3%
4–5 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,977
33%
38%
8%
12%
4%
5%
5%
3–4 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,617
34%
38%
6%
13%
4%
5%
4%
1–3 Aug
Lord Ashcroft
1,002
30%
33%
8%
18%
6%
5%
3%
1–3 Aug
Populus
2,021
35%
37%
9%
12%
3%
4%
2%
31 Jul–1 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,083
35%
38%
7%
12%
4%
4%
3%
29 Jul–1 Aug
Opinium/The Observer
1,979
32%
35%
7%
15%
5%
7%
3%
30–31 Jul
Populus
2,027
35%
36%
8%
13%
4%
4%
1%
30–31 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,023
34%
38%
8%
13%
4%
3%
4%
29–30 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,100
35%
37%
8%
12%
4%
4%
2%
28–29 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,004
34%
35%
8%
12%
6%
5%
1%
27–28 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,658
33%
39%
8%
12%
4%
4%
6%
25–27 Jul
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,001
27%
33%
8%
17%
7%
6%
6%
25–27 Jul
Lord Ashcroft
1,000
32%
34%
9%
14%
6%
5%
2%
25–27 Jul
Populus
2,024
33%
37%
9%
12%
4%
5%
4%
24–25 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,741
35%
36%
8%
13%
5%
3%
1%
23–24 Jul
Populus
2,035
35%
37%
9%
9%
4%
6%
2%
23–24 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,065
35%
38%
8%
11%
4%
4%
3%
22–23 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,897
34%
38%
8%
12%
4%
4%
4%
21–22 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,904
34%
37%
7%
14%
5%
4%
3%
20–21 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,107
34%
38%
9%
11%
4%
5%
4%
18–20 Jul
Lord Ashcroft
1,007
27%
35%
7%
17%
7%
7%
8%
18–20 Jul
Populus
2,035
32%
37%
9%
13%
4%
5%
5%
17–18 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,078
32%
37%
9%
13%
5%
4%
5%
16–18 Jul
ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,054
31%
34%
9%
17%
4%
5%
3%
16–17 Jul
Populus
2,007
35%
35%
8%
14%
3%
5%
Tie
16–17 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,038
32%
39%
8%
13%
4%
4%
7%
15–17 Jul
TNS BMRB Archived 28 October 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,191
29%
36%
7%
19%
9%
7%
15–17 Jul
Opinium/The Observer
1,967
30%
34%
9%
17%
4%
5%
4%
15–16 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,107
33%
36%
9%
13%
4%
4%
3%
14–15 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,072
34%
38%
6%
13%
4%
5%
4%
12–15 Jul
Ipsos MORI
1,000
32%
35%
8%
12%
8%
5%
3%
13–14 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,745
35%
38%
8%
10%
4%
5%
3%
11–13 Jul
ICM/The Guardian
1,000
34%
33%
12%
9%
4%
7%
1%
11–13 Jul
Lord Ashcroft
1,000
32%
36%
7%
14%
6%
6%
4%
11–13 Jul
Populus
2,055
34%
37%
9%
12%
5%
3%
3%
10–11 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,963
33%
38%
9%
12%
4%
4%
5%
9–10 Jul
Populus
2,052
34%
36%
8%
12%
3%
7%
2%
9–10 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,022
34%
37%
8%
12%
5%
4%
3%
8–9 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,034
32%
36%
10%
12%
5%
4%
4%
7–8 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,072
31%
38%
8%
12%
5%
6%
7%
6–7 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,650
34%
37%
9%
13%
4%
3%
3%
4–6 Jul
Lord Ashcroft
1,005
27%
34%
11%
15%
6%
7%
7%
4–6 Jul
Populus
2,053
31%
38%
9%
14%
4%
4%
7%
3–4 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,095
34%
36%
8%
13%
5%
4%
2%
2–3 Jul
Populus
2,029
34%
35%
9%
14%
4%
4%
1%
2–3 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,611
35%
36%
8%
12%
4%
4%
1%
1–3 Jul
Opinium/The Observer
1,946
29%
35%
7%
18%
5%
6%
6%
1–2 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,991
35%
37%
8%
12%
5%
3%
2%
30 Jun–1 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,073
33%
38%
8%
11%
5%
5%
5%
29–30 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,729
35%
37%
8%
12%
3%
5%
2%
27–29 Jun
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,005
30%
32%
7%
18%
5%
8%
2%
27–29 Jun
Populus
2,049
33%
37%
10%
12%
4%
4%
4%
27–29 Jun
Lord Ashcroft
1,006
33%
31%
9%
15%
6%
6%
2%
27 Jun
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,000
27%
36%
7%
22%
5%
3%
9%
26–27 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,936
33%
37%
8%
14%
5%
3%
4%
25–26 Jun
Populus
2,021
34%
35%
8%
13%
5%
5%
1%
25–26 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,996
33%
38%
8%
13%
4%
4%
5%
24–25 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,044
32%
37%
7%
14%
5%
5%
5%
23–24 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,984
33%
36%
8%
15%
4%
4%
3%
22–23 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,652
32%
36%
9%
15%
4%
4%
4%
20–22 Jun
Lord Ashcroft
1,006
28%
33%
9%
17%
7%
6%
5%
20–22 Jun
Populus
2,062
32%
37%
9%
13%
3%
5%
5%
19–20 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,016
32%
38%
8%
14%
5%
4%
6%
18–19 Jun
Populus
2,032
34%
36%
8%
13%
3%
6%
2%
18–19 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,097
33%
37%
8%
15%
3%
4%
4%
17–19 Jun
Opinium/The Observer
1,946
31%
35%
7%
17%
5%
5%
4%
17–18 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,066
34%
38%
7%
13%
5%
3%
4%
16–17 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,897
34%
37%
7%
13%
4%
6%
3%
14–17 Jun
Ipsos MORI
1,001
31%
34%
8%
14%
8%
5%
3%
15–16 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,696
32%
36%
10%
14%
5%
4%
4%
13–15 Jun
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,001
31%
32%
10%
16%
6%
5%
1%
13–15 Jun
Lord Ashcroft
1,001
29%
35%
8%
15%
6%
7%
6%
13–15 Jun
Populus
2,036
33%
37%
9%
13%
4%
4%
4%
12–13 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,106
33%
37%
8%
13%
5%
4%
4%
11–13 Jun
ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,034
32%
34%
7%
18%
4%
5%
2%
11–12 Jun
YouGov/The Sun on Sunday
2,337
33%
36%
8%
14%
5%
4%
3%
11–12 Jun
Populus
2,051
32%
35%
8%
15%
5%
5%
3%
11–12 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,183
32%
38%
8%
12%
5%
5%
6%
10–12 Jun
TNS BMRB Archived 11 October 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,195
29%
35%
6%
23%
7%
6%
10–11 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,157
34%
36%
6%
14%
5%
5%
2%
9–10 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,974
35%
37%
8%
12%
3%
5%
2%
8–9 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,685
31%
37%
7%
15%
5%
5%
6%
6–8 Jun
Lord Ashcroft
1,003
28%
32%
8%
17%
7%
8%
4%
6–8 Jun
Populus
2,039
35%
36%
9%
14%
3%
4%
1%
5–6 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,134
33%
37%
7%
14%
5%
4%
4%
4–6 Jun
Populus
2,006
34%
35%
9%
14%
5%
4%
1%
5 Jun
2014 Newark by-election
4–5 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,107
31%
37%
8%
15%
5%
4%
6%
3–5 Jun
Opinium/The Observer [permanent dead link ]
1,950
31%
35%
6%
19%
4%
5%
4%
3–4 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,951
32%
37%
7%
13%
5%
5%
5%
2–3 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,962
32%
36%
8%
14%
5%
4%
4%
1–2 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,740
30%
36%
8%
17%
5%
4%
6%
30 May–1 Jun
Lord Ashcroft [ 16]
1,000
25%
34%
6%
19%
7%
8%
9%
30 May–1 Jun
Populus
2,062
32%
37%
10%
13%
3%
5%
5%
29–30 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,090
33%
36%
7%
15%
4%
5%
3%
28–29 May
Populus
2,010
34%
35%
9%
14%
4%
4%
1%
28–29 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,123
31%
38%
7%
16%
4%
5%
7%
27–28 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,109
32%
36%
9%
14%
5%
5%
4%
26–27 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,079
32%
34%
8%
15%
5%
5%
2%
23–26 May
Populus
2,060
34%
36%
9%
14%
3%
4%
2%
23–25 May
Lord Ashcroft [ 16]
1,000
29%
31%
8%
17%
7%
10%
2%
22–26 May
2014 European Parliament election
23 May
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,017
27%
32%
9%
23%
3%
6%
5%
22–23 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,898
34%
35%
9%
13%
5%
5%
1%
20–23 May
Opinium/The Observer
1,968
32%
33%
7%
19%
4%
5%
1%
22 May
2014 United Kingdom local elections
21–22 May
Populus
2,045
34%
36%
9%
14%
3%
4%
2%
21–22 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,922
34%
34%
9%
14%
5%
4%
Tie
20–21 May
YouGov/The Times, The Sun
6,124
33%
36%
9%
13%
4%
5%
3%
19–20 May
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,106
28%
34%
9%
20%
3%
6%
6%
19–20 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,874
33%
35%
11%
13%
3%
5%
2%
18–19 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,740
33%
37%
9%
11%
6%
4%
4%
16–18 May
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,008
30%
35%
8%
14%
5%
8%
5%
16–18 May
Lord Ashcroft [ 16]
1,006
29%
35%
9%
14%
5%
7%
6%
16–18 May
Populus
2,026
35%
34%
8%
14%
3%
6%
1%
15–16 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,892
34%
37%
9%
13%
4%
3%
3%
14–15 May
ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,045
29%
33%
8%
19%
4%
7%
4%
14–15 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,083
34%
36%
8%
13%
4%
5%
2%
14–15 May
Populus
2,043
32%
36%
10%
13%
3%
6%
4%
13–14 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,968
32%
35%
10%
13%
4%
5%
3%
12–13 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,977
34%
34%
8%
15%
3%
5%
Tie
11–12 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,680
35%
36%
9%
14%
3%
5%
1%
10–12 May
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,003
31%
34%
9%
11%
8%
7%
3%
9–11 May
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,000
33%
31%
13%
15%
4%
5%
2%
9–11 May
Lord Ashcroft [ 16]
1,001
34%
32%
9%
15%
5%
6%
2%
9–11 May
Populus
2,056
35%
36%
8%
13%
3%
5%
1%
9 May
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,005
28%
33%
10%
20%
3%
6%
5%
8–9 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,905
31%
38%
9%
13%
4%
5%
7%
7–8 May
Populus
2,006
32%
36%
8%
16%
4%
5%
4%
7–8 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,875
34%
35%
8%
13%
4%
6%
1%
6–8 May
Opinium/The Observer
1,997
29%
33%
9%
20%
4%
5%
4%
6–7 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,858
34%
37%
8%
13%
3%
5%
3%
5–6 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,933
34%
35%
9%
14%
3%
5%
1%
2–5 May
Populus
2,034
33%
36%
8%
14%
4%
5%
3%
2–3 May
Survation/Daily Mirror
1,005
33%
34%
8%
18%
4%
3%
1%
1–2 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,945
33%
36%
9%
15%
4%
3%
3%
30 Apr–1 May
YouGov/The Sun on Sunday
1,844
33%
36%
10%
15%
2%
4%
3%
30 Apr–1 May
Populus
2,060
34%
35%
9%
14%
3%
5%
1%
30 Apr–1 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,813
33%
36%
10%
14%
3%
4%
3%
2 Apr–1 May
Populus/Financial Times
18,448
34%
36%
10%
13%
3%
4%
2%
29–30 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,898
31%
37%
9%
15%
3%
5%
6%
28–29 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,804
32%
37%
9%
14%
3%
5%
5%
27–28 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,629
32%
37%
10%
15%
2%
4%
5%
25–27 Apr
Populus
2,052
32%
35%
10%
15%
3%
5%
3%
24–25 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,835
31%
36%
9%
15%
4%
5%
5%
22–25 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,965
32%
34%
7%
18%
3%
6%
2%
23–24 Apr
Populus
2,055
35%
35%
9%
13%
3%
5%
Tie
23–24 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,072
32%
38%
8%
14%
4%
4%
6%
22–23 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,143
32%
37%
10%
15%
2%
4%
5%
21–22 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,190
34%
37%
10%
12%
2%
5%
3%
17–21 Apr
Populus
2,049
33%
36%
10%
13%
3%
4%
3%
16–17 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,884
33%
35%
11%
15%
2%
4%
2%
15–16 Apr
Populus
2,069
34%
35%
9%
14%
3%
5%
1%
15–16 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,166
33%
39%
9%
11%
3%
5%
6%
14–15 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,162
34%
37%
10%
13%
2%
4%
3%
13–14 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,541
33%
38%
9%
12%
3%
5%
5%
11–13 Apr
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,000
30%
36%
9%
12%
4%
9%
6%
11–13 Apr
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,000
32%
37%
12%
11%
2%
6%
5%
11–13 Apr
Populus
2,011
33%
35%
11%
13%
2%
6%
2%
10–11 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,036
32%
38%
8%
14%
2%
6%
6%
9–10 Apr
ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,003
29%
35%
7%
20%
4%
5%
6%
9–10 Apr
Populus
2,051
34%
35%
11%
12%
2%
6%
1%
9–10 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,111
32%
38%
8%
14%
2%
5%
6%
8–10 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,972
30%
36%
7%
18%
3%
6%
6%
8–9 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,061
33%
36%
10%
14%
2%
5%
3%
7–8 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,144
33%
37%
10%
13%
2%
4%
4%
6–7 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,748
33%
36%
10%
14%
2%
5%
3%
5–7 Apr
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,002
31%
37%
9%
15%
3%
4%
6%
4–6 Apr
Populus
2,034
34%
37%
9%
14%
3%
4%
3%
4 Apr
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,001
29%
36%
10%
20%
2%
4%
7%
3–4 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,998
34%
39%
9%
12%
2%
4%
5%
2–3 Apr
Populus
2,067
33%
37%
10%
13%
2%
5%
4%
2–3 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,076
32%
38%
10%
13%
3%
4%
6%
1–2 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,148
32%
38%
10%
13%
2%
5%
6%
31 Mar–1 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,981
33%
37%
10%
12%
2%
6%
4%
30–31 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,696
34%
37%
11%
13%
2%
5%
3%
28–30 Mar
Populus
2,008
34%
37%
10%
11%
3%
5%
3%
5–30 Mar
Populus/Financial Times
16,424
34%
37%
9%
12%
3%
5%
3%
27–28 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,916
33%
40%
9%
11%
2%
5%
7%
27–28 Mar
Populus
2,066
35%
37%
8%
12%
3%
5%
2%
25–28 Mar
Opinium/The Observer
1,936
32%
33%
10%
15%
3%
7%
1%
26–27 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,039
35%
36%
10%
11%
3%
4%
1%
25–26 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,070
35%
37%
9%
11%
2%
5%
2%
24–25 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,958
35%
38%
10%
10%
2%
5%
3%
23–24 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,558
36%
38%
10%
10%
2%
4%
2%
21–23 Mar
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,024
31%
36%
9%
11%
5%
8%
5%
21–23 Mar
Populus
2,039
34%
35%
10%
13%
2%
6%
1%
20–21 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,103
36%
37%
9%
11%
2%
5%
1%
20–21 Mar
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,000
34%
35%
9%
15%
2%
5%
1%
19–20 Mar
Populus
2,122
34%
38%
9%
12%
2%
5%
4%
19–20 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,904
34%
39%
10%
10%
2%
5%
5%
18–19 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,088
33%
38%
11%
11%
3%
4%
5%
17–18 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,284
34%
38%
11%
11%
3%
4%
4%
16–17 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,919
32%
40%
9%
11%
3%
4%
8%
14–16 Mar
Populus
2,053
32%
36%
10%
13%
3%
6%
4%
13–14 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,946
33%
40%
8%
12%
2%
4%
7%
12–13 Mar
ComRes/Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,001
32%
35%
9%
16%
3%
5%
3%
12–13 Mar
Populus
2,053
34%
35%
10%
13%
2%
6%
1%
12–13 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,098
33%
38%
11%
10%
2%
6%
5%
11–12 Mar
Opinium/The Observer
1,971
30%
35%
10%
16%
3%
6%
5%
11–12 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,095
35%
37%
9%
13%
2%
4%
2%
8–12 Mar
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,000
32%
35%
13%
11%
5%
4%
3%
10–11 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,040
34%
38%
10%
12%
2%
4%
4%
7–11 Mar
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,003
35%
38%
12%
9%
3%
3%
3%
9–10 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
3,195
32%
39%
8%
13%
3%
5%
7%
7–9 Mar
Populus
2,058
34%
38%
9%
12%
3%
4%
4%
6–7 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,029
32%
39%
10%
14%
2%
3%
7%
5–6 Mar
Populus
2,025
34%
37%
9%
12%
3%
5%
3%
5–6 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,833
31%
40%
9%
13%
3%
4%
9%
4–5 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,868
34%
37%
10%
11%
3%
5%
3%
3–4 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,041
34%
38%
9%
13%
2%
4%
4%
2–3 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,868
32%
41%
8%
12%
1%
6%
9%
28 Feb–2 Mar
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,004
30%
38%
10%
11%
4%
7%
8%
28 Feb–2 Mar
Populus
2,055
34%
37%
10%
12%
3%
4%
3%
27–28 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,098
33%
38%
9%
13%
2%
5%
5%
25–28 Feb
Opinium/The Observer
1,946
29%
34%
10%
19%
3%
5%
5%
26–27 Feb
Populus
1,131
33%
38%
9%
13%
3%
5%
5%
5–27 Feb
Populus/Financial Times
14,203
33%
37%
10%
14%
3%
3%
4%
26–27 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,868
34%
39%
8%
12%
3%
4%
5%
25–26 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,062
34%
40%
10%
11%
3%
4%
6%
24–25 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,936
33%
39%
10%
11%
3%
4%
6%
23–24 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,773
33%
38%
10%
13%
2%
5%
5%
21–23 Feb
Populus
2,052
32%
37%
10%
15%
2%
4%
5%
20–21 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,141
32%
39%
8%
12%
2%
6%
7%
19–20 Feb
Populus
2,066
32%
38%
9%
13%
3%
5%
6%
19–20 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,756
34%
39%
9%
12%
2%
4%
5%
18–19 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,766
33%
37%
10%
12%
3%
5%
4%
17–18 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,758
33%
40%
8%
12%
3%
4%
7%
16–17 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,645
33%
40%
9%
11%
2%
5%
7%
14–16 Feb
Populus
2,031
33%
38%
10%
13%
3%
3%
5%
13–14 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,868
32%
39%
9%
12%
3%
6%
7%
11–14 Feb
Opinium/The Observer
1,969
28%
37%
8%
17%
2%
8%
9%
13 Feb
2014 Wythenshawe and Sale East by-election
12–13 Feb
Populus
2,015
32%
38%
9%
14%
3%
4%
6%
12–13 Feb
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,031
32%
37%
9%
15%
2%
5%
5%
12–13 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,896
33%
39%
9%
12%
2%
5%
6%
11–12 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,826
32%
39%
8%
13%
2%
6%
7%
10–11 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,899
34%
39%
10%
11%
2%
4%
5%
9–10 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,685
33%
39%
10%
12%
2%
4%
6%
7–9 Feb
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,002
34%
38%
10%
11%
3%
5%
4%
7–9 Feb
Populus
2,013
34%
36%
11%
12%
3%
4%
2%
6–7 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,521
35%
39%
10%
10%
3%
3%
4%
5–6 Feb
Populus
2,015
33%
36%
9%
15%
2%
5%
3%
5–6 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,911
32%
38%
10%
14%
2%
4%
6%
4–5 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,902
35%
39%
9%
10%
2%
4%
4%
3–4 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,942
33%
39%
8%
13%
3%
4%
6%
2–3 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,741
33%
38%
11%
11%
1%
6%
5%
1–3 Feb
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,012
31%
38%
12%
10%
3%
6%
7%
31 Jan–2 Feb
Populus
2,043
32%
41%
11%
9%
3%
4%
9%
30–31 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,885
34%
39%
8%
11%
3%
5%
5%
28–31 Jan
Opinium/The Observer
1,972
29%
36%
8%
17%
3%
6%
7%
29–30 Jan
Populus
2,044
32%
39%
11%
10%
3%
4%
7%
29–30 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,942
32%
42%
8%
12%
2%
4%
10%
28–29 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,884
35%
38%
10%
11%
2%
4%
3%
27–28 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,814
34%
37%
9%
12%
3%
5%
3%
26–27 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,381
35%
37%
9%
13%
2%
5%
2%
24–26 Jan
ComRes/Independent
1,002
32%
33%
9%
14%
5%
7%
1%
24–26 Jan
Populus
2,052
33%
40%
11%
8%
3%
5%
7%
23–24 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,859
32%
39%
9%
13%
2%
5%
7%
22–23 Jan
Populus
2,051
32%
40%
11%
9%
3%
5%
8%
22–23 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,840
35%
38%
8%
12%
2%
5%
3%
21–22 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,843
32%
40%
8%
12%
3%
5%
8%
20–21 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,961
34%
38%
9%
13%
3%
3%
4%
19–20 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,682
32%
40%
11%
12%
2%
3%
8%
7–20 Jan
Lord Ashcroft
20,058
30%
38%
8%
16%
3%
5%
8%
17–19 Jan
Populus
2,027
32%
39%
12%
9%
3%
5%
7%
16–17 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,957
33%
39%
8%
13%
2%
5%
6%
15–16 Jan
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,029
30%
35%
8%
19%
3%
5%
5%
15–16 Jan
Populus
2,039
33%
40%
13%
9%
2%
3%
7%
15–16 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,981
32%
39%
10%
12%
2%
5%
7%
14–16 Jan
Opinium/The Observer
1,930
30%
36%
8%
17%
3%
6%
6%
14–15 Jan
Survation/Sky News
1,005
30%
34%
12%
18%
2%
4%
4%
14–15 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,893
33%
39%
10%
12%
2%
4%
6%
13–14 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,000
34%
37%
9%
13%
2%
5%
3%
11–14 Jan
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,035
30%
39%
13%
11%
3%
4%
9%
12–13 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,762
33%
38%
11%
12%
2%
4%
5%
10–12 Jan
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,005
32%
35%
14%
10%
3%
6%
3%
10–11 Jan
Populus
2,079
33%
38%
12%
9%
3%
5%
5%
9–10 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,904
31%
40%
9%
14%
2%
4%
9%
8–9 Jan
Populus
2,012
33%
40%
11%
8%
3%
5%
7%
8–9 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,887
32%
38%
9%
13%
2%
6%
6%
7–8 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,958
32%
38%
9%
13%
3%
5%
6%
6–7 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,972
32%
37%
10%
14%
3%
4%
5%
5–6 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,729
32%
40%
9%
12%
2%
5%
8%
3 Jan
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,001
31%
35%
11%
16%
2%
5%
4%
30 Dec–2 Jan
Opinium/The Observer
1,939
30%
37%
8%
17%
3%
5%
7%
2013
Date(s) conducted
Polling organisation/client
Sample size
Con
Lab
Lib Dem
UKIP
Green
Others
Lead
20–22 Dec
Populus
2,013
35%
37%
12%
9%
3%
4%
2%
19–20 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,886
34%
40%
9%
11%
2%
4%
6%
18–19 Dec
Populus
2,055
32%
40%
12%
8%
3%
5%
8%
18–19 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,784
34%
39%
11%
12%
1%
3%
5%
17–18 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,937
34%
38%
10%
11%
2%
5%
4%
16–17 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,791
33%
41%
10%
11%
2%
3%
8%
15–16 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,666
36%
38%
8%
11%
2%
5%
2%
13–15 Dec
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,003
32%
37%
9%
10%
5%
7%
5%
13–15 Dec
Populus
2,058
33%
40%
13%
8%
2%
4%
7%
12–13 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,846
32%
38%
9%
13%
2%
6%
6%
11–13 Dec
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,027
29%
36%
8%
18%
4%
5%
7%
10–13 Dec
Opinium/The Observer
1,949
30%
37%
8%
16%
4%
5%
7%
11–12 Dec
Populus Archived 13 December 2013 at the Wayback Machine
2,024
33%
38%
13%
9%
3%
4%
5%
11–12 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,902
35%
39%
9%
11%
2%
4%
4%
10–11 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,916
33%
39%
9%
13%
2%
4%
6%
9–10 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,852
34%
39%
9%
12%
2%
4%
5%
8–9 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,766
33%
38%
10%
13%
2%
4%
5%
7–9 Dec
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,011
33%
37%
9%
10%
5%
6%
4%
6–8 Dec
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ]
1,001
32%
37%
12%
9%
3%
6%
5%
6–8 Dec
Populus Archived 13 December 2013 at the Wayback Machine
2,027
33%
41%
11%
7%
3%
5%
8%
5–6 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,802
34%
39%
10%
11%
3%
3%
5%
4–5 Dec
Populus Archived 3 December 2013 at the Wayback Machine
2,038
34%
38%
13%
7%
3%
5%
4%
4–5 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,833
29%
41%
9%
14%
2%
5%
12%
3–4 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,943
34%
40%
10%
10%
3%
4%
6%
2–3 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,935
32%
40%
9%
12%
3%
4%
8%
1–2 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,699
32%
38%
10%
12%
2%
6%
6%
29 Nov–1 Dec
Populus
2,012
33%
40%
10%
9%
3%
5%
8%
28–29 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,796
30%
38%
10%
15%
2%
5%
8%
26–29 Nov
Opinium/The Observer
1,941
28%
35%
8%
19%
4%
6%
7%
27–28 Nov
Populus Archived 3 December 2013 at the Wayback Machine
2,025
35%
38%
12%
7%
3%
5%
3%
27–28 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,817
33%
39%
8%
14%
2%
4%
6%
26–27 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,888
32%
39%
10%
13%
2%
4%
7%
25–26 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,919
32%
39%
10%
12%
3%
4%
7%
24–25 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,681
32%
40%
10%
12%
2%
4%
8%
22–24 Nov
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,002
32%
37%
9%
11%
3%
8%
5%
22–24 Nov
Populus
2,075
34%
39%
12%
7%
2%
6%
5%
21–22 Nov
Survation/Daily Star
1,006
29%
36%
10%
18%
3%
4%
7%
21–22 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,867
33%
40%
9%
11%
2%
5%
7%
20–21 Nov
Populus
2,028
33%
38%
11%
11%
2%
5%
5%
20–21 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,909
32%
39%
10%
12%
2%
5%
7%
19–20 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,865
32%
40%
9%
12%
3%
4%
8%
18–19 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,108
34%
38%
10%
11%
2%
5%
4%
17–18 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,650
32%
39%
11%
12%
2%
4%
7%
15–17 Nov
Populus
2,010
32%
41%
10%
9%
2%
6%
9%
14–15 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,851
33%
39%
10%
12%
2%
4%
6%
13–15 Nov
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,023
29%
35%
10%
17%
5%
4%
6%
13–14 Nov
Populus
2,051
31%
40%
11%
10%
3%
5%
9%
13–14 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,765
32%
40%
10%
13%
2%
3%
8%
12–14 Nov
Opinium/The Observer
1,946
28%
37%
9%
16%
4%
6%
9%
12–13 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,998
31%
39%
9%
13%
2%
6%
8%
11–12 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,032
32%
42%
8%
10%
3%
5%
10%
10–11 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,752
33%
40%
9%
11%
3%
4%
7%
9–11 Nov
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,019
32%
38%
8%
8%
7%
8%
6%
7–11 Nov
TNS BMRB Archived 13 July 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,210
30%
38%
8%
12%
4%
7%
8%
8–10 Nov
ICM/The Guardian
1,004
30%
38%
13%
10%
3%
7%
8%
8–10 Nov
Populus
2,053
31%
39%
11%
10%
3%
6%
8%
4–10 Nov
Lord Ashcroft
8,053
30%
39%
8%
16%
3%
5%
9%
7–8 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,878
34%
39%
10%
11%
2%
4%
5%
6–7 Nov
Populus
2,019
32%
39%
12%
9%
3%
5%
7%
6–7 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,806
33%
39%
10%
11%
2%
5%
6%
5–6 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,825
33%
40%
9%
12%
3%
4%
7%
4–5 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,876
34%
40%
8%
11%
2%
6%
6%
3–4 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,747
33%
40%
9%
12%
2%
4%
7%
1–3 Nov
Populus
2,014
34%
39%
10%
10%
3%
4%
5%
25 Sep–3 Nov
Populus
14,701
34%
39%
12%
9%
3%
3%
5%
31 Oct–1 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,885
32%
41%
8%
12%
2%
5%
9%
29 Oct–1 Nov
Opinium/The Observer
1,957
31%
37%
7%
16%
3%
6%
6%
30–31 Oct
Populus
2,015
33%
40%
11%
9%
2%
5%
7%
30–31 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,671
35%
39%
9%
10%
2%
5%
4%
29–30 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,862
33%
40%
8%
11%
2%
6%
7%
28–29 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,956
33%
39%
10%
11%
2%
5%
6%
27–28 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,736
31%
40%
9%
12%
3%
5%
9%
25–27 Oct
ComRes/Independent
1,003
28%
36%
11%
12%
5%
8%
8%
25–27 Oct
Populus
2,065
33%
38%
12%
9%
3%
5%
5%
25 Oct
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,000
29%
35%
12%
17%
2%
5%
6%
24–25 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,913
33%
39%
9%
12%
3%
5%
6%
23–24 Oct
Populus
2,011
34%
39%
11%
10%
3%
3%
5%
23–24 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,677
32%
38%
10%
13%
3%
5%
6%
22–23 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,895
32%
39%
9%
11%
3%
5%
7%
21–22 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,089
32%
40%
10%
13%
2%
3%
8%
20–21 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,735
33%
38%
9%
13%
2%
4%
5%
18–21 Oct
Survation/Free Speech Network
1,004
29%
37%
10%
16%
3%
4%
8%
18–19 Oct
Populus
2,018
34%
37%
14%
8%
3%
4%
3%
17–18 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,311
33%
39%
10%
11%
2%
5%
6%
16–18 Oct
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent
2,001
32%
35%
9%
16%
3%
5%
3%
15–18 Oct
Opinium/The Observer
1,936
27%
38%
9%
17%
4%
4%
11%
16–17 Oct
Populus
2,043
33%
39%
12%
9%
2%
5%
6%
16–17 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,885
34%
40%
9%
11%
2%
4%
6%
15–16 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,914
35%
39%
8%
12%
2%
3%
4%
14–15 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,805
34%
39%
9%
11%
2%
5%
5%
12–15 Oct
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,004
35%
35%
9%
10%
4%
7%
Tie
13–14 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,857
37%
38%
10%
10%
2%
3%
1%
10–14 Oct
TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,207
34%
36%
9%
13%
3%
5%
2%
11–13 Oct
Populus
2,042
34%
39%
12%
8%
3%
4%
5%
11–13 Oct
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,004
34%
38%
12%
8%
3%
5%
4%
11 Oct
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,017
27%
37%
11%
18%
2%
5%
10%
10–11 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,773
34%
39%
9%
11%
3%
5%
5%
9–10 Oct
Populus
2,013
34%
39%
12%
8%
3%
4%
5%
9–10 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,859
33%
40%
10%
11%
2%
4%
7%
8–9 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,907
32%
38%
11%
13%
3%
3%
6%
7–8 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,879
33%
39%
10%
10%
3%
5%
6%
6–7 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,655
35%
39%
9%
10%
3%
3%
4%
4–6 Oct
Populus
2,050
33%
40%
10%
10%
3%
4%
7%
3–4 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,985
33%
38%
11%
13%
2%
3%
5%
1–4 Oct
Opinium/The Observer
1,948
31%
36%
7%
15%
4%
7%
5%
2–3 Oct
Populus
2,014
33%
38%
11%
10%
3%
5%
5%
2–3 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,883
35%
38%
9%
10%
2%
5%
3%
1–2 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,765
34%
40%
9%
10%
3%
4%
6%
30 Sep–1 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,914
31%
41%
8%
12%
2%
5%
10%
29–30 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,717
33%
39%
11%
13%
2%
3%
6%
27–29 Sep
ComRes/Independent
1,001
33%
37%
11%
11%
3%
5%
4%
27–29 Sep
Populus
2,006
36%
39%
11%
7%
3%
4%
3%
26–27 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,895
31%
42%
9%
13%
2%
4%
11%
25–26 Sep
Populus
2,015
34%
37%
12%
9%
2%
6%
3%
25–26 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,840
33%
40%
9%
11%
2%
5%
7%
24–25 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,919
32%
41%
8%
11%
3%
4%
9%
23–24 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,905
34%
39%
10%
10%
3%
4%
5%
22–23 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,763
32%
40%
10%
12%
2%
3%
8%
14 Aug–22 Sep
Populus
14,616
33%
38%
12%
9%
3%
5%
5%
20–22 Sep
Populus
2,036
33%
39%
14%
9%
2%
3%
6%
19–20 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,956
33%
37%
11%
11%
3%
5%
4%
17–20 Sep
Opinium/The Observer
1,929
29%
36%
7%
17%
4%
7%
7%
18–19 Sep
Populus
2,043
33%
39%
11%
9%
3%
5%
6%
18–19 Sep
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,003
28%
36%
10%
17%
4%
5%
8%
18–19 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,878
34%
35%
11%
11%
3%
5%
1%
17–18 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,853
36%
36%
10%
12%
2%
4%
Tie
16–17 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,792
33%
37%
9%
13%
3%
4%
4%
15–16 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,636
34%
37%
10%
12%
3%
5%
3%
12–16 Sep
TNS BMRB Archived 17 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine
1,224
29%
39%
9%
14%
2%
7%
10%
13–15 Sep
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [ 15]
1,000
32%
36%
14%
9%
4%
5%
4%
13–15 Sep
Populus
2,053
33%
40%
11%
9%
2%
5%
7%
12–13 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,903
33%
38%
9%
12%
3%
5%
5%
11–12 Sep
Populus
2,018
34%
41%
10%
7%
3%
5%
7%
11–12 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,819
34%
38%
8%
13%
3%
5%
4%
10–11 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,719
32%
39%
10%
12%
2%
4%
7%
9–10 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,579
33%
39%
9%
11%
3%
5%
6%
8–9 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,615
33%
38%
8%
14%
3%
4%
5%
7–9 Sep
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,000
34%
37%
10%
11%
3%
5%
3%
6–8 Sep
Populus
2,025
34%
37%
13%
9%
2%
5%
3%
5–6 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,916
34%
38%
9%
12%
3%
4%
4%
3–6 Sep
Opinium/The Observer
1,942
30%
35%
7%
17%
4%
7%
5%
4–5 Sep
Populus
2,036
33%
37%
14%
8%
3%
4%
4%
4–5 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,891
31%
38%
10%
13%
2%
6%
7%
3–4 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,930
33%
39%
10%
12%
2%
5%
6%
2–3 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,978
33%
37%
9%
13%
3%
5%
4%
1–2 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,717
33%
40%
9%
12%
2%
5%
7%
29 Aug–2 Sep
TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,230
28%
39%
11%
13%
3%
7%
11%
30 Aug–1 Sep
Lord Ashcroft
1,005
30%
35%
11%
14%
4%
6%
5%
30 Aug–1 Sep
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,000
31%
37%
12%
10%
4%
6%
6%
30 Aug–1 Sep
Populus
2,020
34%
38%
12%
8%
3%
4%
4%
30–31 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,822
31%
41%
9%
13%
2%
4%
10%
30 Aug
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,002
29%
37%
11%
17%
2%
5%
8%
28–29 Aug
Populus
2,041
33%
39%
12%
9%
2%
5%
6%
28–29 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,954
33%
37%
10%
12%
3%
5%
4%
27–28 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,886
34%
37%
11%
12%
2%
5%
3%
26–27 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,991
34%
39%
8%
12%
2%
5%
5%
23–26 Aug
Populus
2,044
33%
37%
13%
10%
2%
5%
4%
22–23 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,949
32%
38%
10%
13%
3%
5%
6%
20–23 Aug
Opinium/The Observer
1,947
29%
36%
8%
18%
4%
5%
7%
21–22 Aug
Populus
2,050
30%
38%
12%
12%
3%
5%
8%
21–22 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,871
32%
39%
11%
10%
2%
5%
7%
20–21 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,858
34%
37%
9%
13%
3%
4%
3%
19–20 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,940
32%
39%
10%
12%
3%
4%
7%
18–19 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,729
31%
38%
10%
14%
3%
6%
7%
16–18 Aug
Populus
2,034
32%
38%
12%
11%
3%
4%
6%
15–16 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,866
32%
38%
10%
13%
3%
5%
6%
14–15 Aug
Populus
2,050
36%
39%
10%
8%
2%
5%
3%
14–15 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,865
34%
39%
9%
11%
2%
5%
5%
14–15 Aug
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent
2,001
28%
37%
8%
19%
3%
5%
9%
13–14 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,914
32%
38%
11%
13%
2%
4%
6%
12–13 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,960
35%
38%
10%
11%
2%
5%
3%
11–12 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,660
33%
40%
8%
13%
2%
5%
7%
10–12 Aug
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,007
30%
40%
10%
11%
6%
3%
10%
9–11 Aug
ICM/The Guardian [ 15]
1,001
32%
35%
14%
10%
3%
5%
3%
9–11 Aug
Populus
2,014
33%
39%
12%
10%
2%
4%
6%
8–9 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,834
33%
41%
9%
10%
3%
4%
8%
7–8 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,735
34%
38%
9%
12%
2%
5%
4%
6–8 Aug
Opinium/The Observer
1,945
29%
36%
9%
17%
3%
6%
7%
6–7 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,884
31%
39%
11%
11%
4%
4%
8%
5–6 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,979
32%
39%
10%
11%
2%
5%
7%
4–5 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,684
34%
38%
11%
12%
2%
5%
4%
2–4 Aug
Populus
2,006
33%
38%
12%
9%
3%
5%
5%
2 Aug
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,001
28%
36%
11%
18%
1%
6%
8%
1–2 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,952
32%
38%
10%
13%
2%
5%
6%
31 Jul–1 Aug
Populus
2,027
29%
40%
11%
12%
3%
5%
11%
31 Jul–1 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,995
34%
40%
10%
11%
3%
2%
6%
30–31 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,869
33%
38%
10%
14%
2%
3%
5%
29–30 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,869
34%
40%
11%
10%
2%
4%
6%
28–29 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,751
33%
40%
10%
12%
2%
3%
7%
26–28 Jul
Populus Archived 4 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
2,049
34%
39%
11%
8%
3%
5%
5%
25–27 Jul
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,001
34%
37%
10%
12%
4%
4%
3%
25–26 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,857
33%
39%
10%
11%
2%
5%
6%
23–26 Jul
Opinium/The Observer
1,935
28%
39%
8%
16%
3%
6%
11%
24–25 Jul
Populus
2,005
32%
39%
11%
10%
3%
5%
7%
24–25 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,817
32%
38%
11%
11%
3%
5%
6%
23–24 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,926
35%
39%
8%
11%
3%
4%
4%
22–23 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,968
32%
39%
11%
12%
2%
4%
7%
21–22 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,710
35%
38%
11%
10%
2%
4%
3%
18–22 Jul
TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,232
28%
38%
9%
16%
2%
7%
10%
19–21 Jul
Populus Archived 4 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
2,049
32%
39%
12%
9%
2%
6%
7%
18–19 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,877
32%
39%
10%
11%
2%
5%
7%
17–18 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,866
33%
38%
11%
11%
2%
5%
5%
17–18 Jul
Populus Archived 4 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
2,004
31%
39%
12%
10%
3%
4%
8%
16–17 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,874
31%
37%
12%
13%
3%
5%
6%
15–16 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,965
32%
38%
10%
12%
2%
6%
6%
14–15 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,701
31%
40%
11%
11%
2%
7%
9%
12–14 Jul
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,003
36%
36%
13%
7%
3%
5%
Tie
12–14 Jul
Populus
2,044
31%
38%
13%
10%
4%
4%
7%
11–12 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,857
30%
41%
10%
13%
2%
4%
11%
11–12 Jul
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,006
28%
36%
9%
20%
4%
3%
8%
10–12 Jul
Opinium/The Observer
1,951
27%
38%
6%
19%
4%
6%
11%
10–11 Jul
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,021
28%
36%
8%
18%
4%
6%
8%
9–10 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,955
32%
37%
11%
12%
3%
4%
5%
8–9 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,938
31%
39%
10%
13%
3%
4%
8%
7–8 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,938
34%
40%
10%
10%
2%
4%
6%
4–5 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,660
33%
39%
11%
12%
2%
4%
6%
3–4 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,792
31%
39%
11%
12%
2%
5%
8%
3 Jul
Survation/Mirror
1,085
23%
36%
10%
22%
4%
5%
13%
2–3 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,923
32%
40%
9%
13%
2%
4%
8%
1–2 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,967
32%
40%
9%
12%
3%
4%
8%
30 Jun–1 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,620
33%
38%
8%
12%
2%
6%
5%
27–28 Jun
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,967
33%
38%
11%
11%
2%
5%
5%
25–28 Jun
Opinium/The Observer
1,954
27%
37%
7%
19%
3%
7%
10%
26–27 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,920
33%
39%
10%
13%
3%
2%
6%
25–26 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,915
31%
42%
11%
10%
3%
4%
11%
24–25 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,860
32%
40%
11%
11%
2%
4%
8%
23–24 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,694
32%
39%
9%
12%
3%
4%
7%
21–23 Jun
ComRes/Independent
1,000
30%
36%
10%
14%
5%
4%
6%
20–21 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,916
31%
39%
10%
13%
3%
4%
8%
19–20 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,872
31%
39%
11%
14%
2%
3%
8%
18–19 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,847
32%
38%
10%
13%
2%
4%
6%
17–18 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,921
31%
38%
10%
12%
2%
6%
7%
16–17 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,705
31%
40%
10%
13%
2%
4%
9%
13–14 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,897
30%
39%
10%
14%
2%
5%
9%
12–14 Jun
Opinium/The Observer
1,942
27%
36%
7%
20%
3%
8%
9%
12–13 Jun
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,041
26%
35%
10%
19%
4%
6%
9%
12–13 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,861
32%
39%
10%
12%
2%
5%
7%
11–12 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,926
30%
38%
11%
12%
3%
5%
8%
10–11 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,874
30%
38%
9%
16%
3%
4%
8%
9–10 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,689
28%
39%
11%
15%
2%
5%
11%
8–10 Jun
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,023
31%
35%
10%
12%
4%
8%
4%
6–10 Jun
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,208
27%
36%
8%
19%
3%
7%
9%
7–9 Jun
ICM/The Guardian
1,002
29%
36%
12%
12%
2%
8%
7%
6–7 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,836
30%
40%
9%
14%
2%
5%
10%
5–6 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,905
32%
39%
10%
13%
3%
3%
7%
4–5 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,939
30%
39%
10%
14%
3%
4%
9%
3–4 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,974
30%
40%
10%
14%
2%
4%
10%
3 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,387
31%
38%
10%
16%
2%
3%
7%
30 May–3 Jun
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,190
24%
37%
10%
19%
3%
7%
13%
31 May–2 Jun
Lord Ashcroft
1,007
27%
37%
9%
15%
12%
10%
30–31 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,879
30%
39%
10%
15%
2%
4%
9%
28–31 May
Opinium/The Observer
1,948
26%
37%
6%
21%
4%
6%
11%
30 May
Survation/Sun on Sunday
1,007
25%
36%
10%
20%
4%
5%
11%
29–30 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,928
30%
38%
11%
14%
3%
4%
8%
28–29 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,915
30%
37%
11%
14%
3%
5%
7%
17–29 May
Lord Ashcroft
20,062
27%
38%
9%
18%
3%
5%
11%
27–28 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,995
29%
39%
10%
15%
3%
5%
10%
24–26 May
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,000
30%
34%
10%
17%
2%
7%
4%
24 May
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,121
24%
35%
10%
22%
4%
5%
11%
23–24 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,839
30%
40%
10%
14%
2%
4%
10%
22–24 May
ComRes/Open Europe
2,003
26%
37%
9%
20%
3%
5%
11%
22–23 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,671
29%
42%
11%
13%
2%
4%
13%
21–22 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,810
29%
39%
11%
16%
1%
4%
10%
20–21 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,914
27%
38%
10%
16%
4%
5%
11%
19–20 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,770
31%
39%
10%
14%
2%
4%
8%
17–18 May
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,000
24%
35%
11%
22%
0%
8%
11%
16–17 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,809
29%
40%
9%
14%
3%
5%
11%
15–16 May
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,017
29%
35%
8%
19%
4%
5%
6%
15–16 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,774
31%
39%
9%
15%
2%
4%
8%
14–16 May
Opinium/The Observer
1,955
27%
37%
7%
20%
4%
5%
10%
14–16 May
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,264
28%
37%
7%
18%
4%
6%
9%
14–15 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,886
30%
40%
10%
14%
2%
5%
10%
13–14 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,900
30%
40%
10%
15%
2%
3%
10%
12–13 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,748
31%
38%
10%
14%
2%
5%
7%
11–13 May
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,009
31%
34%
10%
13%
5%
8%
3%
10–12 May
ICM/The Guardian
1,001
28%
34%
11%
18%
2%
7%
6%
9–10 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,945
30%
39%
9%
16%
3%
3%
9%
8–9 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,876
30%
39%
10%
14%
2%
4%
9%
7–8 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,931
27%
38%
11%
17%
2%
5%
11%
6–7 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,000
29%
39%
9%
16%
2%
5%
10%
2–3 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,959
30%
40%
11%
12%
2%
5%
10%
2 May
2013 United Kingdom local elections
2 May
2013 South Shields by-election
1–2 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,851
32%
43%
9%
10%
1%
5%
11%
30 Apr–2 May
Opinium/The Observer
1,951
28%
35%
9%
17%
4%
7%
7%
30 Apr–1 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,784
33%
39%
10%
13%
2%
3%
6%
29–30 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,891
30%
39%
11%
14%
2%
4%
9%
28–29 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,632
30%
39%
11%
14%
3%
4%
9%
26–28 Apr
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,001
32%
38%
9%
13%
4%
4%
6%
26–28 Apr
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,001
29%
36%
12%
16%
3%
5%
7%
25–26 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,898
31%
40%
11%
11%
3%
5%
9%
24–25 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,836
32%
40%
11%
12%
2%
3%
8%
23–24 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,997
31%
39%
10%
11%
3%
5%
8%
22–23 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,934
33%
40%
10%
12%
3%
3%
7%
21–22 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,722
32%
39%
11%
13%
2%
4%
7%
18–19 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,903
32%
40%
11%
10%
2%
5%
8%
17–18 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,912
33%
40%
10%
11%
2%
5%
7%
16–18 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,969
29%
35%
8%
17%
4%
7%
6%
16–17 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,937
30%
41%
10%
12%
2%
5%
11%
15–16 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,952
33%
40%
10%
11%
2%
4%
7%
13–15 Apr
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,010
29%
38%
10%
15%
4%
4%
9%
14–15 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,609
31%
39%
12%
12%
2%
4%
8%
12–14 Apr
ICM/The Guardian
1,005
32%
38%
15%
9%
2%
5%
6%
12–13 Apr
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,004
27%
39%
8%
16%
3%
7%
12%
11–12 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,982
31%
42%
12%
11%
2%
3%
11%
10–11 Apr
ComRes/Independent/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,012
30%
38%
8%
15%
3%
6%
8%
10–11 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,976
32%
42%
9%
11%
2%
4%
10%
9–10 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,035
28%
42%
12%
11%
2%
5%
14%
8–9 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,893
33%
41%
10%
10%
2%
4%
8%
7–8 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,765
30%
40%
12%
12%
2%
4%
10%
4–8 Apr
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,184
25%
40%
10%
14%
4%
7%
15%
4–5 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,991
30%
40%
11%
13%
2%
4%
10%
3–4 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,013
30%
42%
11%
12%
2%
4%
12%
2–4 Apr
Opinium/The Observer
1,948
28%
38%
8%
17%
3%
6%
10%
2–3 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,994
33%
41%
9%
11%
2%
4%
8%
1–2 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,757
30%
43%
11%
10%
3%
3%
13%
27–28 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,918
29%
42%
11%
13%
2%
3%
13%
26–27 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,867
30%
40%
12%
13%
2%
3%
10%
25–26 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,047
30%
39%
13%
12%
2%
3%
9%
24–25 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,655
30%
41%
13%
11%
2%
4%
11%
21–25 Mar
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,204
27%
37%
10%
17%
3%
7%
10%
22–24 Mar
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,003
28%
38%
12%
14%
3%
5%
10%
21–22 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,937
30%
41%
12%
12%
2%
3%
11%
20–21 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,925
32%
41%
11%
10%
2%
4%
9%
19–21 Mar
Opinium/The Observer
1,958
28%
38%
9%
16%
2%
7%
10%
19–20 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,942
30%
41%
11%
12%
1%
5%
11%
18–19 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,920
31%
41%
11%
11%
2%
4%
10%
17–18 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,779
32%
40%
11%
10%
2%
4%
8%
14–18 Mar
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,205
26%
39%
13%
13%
2%
6%
13%
14–15 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,918
29%
41%
12%
12%
2%
4%
12%
13–14 Mar
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,015
28%
37%
9%
17%
4%
5%
9%
13–14 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,962
30%
42%
11%
11%
2%
5%
12%
12–13 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,871
31%
40%
11%
12%
3%
4%
9%
11–12 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,969
29%
43%
11%
12%
1%
4%
14%
10–11 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,684
32%
40%
11%
11%
1%
5%
8%
9–11 Mar
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,009
27%
40%
11%
13%
4%
5%
13%
7–11 Mar
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,191
25%
38%
11%
15%
3%
7%
13%
8–10 Mar
ICM/The Guardian
1,002
31%
39%
15%
7%
2%
6%
8%
7–8 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,525
31%
41%
12%
11%
1%
4%
10%
6–7 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,865
32%
41%
11%
11%
2%
4%
9%
5–7 Mar
Opinium/The Observer
1,950
27%
39%
8%
17%
3%
6%
12%
5–6 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,964
31%
41%
11%
12%
2%
4%
10%
4–5 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,906
29%
42%
11%
12%
2%
4%
13%
3–4 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,727
31%
40%
12%
12%
1%
5%
9%
28 Feb–4 Mar
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,194
29%
38%
11%
14%
3%
6%
9%
28 Feb–1 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,897
31%
42%
10%
11%
2%
3%
11%
28 Feb
2013 Eastleigh by-election
27–28 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,761
29%
42%
12%
11%
2%
4%
13%
26–27 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,966
32%
43%
11%
8%
1%
5%
11%
25–26 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,925
32%
42%
12%
9%
1%
5%
10%
24–25 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,704
32%
44%
10%
8%
2%
4%
12%
22–24 Feb
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,964
32%
43%
11%
9%
2%
3%
11%
22–24 Feb
ComRes/Independent
1,005
31%
43%
8%
9%
4%
5%
12%
20–21 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,920
31%
45%
11%
9%
2%
2%
14%
19–21 Feb
Opinium/The Observer
1,956
29%
41%
8%
13%
2%
7%
12%
19–20 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,968
33%
43%
9%
10%
2%
3%
10%
18–19 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,855
29%
44%
11%
11%
1%
4%
15%
17–18 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,713
32%
41%
12%
8%
2%
4%
9%
14–18 Feb
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,211
29%
38%
11%
12%
3%
7%
9%
14–15 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,871
32%
43%
12%
9%
1%
3%
11%
13–14 Feb
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,002
31%
36%
8%
14%
4%
6%
5%
13–14 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,892
31%
42%
11%
10%
2%
3%
11%
12–13 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,946
32%
42%
9%
9%
3%
4%
10%
11–12 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,902
32%
43%
10%
9%
2%
4%
11%
10–11 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,691
31%
42%
11%
9%
2%
5%
11%
9–11 Feb
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,018
30%
42%
7%
9%
4%
8%
12%
7–11 Feb
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,197
31%
41%
10%
10%
3%
5%
10%
8–10 Feb
ICM/The Guardian
1,001
29%
41%
13%
9%
2%
6%
12%
7–8 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,930
32%
41%
11%
9%
2%
5%
9%
6–7 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,917
33%
41%
11%
9%
2%
4%
8%
5–7 Feb
Opinium/The Observer
1,953
29%
39%
8%
14%
4%
5%
10%
5–6 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,955
31%
42%
12%
9%
1%
4%
11%
4–5 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,962
32%
42%
11%
8%
2%
5%
10%
3–4 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,712
30%
45%
11%
9%
2%
3%
15%
31 Jan–4 Feb
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,199
28%
41%
10%
11%
3%
7%
13%
31 Jan–1 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,030
34%
41%
12%
8%
1%
4%
7%
30–31 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,914
32%
44%
10%
8%
2%
3%
12%
29–30 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,939
33%
42%
10%
7%
2%
5%
9%
28–29 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,971
33%
42%
11%
8%
2%
4%
9%
27–28 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,727
35%
41%
10%
9%
2%
3%
6%
25–27 Jan
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,002
32%
39%
10%
10%
5%
4%
7%
25 Jan
Survation/Mail on Sunday
1,005
31%
38%
10%
14%
2%
5%
7%
24–25 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,943
35%
41%
12%
7%
1%
4%
6%
24–25 Jan
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,004
30%
39%
10%
12%
3%
6%
9%
23–25 Jan
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent
2,035
33%
39%
11%
10%
2%
5%
6%
23–24 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,843
33%
43%
10%
9%
2%
3%
10%
22–24 Jan
Opinium/The Observer
1,949
28%
41%
8%
14%
3%
6%
13%
22–24 Jan
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,237
31%
41%
8%
12%
3%
6%
10%
22–23 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,045
31%
43%
11%
10%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|12%
21–22 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,119
31%
41%
12%
10%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|10%
20–21 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,675
33%
42%
10%
10%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|9%
18–20 Jan
ICM/The Guardian
1,001
33%
38%
15%
6%
2%
5%
5%
17–18 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,912
33%
42%
11%
7%
2%
5%
9%
16–17 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,887
34%
44%
9%
8%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|10%
15–16 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,880
33%
42%
12%
8%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|9%
14–15 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,007
32%
44%
10%
9%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|12%
13–14 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,714
31%
44%
11%
9%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|13%
12–14 Jan
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,015
30%
43%
8%
9%
3%
8%
13%
11–14 Jan
TNS BMRB Archived 29 November 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,198
31%
37%
9%
13%
3%
7%
6%
10–11 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,995
31%
44%
11%
8%
2%
4%
13%
10–11 Jan
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,015
27%
42%
10%
11%
3%
6%
15%
8–11 Jan
Opinium/The Observer
1,964
31%
41%
7%
12%
2%
9%
10%
9–10 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,971
31%
42%
11%
10%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|11%
8–9 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,980
33%
43%
10%
10%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|10%
7–8 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,050
32%
44%
10%
9%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|12%
6–7 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,750
32%
41%
11%
9%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|9%
4–7 Jan
TNS BMRB Archived 27 May 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,221
29%
39%
10%
12%
3%
7%
10%
5 Jan
Survation/Mail on Sunday
790
29%
38%
11%
16%
3%
4%
9%
3–4 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,988
32%
43%
10%
9%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|11%
2–3 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,005
32%
43%
10%
9%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|11%
1–2 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,760
31%
43%
11%
9%
2%
||style="background:#DC241F; color:white;"|12%
2012
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client
Sample size
Con
Lab
Lib Dem
UKIP
Green
Others
Lead
21–27 Dec
Opinium/The Observer
1,965
29%
39%
8%
15%
4%
5%
10%
19–23 Dec
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [ 17]
1,002
32%
40%
13%
7%
3%
5%
8%
20–21 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,661
33%
43%
10%
8%
1%
5%
10%
19–20 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,923
33%
41%
11%
10%
2%
8%
18–19 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,556
30%
43%
11%
10%
2%
13%
17–18 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,816
32%
43%
9%
10%
2%
11%
16–17 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,633
31%
43%
9%
11%
2%
12%
13–17 Dec
TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,190
30%
43%
7%
12%
4%
4%
13%
15–16 Dec
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday; The Sunday Mirror
2,002
28%
39%
9%
14%
4%
6%
11%
14–16 Dec
Populus/The Times
1,512
28%
41%
10%
11%
3%
7%
13%
13–14 Dec
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,794
33%
45%
9%
8%
2%
3%
12%
12–13 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,736
33%
43%
9%
10%
2%
10%
11–13 Dec
Opinium/The Observer
1,968
29%
39%
8%
14%
4%
6%
10%
11–12 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,805
31%
44%
12%
9%
2%
13%
10–11 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,897
31%
43%
10%
9%
2%
12%
9–10 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,729
33%
42%
10%
8%
2%
9%
8–10 Dec
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,023
35%
44%
9%
7%
3%
2%
9%
6–10 Dec
TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,171
26%
41%
8%
16%
3%
6%
15%
6–7 Dec
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,779
33%
42%
10%
9%
2%
4%
9%
5–6 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,899
32%
42%
10%
9%
2%
10%
4–5 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,784
32%
44%
9%
10%
2%
12%
4 Dec
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,005
28%
42%
10%
11%
3%
6%
14%
3–4 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,743
30%
44%
11%
10%
1%
14%
2–3 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,584
31%
43%
11%
10%
2%
12%
29 Nov–3 Dec
TNS BMRB Archived 15 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,172
28%
40%
10%
12%
2%
8%
12%
30 Nov–1 Dec
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,773
31%
44%
10%
10%
2%
4%
13%
29 Nov
2012 Rotherham by-election
29 Nov
2012 Croydon North by-election
29 Nov
2012 Middlesbrough by-election
28–29 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,854
32%
42%
10%
10%
2%
10%
27–29 Nov
Opinium
1,949
29%
38%
9%
13%
3%
8%
9%
27–28 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,842
32%
44%
11%
8%
2%
12%
26–27 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,910
31%
43%
9%
11%
2%
12%
25–26 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,624
34%
43%
9%
8%
1%
9%
22–26 Nov
TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,212
31%
41%
8%
10%
3%
7%
10%
22–23 Nov
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,812
33%
44%
9%
8%
2%
4%
11%
21–22 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,808
31%
43%
10%
9%
2%
12%
20–21 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,691
33%
41%
9%
10%
3%
8%
19–20 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,627
33%
42%
10%
8%
2%
9%
18–19 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,552
32%
42%
9%
9%
2%
10%
16–18 Nov
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [ 17]
1,001
32%
40%
13%
7%
2%
6%
8%
15–16 Nov
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,893
33%
44%
9%
8%
2%
4%
11%
14–16 Nov
TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,156
31%
39%
11%
7%
4%
8%
8%
15 Nov
2012 Corby by-election
15 Nov
2012 Cardiff South and Penarth by-election
15 Nov
2012 Manchester Central by-election
15 Nov
2012 England and Wales police and crime commissioner elections
14–15 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,746
33%
43%
8%
9%
2%
10%
13–14 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,864
35%
42%
8%
7%
3%
7%
13 Nov
Opinium
1,957
32%
39%
8%
10%
3%
8%
7%
12–13 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,828
34%
44%
9%
7%
2%
10%
10–13 Nov
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,014
32%
46%
9%
3%
4%
6%
14%
11–12 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,583
35%
39%
10%
8%
2%
4%
8–12 Nov
TNS BMRB Archived 6 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,161
31%
41%
9%
9%
3%
7%
10%
8–9 Nov
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,642
32%
44%
8%
8%
2%
5%
12%
7–8 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,859
33%
44%
9%
7%
2%
11%
6–7 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,873
34%
45%
8%
6%
3%
11%
5–6 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,816
35%
42%
9%
7%
2%
7%
4–5 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,608
35%
44%
8%
7%
2%
9%
1–5 Nov
TNS BMRB Archived 27 April 2019 at the Wayback Machine
1,194
31%
42%
9%
8%
3%
7%
11%
1–2 Nov
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,851
35%
42%
9%
7%
2%
5%
7%
31 Oct–1 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,743
33%
44%
9%
7%
3%
11%
31 Oct–1 Nov
Opinium
1,966
30%
41%
9%
10%
3%
7%
11%
30–31 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,824
33%
44%
9%
8%
2%
11%
29–30 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,936
32%
44%
9%
8%
2%
12%
28–29 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,681
33%
43%
9%
8%
2%
10%
25–29 Oct
TNS BMRB Archived 16 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,164
31%
42%
11%
8%
2%
6%
11%
25–26 Oct
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,858
35%
42%
9%
7%
3%
3%
7%
24–25 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,785
33%
44%
10%
6%
2%
11%
23–24 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,818
33%
43%
9%
8%
2%
10%
20–24 Oct
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,005
33%
43%
9%
6%
3%
6%
10%
22–23 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,637
34%
42%
9%
8%
2%
8%
21–22 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,666
32%
45%
8%
8%
3%
13%
19–22 Oct
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [ 17]
1,000
32%
43%
11%
5%
2%
7%
11%
18–22 Oct
TNS BMRB Archived 16 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,154
30%
44%
8%
7%
3%
8%
14%
18–19 Oct
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,734
32%
43%
9%
9%
2%
5%
11%
17–18 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,830
34%
42%
10%
9%
2%
8%
16–18 Oct
Opinium
1951
31%
40%
9%
10%
4%
6%
9%
16–17 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,749
33%
42%
9%
7%
3%
9%
15–16 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,766
34%
43%
9%
7%
2%
9%
14–15 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,704
34%
43%
9%
7%
3%
9%
11–12 Oct
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,009
31%
43%
8%
8%
3%
7%
12%
11–15 Oct
TNS BMRB [permanent dead link ]
1,196
29%
42%
7%
10%
4%
8%
13%
11–12 Oct
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,902
33%
43%
10%
6%
2%
5%
10%
10–11 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,761
35%
42%
8%
7%
2%
7%
9–10 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,912
34%
41%
8%
10%
2%
7%
8–9 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,899
33%
45%
9%
6%
3%
12%
7–8 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,697
34%
44%
8%
7%
2%
10%
4–5 Oct
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,782
31%
45%
8%
8%
3%
4%
14%
3–4 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,745
32%
43%
10%
8%
2%
11%
2–4 Oct
Opinium
1,965
30%
41%
9%
11%
4%
5%
11%
2–3 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,641
31%
45%
10%
7%
2%
14%
1–2 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,726
34%
42%
9%
8%
2%
8%
30 Sep–1 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,710
34%
43%
9%
7%
7%
9%
27–28 Sep
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,671
35%
40%
10%
7%
3%
6%
5%
26–27 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,891
31%
43%
11%
8%
4%
12%
25–26 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,760
32%
41%
9%
9%
3%
9%
25 Sep
Opinium
1,969
29%
39%
10%
10%
4%
8%
10%
24–25 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,764
31%
44%
9%
9%
3%
13%
23–24 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,739
32%
43%
9%
7%
3%
11%
20–21 Sep
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,608
34%
43%
8%
8%
2%
5%
9%
19–21 Sep
TNS BMRB Archived 14 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
1,140
28%
44%
8%
7%
5%
8%
16%
18–21 Sep
Opinium
1,964
30%
42%
8%
10%
4%
6%
12%
19–20 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,906
35%
41%
9%
7%
3%
6%
18–19 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,710
33%
45%
10%
7%
2%
12%
17–18 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,744
34%
43%
8%
8%
3%
9%
16–17 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,731
33%
45%
10%
5%
2%
12%
15–17 Sep
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,006
30%
41%
13%
4%
8%
4%
11%
13–14 Sep
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,671
34%
44%
9%
7%
3%
4%
10%
12–13 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,594
34%
43%
8%
7%
3%
9%
11–12 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,703
33%
42%
11%
7%
1%
9%
10–12 Sep
Opinium
1,961
32%
40%
10%
9%
3%
6%
8%
10–11 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,682
31%
44%
9%
8%
3%
13%
9–10 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,871
31%
42%
10%
8%
2%
11%
6–7 Sep
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,860
33%
43%
10%
7%
2%
5%
10%
5–6 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,311
33%
45%
8%
6%
3%
12%
4–5 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,474
33%
45%
8%
7%
2%
12%
3–4 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,698
34%
40%
10%
7%
3%
6%
2–3 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,716
33%
44%
8%
7%
2%
11%
30–31 Aug
Opinium
1,947
31%
42%
8%
9%
3%
7%
11%
30–31 Aug
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,739
35%
41%
9%
7%
2%
5%
6%
29–30 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,653
33%
42%
10%
8%
2%
9%
28–29 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,763
32%
44%
9%
6%
3%
12%
27–28 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,695
32%
44%
10%
8%
3%
12%
24–26 Aug
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [ 17]
1,006
34%
39%
15%
4%
2%
7%
5%
22–23 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,684
32%
44%
10%
7%
3%
12%
21–22 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,674
33%
42%
10%
6%
2%
9%
20–21 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,743
34%
44%
8%
8%
2%
10%
19–20 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,725
34%
44%
8%
7%
3%
10%
16–17 Aug
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,687
32%
43%
10%
7%
2%
6%
11%
15–16 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,720
35%
44%
8%
6%
2%
9%
14–15 Aug
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,012
30%
41%
11%
9%
3%
6%
11%
14–15 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,711
34%
43%
10%
6%
2%
9%
13–14 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,758
34%
44%
10%
7%
1%
10%
12–13 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,742
34%
42%
9%
6%
3%
8%
11–13 Aug
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,007
32%
42%
11%
4%
4%
7%
10%
9–10 Aug
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,704
34%
42%
8%
8%
2%
5%
8%
8–9 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,751
33%
42%
9%
9%
3%
9%
7–9 Aug
Opinium
1,960
31%
40%
10%
10%
3%
6%
9%
7–8 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,715
33%
42%
11%
6%
2%
9%
6–7 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,733
33%
44%
9%
8%
2%
11%
5–6 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,738
34%
44%
10%
6%
2%
10%
2–3 Aug
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,787
32%
44%
10%
8%
2%
4%
12%
1–2 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,654
33%
44%
8%
9%
2%
11%
31 Jul-1 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,744
32%
43%
10%
8%
2%
11%
30–31 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,704
34%
42%
10%
6%
2%
8%
29–30 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,736
33%
44%
9%
7%
2%
11%
26–27 Jul
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,751
33%
42%
9%
8%
3%
5%
9%
25–26 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,702
33%
42%
9%
7%
3%
9%
24–25 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,766
33%
44%
9%
7%
2%
11%
23–24 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,745
33%
44%
9%
7%
3%
11%
22–23 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,730
33%
43%
9%
8%
1%
10%
19–20 Jul
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,617
34%
43%
11%
7%
3%
3%
9%
18–19 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,658
34%
42%
9%
7%
2%
8%
17–18 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,774
33%
43%
8%
7%
2%
10%
16–17 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,690
34%
43%
8%
7%
2%
9%
15–16 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,724
33%
44%
9%
8%
2%
11%
14–16 Jul
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,006
31%
44%
12%
5%
3%
5%
13%
13–16 Jul
Opinium
1,951
32%
41%
9%
8%
4%
6%
9%
12–13 Jul
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,752
34%
43%
9%
7%
3%
5%
9%
11–12 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,759
34%
42%
9%
7%
3%
8%
10–11 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,696
35%
42%
9%
8%
2%
7%
9–10 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,697
33%
43%
11%
6%
3%
10%
8–9 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,721
35%
44%
7%
6%
3%
9%
5–6 Jul
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,712
32%
43%
8%
8%
3%
5%
11%
4–5 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,762
35%
43%
8%
8%
2%
8%
3–5 Jul
Opinium
1,956
30%
40%
9%
9%
4%
8%
10%
3–4 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,761
33%
44%
8%
7%
3%
11%
2–3 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,730
35%
42%
10%
7%
2%
7%
1–2 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,748
34%
44%
8%
8%
2%
10%
28–29 Jun
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,760
34%
43%
9%
6%
2%
5%
9%
27–28 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,764
32%
43%
10%
7%
3%
11%
26–28 Jun
Opinium
1,959
31%
42%
8%
9%
4%
6%
11%
26–27 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,751
31%
45%
9%
7%
2%
14%
25–26 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,614
34%
42%
11%
7%
2%
8%
24–25 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,697
32%
43%
11%
7%
1%
11%
22–24 Jun
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,002
34%
39%
14%
3%
3%
7%
5%
21–22 Jun
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,734
34%
43%
9%
8%
2%
5%
9%
20–21 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,642
33%
43%
8%
8%
2%
10%
19–20 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,752
34%
41%
10%
8%
3%
7%
18–19 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,727
34%
44%
7%
6%
2%
10%
17–18 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,716
33%
44%
7%
8%
2%
11%
15–17 Jun
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,503
33%
41%
9%
5%
5%
7%
8%
14–15 Jun
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,761
32%
44%
9%
8%
3%
5%
12%
13–15 Jun
ComRes/Independent on Sunday; Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,014
32%
42%
9%
8%
3%
6%
10%
13–14 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,711
31%
43%
9%
8%
3%
12%
12–13 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,675
31%
43%
9%
9%
2%
12%
11–12 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,699
33%
43%
8%
8%
3%
10%
10–11 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,763
31%
45%
9%
9%
3%
14%
9–11 Jun
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,016
31%
40%
10%
6%
5%
8%
9%
8–11 Jun
Opinium
1,962
31%
42%
9%
8%
4%
6%
11%
7–8 Jun
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,667
34%
42%
7%
9%
3%
5%
8%
6–7 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,827
34%
43%
8%
6%
3%
9%
5–6 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,766
34%
43%
8%
7%
3%
9%
31 May–1 Jun
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,546
32%
42%
8%
7%
4%
5%
10%
30–31 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,694
31%
45%
9%
8%
3%
14%
29–30 May
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,005
29%
45%
9%
8%
3%
6%
16%
29–30 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,670
32%
44%
9%
7%
3%
12%
28–29 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,670
32%
45%
8%
8%
2%
13%
27–28 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,743
33%
44%
8%
7%
3%
11%
25–28 May
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,001
34%
42%
11%
4%
3%
9%
8%
24–25 May
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,640
31%
43%
8%
8%
3%
6%
12%
23–24 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,681
34%
42%
8%
7%
4%
8%
22–23 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,682
32%
42%
9%
9%
3%
10%
21–22 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,727
32%
43%
8%
9%
3%
11%
20–21 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,705
32%
44%
7%
8%
3%
12%
18–20 May
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,500
33%
41%
10%
5%
3%
10%
8%
18–20 May
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,002
36%
41%
11%
4%
3%
6%
5%
17–18 May
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,683
32%
43%
8%
9%
2%
6%
11%
16–17 May
ComRes/Independent on Sunday; Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,038
32%
41%
11%
7%
3%
6%
9%
16–17 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,757
31%
44%
7%
9%
3%
13%
15–17 May
Opinium
1,957
30%
41%
9%
10%
3%
7%
11%
15–16 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,751
31%
45%
9%
8%
2%
14%
14–15 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,692
32%
43%
8%
9%
3%
11%
13–14 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,720
31%
45%
7%
8%
3%
14%
12–14 May
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,006
33%
43%
9%
6%
3%
7%
10%
10–11 May
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,663
31%
43%
10%
8%
2%
7%
12%
9–10 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,825
34%
44%
7%
7%
3%
10%
8–9 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,708
31%
44%
9%
8%
3%
13%
7–8 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,658
31%
44%
8%
8%
3%
13%
5–7 May
TNS-BMRB Archived 10 February 2019 at the Wayback Machine
1,207
30%
43%
10%
4%
13%
13%
3–4 May
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,798
31%
43%
9%
8%
3%
6%
12%
3 May
2012 United Kingdom local elections
2–3 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,745
32%
41%
9%
9%
4%
9%
1–2 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,749
33%
43%
8%
8%
3%
10%
30 Apr–1 May
YouGov/The Sun
1,744
32%
41%
9%
8%
4%
9%
29–30 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,763
35%
42%
8%
7%
2%
7%
27–30 Apr
Opinium
1,769
32%
39%
8%
10%
4%
7%
7%
26–27 Apr
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,717
29%
40%
11%
10%
3%
7%
11%
25–27 Apr
ComRes/The Independent
2,048
34%
39%
10%
9%
2%
6%
5%
25–26 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,717
31%
43%
9%
9%
2%
12%
24–25 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,817
32%
43%
9%
8%
3%
11%
23–24 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,787
32%
43%
8%
8%
3%
11%
22–23 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,651
32%
45%
8%
7%
3%
13%
21–23 Apr
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,002
35%
38%
12%
4%
4%
7%
3%
20–23 Apr
Opinium
2,233
31%
38%
11%
8%
4%
8%
7%
20–22 Apr
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,000
33%
41%
15%
3%
2%
7%
8%
19–20 Apr
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,715
33%
41%
11%
8%
2%
5%
8%
18–19 Apr
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,048
34%
40%
11%
6%
3%
5%
6%
18–19 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,722
32%
45%
8%
7%
3%
13%
17–18 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,745
32%
41%
10%
8%
2%
9%
16–17 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,799
32%
41%
8%
9%
3%
9%
15–16 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,783
32%
43%
8%
9%
2%
11%
13–16 Apr
Opinium
1,957
32%
37%
9%
10%
4%
8%
5%
13–15 Apr
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,003
33%
42%
11%
4%
3%
9%
9%
12–13 Apr
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,010
29%
41%
11%
8%
3%
8%
12%
12–13 Apr
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,650
33%
39%
10%
7%
2%
8%
6%
11–12 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,686
35%
41%
9%
7%
3%
6%
11 Apr
TNS-BMRB Archived 16 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine
TBC
32%
42%
10%
9%
7%
10%
10–11 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,727
35%
41%
8%
6%
3%
6%
9–10 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,661
36%
40%
9%
6%
2%
4%
4–5 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,744
33%
42%
8%
7%
3%
9%
3–4 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,742
32%
42%
9%
8%
3%
10%
2–3 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,744
34%
42%
8%
6%
2%
8%
1–2 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
1,732
33%
43%
8%
6%
3%
10%
30–31 Mar
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,567
33%
42%
8%
7%
3%
7%
9%
29 Mar
2012 Bradford West by-election
28–29 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,701
34%
44%
8%
5%
2%
10%
27–28 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,807
34%
44%
10%
6%
2%
10%
26–27 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,682
33%
43%
9%
7%
2%
10%
25–26 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,734
35%
42%
9%
6%
3%
7%
23–26 Mar
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,010
33%
43%
11%
3%
10%
10%
23–25 Mar
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,500
34%
38%
11%
4%
5%
8%
4%
22–23 Mar
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,721
35%
42%
10%
6%
2%
6%
7%
22–23 Mar
ICM/Sunday Telegraph [ 17]
1,000
37%
38%
13%
4%
5%
4%
1%
21–23 Mar
Opinium
1,957
34%
39%
8%
9%
3%
7%
5%
21–22 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,835
34%
42%
9%
6%
2%
8%
20–21 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,757
36%
41%
10%
5%
2%
5%
19–20 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,748
35%
43%
9%
4%
2%
8%
18–19 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,685
36%
42%
9%
5%
2%
6%
17–19 Mar
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard
1,014
35%
38%
12%
3%
5%
7%
3%
16–18 Mar
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,000
39%
36%
15%
1%
2%
7%
2%
15–16 Mar
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,727
38%
40%
9%
5%
3%
6%
2%
14–15 Mar
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,010
37%
40%
10%
6%
3%
4%
3%
14–15 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,741
37%
42%
8%
5%
3%
5%
13–14 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,738
38%
41%
9%
5%
3%
3%
12–13 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,747
36%
43%
9%
5%
2%
7%
11–12 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,801
36%
41%
9%
6%
2%
5%
9–12 Mar
Opinium
1,955
38%
36%
10%
7%
3%
6%
2%
8–9 Mar
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,707
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
5%
7–8 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,730
37%
42%
8%
4%
3%
5%
6–7 Mar
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,018
32%
40%
10%
7%
2%
9%
8%
6–7 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,723
38%
41%
9%
6%
2%
3%
5–6 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,736
37%
41%
9%
6%
3%
4%
4–5 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,729
36%
41%
11%
5%
3%
5%
2–5 Mar
TNS-BMRB [permanent dead link ]
1,198
35%
38%
11%
8%
8%
3%
1–2 Mar
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,664
40%
39%
9%
5%
2%
5%
1%
29 Feb–1 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,787
39%
39%
8%
5%
3%
Tie
28–29 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,778
38%
40%
9%
5%
2%
2%
27–28 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,729
40%
39%
9%
5%
2%
1%
26–27 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,741
38%
40%
9%
6%
2%
2%
25–27 Feb
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,002
35%
41%
12%
2%
4%
6%
6%
24–26 Feb
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,001
37%
40%
13%
3%
3%
4%
3%
23–24 Feb
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,697
38%
40%
10%
5%
2%
5%
2%
22–23 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,690
39%
38%
10%
4%
3%
1%
21–23 Feb
Opinium
1,959
35%
39%
10%
6%
5%
6%
4%
21–22 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,731
38%
40%
8%
5%
3%
2%
20–21 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,715
37%
41%
9%
5%
2%
4%
19–20 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,764
39%
38%
10%
5%
2%
1%
17–19 Feb
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [ 17]
1,013
36%
37%
14%
3%
3%
7%
1%
16–17 Feb
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,772
37%
41%
7%
6%
3%
6%
4%
15–16 Feb
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,014
39%
38%
10%
5%
3%
5%
1%
15–16 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,738
39%
39%
9%
5%
3%
Tie
14–15 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,828
39%
40%
9%
5%
2%
1%
13–14 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,725
40%
39%
9%
5%
3%
1%
12–13 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,772
38%
42%
9%
4%
2%
4%
10–13 Feb
Opinium
1,960
36%
36%
10%
7%
4%
7%
Tie
9–10 Feb
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,753
38%
39%
9%
4%
4%
6%
1%
8–9 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,644
38%
41%
9%
4%
2%
3%
7–8 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,763
40%
38%
10%
4%
3%
2%
6–7 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,651
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
5–6 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,697
41%
40%
8%
5%
1%
1%
2–3 Feb
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,659
39%
40%
9%
5%
3%
4%
1%
1–2 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,654
39%
41%
8%
5%
2%
2%
31 Jan–1 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,701
38%
40%
8%
5%
3%
2%
30–31 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,722
39%
40%
9%
4%
2%
1%
29–30 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,977
40%
38%
10%
5%
2%
2%
27–30 Jan
Opinium
1,958
38%
36%
8%
6%
4%
8%
2%
27–29 Jan
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,001
37%
38%
14%
3%
2%
6%
1%
26–27 Jan
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,716
39%
40%
8%
5%
2%
5%
1%
24–25 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,715
38%
40%
9%
6%
3%
2%
23–24 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,693
40%
38%
9%
5%
2%
2%
22–23 Jan
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,009
35%
37%
11%
6%
3%
7%
2%
22–23 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,766
39%
40%
8%
6%
2%
1%
21–23 Jan
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,007
38%
38%
12%
3%
4%
5%
Tie
20–23 Jan
TNS-BMRB [permanent dead link ]
1,300
37%
40%
10%
2%
11%
3%
20–22 Jan
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,503
37%
38%
13%
2%
2%
8%
1%
20–22 Jan
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [permanent dead link ] [ 17]
1,003
40%
35%
16%
2%
2%
5%
5%
19–20 Jan
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,711
41%
36%
9%
5%
3%
6%
5%
18–19 Jan
ComRes/Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
2,050
38%
38%
11%
5%
3%
4%
Tie
18–19 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,752
41%
38%
8%
6%
2%
3%
17–18 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,699
40%
39%
7%
5%
2%
1%
15–17 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,707
39%
40%
8%
4%
2%
1%
15–16 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,726
40%
40%
9%
5%
2%
Tie
13–15 Jan
Opinium
1,983
37%
37%
9%
6%
4%
8%
Tie
12–13 Jan
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,761
38%
40%
9%
5%
2%
7%
2%
11–12 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,761
41%
40%
8%
4%
2%
1%
10–11 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,709
40%
38%
10%
4%
2%
2%
9–10 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,767
40%
40%
10%
4%
2%
Tie
8–9 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,727
39%
41%
10%
3%
2%
2%
5–6 Jan
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,715
38%
40%
10%
5%
2%
5%
2%
4–5 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,766
39%
41%
11%
3%
2%
2%
3–5 Jan
Opinium
1,963
36%
37%
9%
7%
4%
7%
1%
3–4 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,772
38%
42%
10%
5%
2%
4%
2–3 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,762
39%
41%
9%
4%
2%
2%
2011
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client
Sample size
Con
Lab
Lib Dem
UKIP
Green
Others
Lead
21–22 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,721
40%
40%
9%
4%
2%
Tie
20–21 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,767
40%
40%
10%
4%
3%
Tie
20–21 Dec
ICM/The Guardian
1,003
37%
36%
15%
3%
2%
10%
1%
19–20 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,759
39%
40%
10%
4%
2%
1%
18–19 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,721
38%
42%
9%
3%
2%
4%
16–19 Dec
TNS-BMRB
1,231
35%
38%
11%
3%
13%
3%
16–18 Dec
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,516
35%
39%
12%
2%
4%
10%
4%
15–16 Dec
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,724
39%
42%
9%
4%
2%
5%
3%
15 Dec
2011 Feltham and Heston by-election
14–15 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,744
41%
40%
10%
4%
2%
1%
14–15 Dec
ICM/The Sunday Telegraph
1,008
40%
34%
14%
3%
2%
5%
6%
13–14 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,751
40%
38%
10%
5%
2%
2%
12–13 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,704
41%
39%
10%
3%
2%
5%
2%
11–12 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,724
39%
40%
10%
4%
2%
1%
10–12 Dec
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
530
41%
39%
11%
2%
2%
6%
2%
9–11 Dec
ComRes/The Independent
1,002
38%
38%
12%
2%
4%
6%
Tie
8–9 Dec
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,698
38%
39%
11%
5%
2%
5%
1%
6–7 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,757
35%
42%
9%
6%
2%
7%
5–6 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,686
37%
41%
10%
5%
2%
4%
4–5 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,699
36%
42%
11%
4%
1%
6%
1–2 Dec
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,702
35%
43%
9%
6%
2%
5%
8%
30 Nov–1 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,748
36%
41%
11%
4%
2%
5%
29–30 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,769
37%
42%
9%
6%
2%
5%
29–30 Nov
ICM/The Sunday Telegraph
1,005
38%
36%
14%
2%
2%
8%
2%
28–29 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,742
38%
41%
9%
5%
2%
3%
27–28 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,723
37%
39%
9%
6%
2%
2%
24–28 Nov
TNS-BMRB Archived 15 December 2014 at the Wayback Machine
795
35%
38%
9%
5%
4%
9%
3%
25–27 Nov
ComRes/The Independent
1,001
37%
39%
10%
3%
3%
7%
2%
24–25 Nov
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,696
34%
43%
11%
5%
2%
5%
9%
23–24 Nov
Angus Reid Public Opinion
2,006
33%
42%
8%
7%
3%
7%
9%
23–24 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,718
35%
40%
9%
8%
2%
5%
22–23 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,700
35%
40%
11%
6%
2%
5%
21–22 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,714
35%
42%
9%
6%
2%
7%
20–21 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,748
36%
40%
9%
7%
3%
4%
19–21 Nov
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,006
34%
41%
12%
3%
4%
6%
7%
18–21 Nov
Opinium
1,963
36%
37%
9%
7%
4%
4%
1%
18–20 Nov
Populus/The Times [ 18]
672
33%
41%
13%
4%
3%
7%
8%
18–20 Nov
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,005
36%
38%
14%
4%
4%
4%
2%
17–18 Nov
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,700
36%
40%
9%
7%
2%
6%
4%
16–17 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,741
34%
40%
11%
7%
2%
6%
15–16 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,684
36%
41%
10%
6%
2%
5%
14–15 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,682
36%
42%
7%
5%
3%
6%
13–14 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,780
37%
40%
9%
6%
2%
3%
10–11 Nov
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,751
36%
41%
9%
5%
2%
6%
5%
9–10 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,737
35%
42%
8%
7%
2%
7%
8–9 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,796
36%
40%
10%
7%
2%
4%
7–8 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,703
35%
40%
10%
6%
3%
5%
6–7 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,715
36%
41%
9%
6%
1%
5%
4–7 Nov
Opinium
1,962
34%
38%
10%
6%
3%
8%
4%
3–4 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,561
35%
41%
9%
5%
2%
7%
6%
2–3 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,678
36%
41%
8%
7%
2%
5%
1–2 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,718
37%
41%
8%
6%
2%
5%
4%
31 Oct–1 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,673
35%
41%
9%
6%
2%
6%
30–31 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,702
39%
41%
8%
5%
2%
2%
27–31 Oct
TNS-BMRB
1,261
36%
37%
11%
4%
12%
1%
28–30 Oct
ComRes/The Independent
1,001
34%
38%
14%
4%
5%
6%
4%
27–28 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,676
36%
39%
8%
7%
2%
6%
3%
26–27 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,672
35%
42%
9%
6%
3%
7%
25–26 Oct
YouGov/The Sun [permanent dead link ]
1,672
35%
41%
10%
6%
3%
6%
6%
24–25 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,717
36%
40%
9%
7%
2%
4%
23–24 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,764
36%
40%
9%
6%
2%
4%
22–24 Oct
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,002
34%
38%
12%
4%
4%
7%
4%
21–24 Oct
Opinium
1,957
33%
39%
9%
8%
4%
7%
6%
21–23 Oct
Angus Reid Public Opinion [permanent dead link ]
2,003
33%
41%
10%
7%
2%
8%
8%
21–23 Oct
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,003
35%
39%
13%
3%
3%
7%
4%
20–21 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,727
36%
38%
10%
6%
3%
6%
2%
19–20 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,675
36%
41%
10%
6%
2%
5%
18–19 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,739
35%
41%
9%
6%
3%
6%
17–18 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,638
38%
42%
9%
4%
2%
4%
16–17 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,629
37%
40%
9%
6%
2%
3%
14–16 Oct
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,511
33%
41%
8%
5%
3%
12%
8%
13–14 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,464
39%
42%
8%
5%
3%
4%
3%
12–13 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,495
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
12–13 Oct
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror
2,004
37%
39%
10%
6%
3%
6%
2%
11–12 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,640
36%
42%
9%
6%
2%
6%
10–11 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,526
37%
41%
8%
6%
3%
4%
9–10 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,740
36%
40%
11%
5%
2%
4%
7–10 Oct
Opinium
1,962
36%
37%
8%
7%
5%
8%
1%
7–9 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,448
38%
42%
9%
5%
2%
4%
4%
5–6 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,723
37%
41%
10%
5%
2%
4%
4–5 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,644
37%
41%
9%
5%
2%
4%
3–4 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,525
38%
42%
9%
5%
2%
4%
2–3 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,747
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
29–30 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,333
36%
42%
10%
4%
3%
5%
6%
27–30 Sep
Opinium
1,947
33%
40%
9%
6%
4%
8%
7%
28–29 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,547
38%
41%
9%
5%
2%
3%
27–28 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,627
37%
43%
9%
5%
2%
6%
26–27 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,754
37%
43%
8%
5%
2%
6%
25–26 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,500
39%
41%
8%
5%
2%
2%
23–25 Sep
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,000
37%
36%
12%
4%
3%
8%
1%
22–23 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,636
36%
42%
11%
4%
2%
5%
6%
21–22 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,456
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
20–21 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,601
35%
41%
9%
5%
3%
6%
20–21 Sep
ICM/The Guardian
1,007
37%
38%
14%
3%
2%
7%
1%
19–20 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,468
36%
41%
10%
5%
2%
5%
18–19 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,611
36%
42%
10%
4%
2%
6%
15–16 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,474
36%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
6%
14–15 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,731
38%
41%
9%
5%
2%
3%
13–15 Sep
Opinium
1,960
33%
36%
9%
8%
4%
9%
3%
13–14 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,619
37%
41%
10%
6%
2%
4%
12–13 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,429
35%
43%
10%
5%
3%
8%
11–12 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,655
37%
41%
10%
4%
2%
4%
10–12 Sep
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,008
35%
37%
13%
3%
3%
9%
2%
9–11 Sep
Populus/The Times [ 18]
757
34%
38%
12%
5%
3%
9%
4%
8–9 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,724
38%
41%
9%
5%
2%
6%
3%
7–8 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,627
36%
42%
10%
5%
3%
6%
6–7 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,554
36%
42%
9%
6%
3%
6%
5–6 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,552
38%
40%
9%
4%
3%
2%
4–5 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,796
37%
43%
9%
5%
2%
6%
2–5 Sep
Opinium
1,952
36%
37%
9%
7%
4%
7%
1%
2–4 Sep
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,000
37%
38%
11%
2%
6%
6%
1%
1–2 Sep
Angus Reid Public Opinion [permanent dead link ]
2,005
33%
39%
11%
7%
2%
8%
6%
1–2 Sep
YouGov/The Sunday Times
2,696
38%
39%
10%
5%
3%
4%
1%
31 Aug–1 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,588
36%
42%
10%
5%
3%
6%
30–31 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,783
37%
42%
10%
4%
2%
5%
29–30 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,449
39%
40%
10%
4%
2%
1%
25–26 Aug
YouGov/The Sunday Times
2,657
38%
41%
9%
5%
2%
6%
3%
24–25 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,530
37%
42%
9%
4%
2%
5%
23–24 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,709
36%
43%
9%
4%
3%
7%
22–23 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,585
37%
44%
9%
4%
2%
7%
21–22 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,619
35%
44%
9%
5%
2%
9%
20–22 Aug
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
476
34%
40%
15%
3%
5%
4%
6%
19–21 Aug
ICM/The Guardian
1,004
37%
36%
17%
2%
1%
7%
1%
18–19 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,464
36%
40%
11%
5%
2%
6%
4%
16–19 Aug
Opinium
1,978
37%
38%
9%
6%
4%
7%
1%
17–18 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,608
36%
44%
9%
5%
2%
8%
17–18 Aug
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,028
38%
40%
11%
5%
2%
6%
2%
16–17 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,783
35%
44%
9%
5%
2%
9%
15–16 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,665
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
14–15 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,847
35%
43%
9%
5%
2%
8%
11–12 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,656
36%
43%
9%
5%
1%
5%
7%
10–11 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,075
35%
43%
9%
5%
2%
8%
9–11 Aug
Opinium
1,963
34%
38%
9%
8%
4%
7%
4%
9–10 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,700
36%
43%
9%
5%
2%
7%
8–9 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,864
36%
43%
9%
5%
2%
7%
7–8 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,743
36%
44%
9%
4%
2%
8%
4–5 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,425
35%
44%
9%
4%
2%
5%
9%
3–4 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,748
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
2–3 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,657
35%
43%
10%
5%
2%
8%
1–2 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,776
36%
45%
8%
4%
2%
9%
31 Jul–1 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,820
35%
42%
11%
5%
2%
7%
28–29 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,529
35%
44%
10%
4%
2%
6%
9%
27–28 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,699
36%
42%
11%
5%
2%
6%
26–27 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,733
36%
43%
8%
5%
2%
7%
25–26 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,615
35%
44%
9%
5%
2%
9%
24–25 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,783
37%
41%
10%
4%
2%
4%
22–24 Jul
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,002
34%
40%
13%
4%
4%
6%
6%
21–22 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,749
35%
43%
10%
5%
2%
4%
8%
20–21 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,684
36%
44%
9%
5%
2%
8%
19–20 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,853
35%
43%
11%
4%
2%
8%
19–20 Jul
Angus Reid Public Opinion
2,002
34%
41%
10%
6%
3%
7%
7%
18–19 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,696
36%
43%
8%
6%
2%
7%
17–18 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,810
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
16–18 Jul
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,001
32%
39%
11%
4%
5%
9%
7%
15–17 Jul
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,003
37%
36%
16%
3%
2%
6%
1%
15–17 Jul
Populus/The Times [ 18]
800
34%
39%
11%
3%
3%
10%
5%
14–15 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,046
36%
42%
11%
4%
2%
5%
6%
13–14 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,577
36%
43%
9%
4%
2%
7%
13–14 Jul
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,009
36%
40%
10%
5%
3%
6%
4%
12–13 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,578
35%
43%
10%
5%
2%
8%
11–12 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,655
37%
42%
9%
4%
2%
5%
10–11 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,571
35%
43%
10%
5%
2%
8%
7–8 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,741
35%
44%
8%
5%
2%
5%
9%
6–7 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,759
37%
43%
8%
5%
2%
6%
5–6 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,839
35%
43%
9%
5%
3%
8%
4–5 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,738
35%
43%
10%
5%
2%
8%
3–4 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,864
37%
43%
9%
5%
2%
6%
30 Jun–1 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,785
36%
42%
9%
5%
2%
6%
6%
30 Jun
2011 Inverclyde by-election
29–30 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,707
37%
42%
8%
5%
3%
5%
28–29 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,699
37%
41%
10%
5%
2%
4%
27–28 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,573
36%
43%
8%
6%
2%
7%
26–27 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
3,007
37%
42%
10%
4%
2%
5%
24–26 Jun
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
641
36%
40%
11%
3%
4%
6%
4%
23–24 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,767
36%
43%
9%
4%
2%
6%
7%
22–23 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,834
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
21–22 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,774
36%
42%
9%
5%
3%
6%
20–21 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,732
37%
42%
8%
5%
2%
5%
19–20 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,847
37%
43%
9%
5%
2%
6%
17–19 Jun
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,000
37%
39%
12%
2%
3%
7%
2%
16–17 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,451
37%
42%
10%
5%
2%
5%
5%
15–16 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,691
37%
43%
9%
4%
3%
6%
15–16 Jun
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
1,457
37%
37%
11%
4%
3%
8%
Tie
14–15 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,773
36%
42%
9%
5%
3%
6%
13–14 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,706
37%
42%
10%
4%
2%
5%
12–13 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,928
37%
42%
10%
4%
2%
5%
10–12 Jun
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,508
39%
40%
9%
3%
3%
6%
1%
9–10 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,728
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
5%
8–9 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,861
37%
43%
8%
4%
2%
6%
7–8 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,693
37%
42%
9%
4%
2%
5%
6–7 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,704
36%
44%
8%
4%
2%
8%
5–6 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,667
37%
43%
9%
4%
2%
6%
2–3 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,579
37%
42%
9%
4%
2%
6%
5%
1–2 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,935
36%
42%
9%
5%
2%
6%
31 May–1 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,657
39%
41%
9%
5%
2%
2%
30–31 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,845
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
27–29 May
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
607
37%
37%
12%
4%
3%
7%
Tie
26–27 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,723
37%
43%
9%
5%
2%
5%
6%
25–26 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,756
37%
43%
8%
5%
2%
6%
24–25 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,795
37%
41%
10%
4%
2%
4%
23–24 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,442
38%
42%
9%
4%
2%
4%
20–24 May
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,008
35%
42%
10%
2%
6%
6%
7%
22–23 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,823
38%
42%
10%
4%
2%
4%
19–20 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,691
37%
42%
8%
4%
3%
5%
5%
18–19 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,256
38%
40%
10%
5%
2%
2%
17–18 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,064
36%
42%
9%
5%
2%
6%
16–17 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,515
39%
41%
9%
4%
2%
2%
15–16 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,601
38%
41%
10%
3%
2%
3%
12–13 May
YouGov/The Sunday Times
2,286
36%
41%
9%
4%
3%
6%
5%
11–12 May
ComRes/Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
1,460
38%
39%
11%
4%
3%
6%
1%
9–10 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,341
38%
40%
9%
6%
2%
2%
8–9 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,530
38%
42%
8%
4%
2%
4%
6–9 May
Opinium
1,964
35%
38%
9%
7%
4%
8%
3%
6–8 May
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,504
37%
39%
11%
2%
3%
9%
2%
5–6 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,056
36%
41%
10%
5%
2%
5%
5%
5 May
2011 Leicester South by-election
5 May
2011 National Assembly for Wales election
5 May
2011 Scottish Parliament election
5 May
2011 United Kingdom local elections
5 May
2011 Alternative Vote referendum
4–5 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,087
37%
39%
10%
4%
2%
2%
3–4 May
YouGov/The Sun
5,725
36%
40%
11%
6%
2%
4%
2–3 May
YouGov/The Sun
2,365
37%
42%
10%
5%
2%
5%
28 Apr–1 May
ComRes/Independent [permanent dead link ]
606
34%
37%
15%
3%
5%
6%
3%
27–28 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,070
36%
41%
12%
4%
2%
5%
26–27 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,666
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
25–26 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,617
36%
41%
10%
6%
2%
5%
20–21 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,629
36%
42%
10%
6%
2%
6%
19–20 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,346
36%
43%
9%
4%
3%
7%
18–19 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,431
36%
43%
9%
4%
2%
7%
17–18 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
3,637
36%
42%
9%
5%
2%
6%
15–17 Apr
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,000
40%
40%
9%
3%
3%
5%
Tie
14–15 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,735
37%
41%
9%
5%
2%
5%
4%
13–15 Apr
ComRes/Independent on Sunday & Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
1,533
35%
39%
10%
6%
4%
4%
4%
13–14 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,555
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
12–13 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,813
35%
44%
10%
4%
2%
9%
11–12 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,258
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
10–11 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,649
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
8–11 Apr
Angus Reid Public Opinion
2,023
31%
42%
11%
6%
3%
7%
11%
8–10 Apr
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,509
36%
40%
11%
4%
3%
8%
4%
7–8 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,206
36%
43%
9%
4%
2%
6%
7%
6–7 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,199
35%
44%
10%
4%
2%
9%
5–6 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,034
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
4–5 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,530
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%
3–4 Apr
YouGov/The Sun
2,484
37%
42%
9%
4%
3%
5%
31 Mar–1 Apr
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,226
36%
42%
11%
5%
2%
5%
6%
30–31 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,175
35%
42%
10%
5%
2%
7%
29–30 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,202
35%
45%
9%
5%
2%
10%
28–29 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,198
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
27–28 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,391
36%
44%
9%
4%
1%
8%
25–27 Mar
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,000
35%
41%
13%
4%
3%
4%
6%
24–25 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,214
38%
41%
11%
4%
2%
4%
3%
23–24 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,456
37%
41%
11%
4%
2%
4%
23–24 Mar
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,014
37%
36%
16%
2%
2%
7%
1%
22–23 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,485
36%
42%
10%
5%
2%
6%
21–22 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,026
35%
42%
9%
5%
2%
7%
18–21 Mar
Angus Reid Public Opinion
2,023
32%
41%
10%
8%
10%
9%
17–18 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,682
37%
43%
9%
5%
2%
5%
6%
16–17 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,295
35%
43%
10%
5%
2%
8%
15–16 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,666
35%
43%
10%
5%
2%
8%
14–15 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,595
35%
45%
9%
5%
1%
10%
13–14 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,634
35%
44%
9%
5%
2%
9%
11–13 Mar
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,000
37%
41%
10%
3%
3%
6%
4%
10–11 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,067
33%
44%
10%
7%
2%
5%
11%
9–10 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,195
34%
45%
9%
6%
2%
11%
8–9 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,436
36%
42%
9%
6%
1%
6%
7–8 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,346
36%
44%
10%
5%
2%
8%
6–7 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
1,614
36%
42%
9%
6%
2%
6%
4–6 Mar
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,511
35%
41%
11%
5%
4%
7%
6%
3–4 Mar
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,413
35%
43%
10%
4%
2%
5%
8%
3–4 Mar
Angus Reid Public Opinion
2,007
33%
41%
10%
6%
10%
8%
3 Mar
2011 Barnsley Central by-election
1–2 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,458
36%
41%
11%
5%
2%
5%
28 Feb–1 Mar
YouGov/The Sun
2,126
34%
43%
11%
5%
2%
9%
27–28 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,549
36%
43%
10%
3%
2%
7%
25–27 Feb
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,007
35%
39%
12%
3%
5%
6%
4%
24–25 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,325
36%
44%
10%
3%
2%
5%
8%
23–24 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
TBC
38%
42%
10%
10%
4%
22–23 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,487
36%
44%
11%
3%
2%
8%
21–22 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,372
37%
43%
9%
4%
2%
6%
20–21 Feb
YouGov/The Sun [permanent dead link ]
2,630
36%
42%
11%
11%
6%
21–23 Feb
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,000
35%
38%
18%
2%
1%
6%
3%
18–20 Feb
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,002
33%
43%
13%
3%
3%
5%
10%
17–18 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,464
37%
41%
10%
3%
2%
6%
4%
16–17 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,643
36%
42%
10%
4%
2%
6%
15–16 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
TBC
35%
45%
10%
10%
10%
14–15 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,502
37%
44%
10%
4%
2%
4%
7%
13–14 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,736
36%
44%
10%
4%
2%
8%
10–11 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,419
35%
45%
9%
4%
2%
5%
10%
9–10 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,474
35%
44%
10%
4%
2%
9%
9–10 Feb
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,009
36%
42%
11%
5%
2%
4%
6%
8–10 Feb
Angus Reid Public Opinion
2,019
34%
40%
11%
6%
9%
6%
8–9 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,339
36%
43%
10%
4%
1%
7%
7–8 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,483
35%
43%
10%
5%
2%
8%
6–7 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,278
37%
43%
9%
4%
3%
6%
4–6 Feb
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,510
36%
39%
11%
3%
4%
7%
3%
3–4 Feb
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,283
36%
42%
10%
5%
3%
3%
6%
2–3 Feb
YouGov/The Sunday Times
2,051
37%
44%
9%
3%
2%
5%
7%
1–2 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
2,409
36%
44%
9%
4%
2%
8%
31 Jan–1 Feb
YouGov/The Sun
1,922
39%
44%
8%
4%
1%
5%
30–31 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,032
40%
42%
8%
4%
1%
2%
28–30 Jan
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,002
34%
43%
10%
2%
4%
7%
9%
27–28 Jan
Angus Reid Public Opinion/Sunday Express
2,323
32%
43%
11%
4%
10%
11%
27–28 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,234
39%
43%
8%
4%
1%
5%
4%
26–27 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,835
38%
44%
8%
4%
2%
6%
25–26 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,139
39%
41%
10%
5%
2%
2%
25–26 Jan
Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com
2,010
33%
41%
12%
6%
9%
8%
24–25 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,816
37%
43%
10%
4%
2%
6%
23–24 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
2,003
37%
42%
11%
4%
2%
5%
21–24 Jan
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,162
33%
43%
13%
4%
3%
4%
10%
21–23 Jan
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,000
35%
39%
15%
2%
3%
5%
4%
20–21 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,699
39%
43%
9%
5%
2%
3%
4%
19–20 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,860
36%
43%
10%
5%
2%
7%
18–19 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,993
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
5%|BNP on 2% SNP/PC on 2% Other on 1%|headerstyle=font-weight:normal;line-height:9px;}
5%
17–18 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,884
39%
44%
8%
3%
2%
5%|BNP on 1% SNP/PC on 3% Other on 1%|headerstyle=font-weight:normal;line-height:9px;}
5%
16–17 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,977
37%
42%
9%
5%
2%
4%|BNP on 1% SNP/PC on 2% Other on 1%|headerstyle=font-weight:normal;line-height:9px;}
5%
13–14 Jan
YouGov/The Sunday Times
1,865
37%
43%
9%
4%
3%
4%
6%
13 Jan
2011 Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election
12–13 Jan
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
2,006
36%
40%
10%
5%
3%
6%
4%
12–13 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,884
41%
41%
8%
4%
2%
5%|BNP on 2% SNP/PC on 2% Other on 1%|headerstyle=font-weight:normal;line-height:9px;}
Tie
11–12 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,812
36%
43%
9%
5%
2%
4%|BNP on 1% SNP/PC on 2% Other on 1%|headerstyle=font-weight:normal;line-height:9px;}
7%
10–11 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,857
40%
41%
7%
5%
2%
4%|BNP on 2% SNP/PC on 2% Other on 0%|headerstyle=font-weight:normal;line-height:9px;}
1%
8–10 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,283
40%
43%
8%
4%
2%
3%
3%
7–9 Jan
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,000
34%
42%
12%
2%
5%
5%
8%
6–7 Jan
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,010
35%
40%
12%
5%
2%
7%
5%
6–7 Jan
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,797
38%
41%
10%
4%
2%
4%
3%
5–6 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,862
39%
43%
7%
4%
2%
5%|BNP on 2% SNP/PC on 2% Other on 1%|headerstyle=font-weight:normal;line-height:9px;}
4%
4–5 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
TBC
40%
41%
10%
7%
1%
3–4 Jan
YouGov/The Sun
1,876
40%
42%
8%
4%
2%
5%|BNP on 2% SNP/PC on 2% Other on 1%|headerstyle=font-weight:normal;line-height:9px;}
2%
2010
Note: some polls in 2010 did not give an individual figure for the UK Independence Party or the Greens. In these cases, the percentage intending to vote Green and/or UKIP is included with the 'others'.
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client
Sample size
Con
Lab
Lib Dem
UKIP
Green
Others
Lead
22–23 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,635
39%
41%
9%
5%
2%
5%
BNP on 3%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
21–22 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,695
41%
42%
8%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
1%
20–21 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,032
40%
42%
9%
4%
2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
19–20 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,039
40%
43%
8%
3%
2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
17–20 Dec
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,003
35%
41%
9%
5%
3%
7%
6%
16–19 Dec
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
736
37%
39%
13%
2%
2%
7%
2%
17 Dec
Opinium
–
37%
37%
12%
14%
Tie
16–17 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,966
39%
42%
9%
4%
2%
4%
3%
15–16 Dec
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
2,017
37%
39%
11%
5%
2%
6%
2%
15–16 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,922
41%
41%
9%
5%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
14–15 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,022
42%
40%
8%
3%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
13–14 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,810
39%
42%
9%
4%
1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
3%
12–13 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,092
41%
42%
9%
4%
2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
1%
10–12 Dec
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,004
38%
39%
11%
4%
4%
6%
1%
10 Dec
Opinium
–
37%
36%
12%
15%
1%
9–10 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,937
40%
42%
9%
3%
1%
6%
2%
8–9 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,982
41%
39%
11%
3%
2%
4%
2%
8 Dec
Opinium
–
38%
37%
11%
14%
1%
7–8 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,966
41%
41%
8%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
Tie
6–7 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,109
42%
39%
9%
4%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
5–6 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,991
42%
39%
10%
3%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
2–3 Dec
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,916
41%
39%
10%
5%
2%
3%
2%
2 Dec
Opinium
–
38%
34%
13%
15%
4%
1–2 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
1,934
40%
40%
11%
3%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
30 Nov–1 Dec
YouGov/The Sun
2,080
41%
38%
11%
3%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
29–30 Nov
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,004
35%
40%
13%
4%
8%
5%
29–30 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,975
40%
40%
10%
4%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
28–29 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,114
40%
40%
10%
4%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
26–29 Nov
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,006
36%
40%
12%
2%
4%
6%
4%
26 Nov
Opinium
–
37%
35%
14%
14%
2%
25–26 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,711
40%
40%
9%
4%
2%
5%
Tie
24–25 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,024
42%
39%
10%
3%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
23–24 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,053
40%
40%
9%
4%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
22–23 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,968
42%
40%
10%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
21–22 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,080
41%
38%
11%
4%
2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
3%
19–21 Nov
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,000
36%
38%
14%
3%
2%
7%
2%
18–19 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,967
40%
38%
11%
4%
2%
5%
2%
17–19 Nov
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
2,015
37%
38%
13%
4%
3%
5%
1%
17–18 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,007
40%
40%
11%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 0%
Tie
17 Nov
Opinium
–
38%
34%
13%
15%
4%
16–17 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,082
40%
40%
11%
3%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
15–16 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,050
37%
42%
10%
5%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
14–15 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,050
40%
42%
10%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
12–14 Nov
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,005
36%
39%
14%
2%
4%
5%
3%
11–12 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,930
39%
41%
10%
3%
1%
5%
2%
10–11 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,013
40%
40%
10%
4%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
9–10 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,933
42%
37%
11%
4%
1%
5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
5%
9 Nov
Opinium
–
39%
33%
14%
14%
6%
8–9 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,936
40%
39%
13%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
1%
7–8 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,109
42%
39%
11%
4%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
5 Nov
Nigel Farage is elected leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP)
4–5 Nov
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,954
40%
39%
12%
3%
2%
5%
1%
3–4 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
1,980
40%
39%
11%
3%
2%
5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
1%
2–3 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,036
40%
40%
9%
3%
2%
5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
Tie
1–2 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,006
41%
40%
11%
3%
1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
1%
31 Oct–1 Nov
YouGov/The Sun
2,132
41%
39%
11%
4%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
29–30 Oct
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,000
35%
37%
16%
2%
4%
6%
2%
29 Oct
Opinium
–
38%
35%
13%
14%
3%
28–29 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,058
42%
37%
13%
3%
1%
4%
5%
27–28 Oct
Angus Reid Public Opinion [usurped]
2,015
35%
37%
15%
3%
2%
8%
2%
27–28 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,986
41%
39%
11%
3%
2%
6%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
2%
26–27 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,108
41%
39%
12%
2%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
25–26 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,651
40%
38%
12%
2%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
24–25 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,967
40%
40%
11%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
22–24 Oct
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,002
39%
36%
16%
1%
1%
7%
3%
22–24 Oct
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,000
37%
38%
15%
3%
3%
5%
1%
21–22 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,845
41%
40%
10%
2%
2%
5%
1%
21–22 Oct
ICM/News of the World [ 17]
1,025
40%
36%
16%
2%
1%
5%
4%
20–21 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,874
41%
40%
10%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
1%
19–20 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,936
41%
39%
11%
2%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
18–19 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,099
42%
39%
11%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
17–18 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,991
41%
39%
12%
2%
1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
2%
17 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
–
41%
39%
11%
8%
2%
15–17 Oct
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,009
39%
36%
14%
3%
3%
5%
3%
14–15 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,898
41%
39%
11%
3%
1%
5%
2%
13–15 Oct
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror
2,009
40%
34%
14%
12%
6%
13–14 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,838
42%
38%
12%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
12–13 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,959
41%
40%
11%
3%
1%
4%
1%
11–12 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,047
43%
36%
12%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7%
10–11 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,090
42%
38%
12%
2%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
7–8 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,890
42%
38%
12%
3%
1%
4%
4%
6–7 Oct
ICM/Sunday Telegraph
1002
38%
34%
18%
2%
2%
6%
4%
6–7 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,903
42%
38%
12%
3%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
5–6 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
1,955
42%
40%
11%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
4–5 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,057
43%
39%
11%
2%
1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
4%
3–4 Oct
YouGov/The Sun
2,108
41%
39%
12%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
30 Sep–1 Oct
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,796
39%
41%
11%
2%
2%
4%
2%
30 Sep–1 Oct
Angus Reid Public Opinion [permanent dead link ]
2,004
35%
38%
16%
4%
7%
3%
29 Sep–1 Oct
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
2,035
39%
36%
15%
4%
3%
10%
3%
29–30 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
3,127
41%
39%
12%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
2%
28–29 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,916
41%
39%
12%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
2%
28–29 Sep
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,005
35%
37%
18%
3%
1%
6%
3%
27–28 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,896
41%
40%
12%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
1%
26–27 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,948
39%
40%
12%
3%
1%
6%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 1%
1%
25 Sep
Ed Miliband is elected leader of the Labour Party
23–24 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,905
39%
38%
15%
3%
2%
4%
1%
22–23 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,013
41%
37%
13%
2%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
21–22 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,649
43%
36%
14%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7%
20–21 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,963
39%
39%
13%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
Tie
19–20 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,156
42%
38%
11%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
17 Sep
Opinium
–
37%
35%
13%
15%
2%
16–17 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,984
41%
39%
13%
3%
1%
3%
3%
14–16 Sep
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
2,028
37%
35%
15%
13%
2%
15–16 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,996
41%
38%
12%
3%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
14–15 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,971
42%
39%
12%
2%
2%
2%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 0%
3%
13–14 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,913
40%
39%
12%
2%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 3%
Other on 0%
2%
12–13 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,108
41%
38%
12%
2%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
10–12 Sep
Populus/The Times [ 18]
1,508
39%
37%
14%
2%
2%
5%
2%
10–12 Sep
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,004
37%
37%
15%
2%
3%
6%
Tie
9–10 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,858
42%
38%
14%
2%
1%
3%
4%
8–9 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,948
42%
37%
14%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
7–8 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,967
43%
38%
12%
2%
2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
5%
6–7 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,089
42%
38%
13%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
4%
5–6 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
2,089
42%
37%
13%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
3–5 Sep
ComRes/The Independent
1,000
38%
34%
18%
10%
4%
2–3 Sep
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,849
42%
37%
12%
3%
2%
4%
5%
1–2 Sep
YouGov/The Sun [permanent dead link ]
–
42%
37%
12%
9%
5%
31 Aug–1 Sep
YouGov/The Sun
1,923
43%
37%
12%
3%
2%
3%2%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
6%
30–31 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,548
43%
38%
11%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
5%
26–27 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,872
41%
37%
13%
3%
1%
4%
4%
25–26 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,046
42%
37%
12%
3%
1%
5%2%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
24–25 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,030
42%
37%
12%
2%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
23–24 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,011
41%
38%
13%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
3%
22–23 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,088
41%
39%
12%
4%
2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
2%
19–20 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,953
41%
38%
12%
3%
1%
4%
3%
18–19 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,970
41%
37%
14%
3%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
17–18 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,095
44%
36%
12%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
8%
16–17 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,059
42%
37%
14%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
5%
15–16 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,125
41%
37%
15%
2%
1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
4%
13–15 Aug
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,001
37%
37%
18%
2%
2%
4%
Tie
13–15 Aug
ComRes/Daily Mirror/GMTV [permanent dead link ]
939
39%
33%
15%
2%
3%
8%
6%
13 Aug
Opinium
–
39%
30%
16%
15%
9%
12–13 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,865
42%
37%
13%
2%
1%
4%
5%
11–12 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,000
42%
37%
14%
3%
1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
5%
10–11 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
1,940
41%
37%
15%
2%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
9–10 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,008
42%
38%
14%
2%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
8–9 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,241
40%
36%
15%
3%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
6–8 Aug
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,004
39%
33%
16%
2%
4%
7%
6%
5–6 Aug
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,906
42%
36%
13%
3%
1%
4%
6%
4–5 Aug
YouGov/The Sun [permanent dead link ]
–
44%
36%
13%
7%
8%
3–4 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,137
42%
36%
13%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
6%
2–3 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,101
41%
36%
13%
3%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
1–2 Aug
YouGov/The Sun
2,216
42%
38%
12%
2%
1%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
29–30 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,885
42%
38%
12%
2%
1%
4%
4%
27–28 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,900
42%
36%
14%
3%
2%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
6%
26–27 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,028
42%
37%
14%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
5%
25–26 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,143
42%
35%
15%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7%
23–25 Jul
ICM/The Guardian [ 17]
1,009
38%
34%
19%
1%
2%
5%
4%
23–25 Jul
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,009
40%
38%
14%
8%
2%
22–23 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,891
41%
36%
14%
3%
2%
4%
5%
21–22 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,104
43%
35%
15%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
8%
20–21 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,101
44%
35%
13%
2%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
9%
19–20 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,143
43%
35%
14%
2%
1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
8%
18–19 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,007
42%
35%
15%
2%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7%
15–16 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,023
40%
37%
15%
2%
1%
4%
3%
14–15 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,620
43%
34%
15%
2%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
9%
13–14 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,185
43%
34%
15%
3%
1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
9%
12–13 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,173
42%
35%
15%
3%
2%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7%
11–12 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,227
42%
35%
15%
2%
2%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 1%
7%
9 Jul
Opinium
–
38%
34%
16%
12%
4%
8–9 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,019
42%
34%
17%
2%
1%
5%
8%
7–8 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,165
42%
35%
16%
3%
1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
7%
6–7 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
2,731
40%
36%
17%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
4%
5–6 Jul
YouGov/The Spectator
2,214
41%
35%
16%
2%
2%
5%
6%
5–6 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,972
41%
36%
15%
2%
2%
5%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
5%
4–5 Jul
YouGov/The Sun
1,424
40%
36%
16%
2%
1%
4%
BNP on 2%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
4%
2 Jul
Opinium
–
37%
33%
18%
12%
4%
1–2 Jul
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,233
41%
36%
16%
2%
1%
4%
5%
30 Jun–1 Jul
YouGov/The Sun [permanent dead link ]
–
42%
35%
16%
7%
7%
29–30 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
2,138
42%
36%
15%
2%
2%
2%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 1%
Other on 0%
6%
28–29 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,881
42%
36%
15%
2%
1%
3%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 0%
6%
27–28 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,503
42%
35%
16%
1%
2%
4%5%
BNP on 1%
SNP/PC on 2%
Other on 1%
7%
25–27 Jun
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,003
40%
31%
18%
3%
2%
6%
8%
24–25 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times
2,038
43%
36%
16%
2%
1%
3%
7%
23–24 Jun
YouGov/The Sun [permanent dead link ]
–
43%
34%
17%
5%
9%
23–24 Jun
ICM/Sunday Telegraph
1,006
41%
35%
16%
2%
1%
4%
6%
22–23 Jun
YouGov/The Sun
1,641
42%
34%
17%
3%
2%
2%
8%
22–23 Jun
Populus/The Times
1,003
39%
33%
18%
3%
2%
4%
6%
21–22 Jun
YouGov/The Sun [permanent dead link ]
2,295
41%
37%
15%
2%
1%
4%
4%
20–21 Jun
YouGov/The Sun [permanent dead link ]
2,042
41%
33%
18%
3%
1%
3%
8%
18 Jun
Opinium
–
40%
31%
19%
10%
9%
18–20 Jun
Ipsos MORI/Reuters
1,002
39%
31%
19%
2%
4%
6%
8%
18–20 Jun
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ]
1,000
39%
31%
21%
1%
2%
5%
8%
17–18 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times [permanent dead link ]
1,491
39%
34%
19%
3%
1%
4%
5%
16–17 Jun
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday [permanent dead link ]
1,004
36%
30%
23%
3%
2%
5%
6%
10–11 Jun
YouGov/Sunday Times [permanent dead link ]
1,482
40%
32%
18%
3%
1%
5%
8%
1–9 Jun
Harris Interactive/Metro
1,906
36%
30%
25%
9%
6%
4 Jun
Opinium
–
42%
28%
19%
11%
14%
28–31 May
ComRes/The Independent [permanent dead link ]
1,000
37%
33%
21%
4%
3%
2%
4%
21–23 May
ICM/The Guardian [permanent dead link ]
1,001
39%
32%
21%
2%
1%
5%
7%
21 May
Opinium
–
38%
29%
21%
12%
9%
20–21 May
YouGov/Sunday Times
1,477
39%
32%
21%
2%
1%
4%
7%
13–14 May
YouGov/Sunday Times [permanent dead link ]
1,489
37%
34%
21%
8%
3%
12–13 May
ICM/Sunday Telegraph
1004
38%
33%
21%
1%
2%
6%
5%
12–13 May
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror [permanent dead link ]
1,010
38%
34%
21%
2%
3%
2%
4%
6 May
2010 general election (GB only) [ 19] [ 20]
–
36.9%
29.7%
23.6%
3.1%
1.0%
5.7%
7.2%
Sub-national polling
Polling was conducted separately in the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Of the 650 seats in the House of Commons , England had 533, Scotland had 59, Wales had 40 and Northern Ireland had 18.
Leadership approval polling
Methodology
Each polling organisation uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data; a brief description of each company's methods is as follows:
Angus Reid Public Opinion collects its data through online internet surveys , and demographically weights its data to be representative of the whole population in terms of age, gender , social class , the region of the country lived in and newspaper readership. Past vote weighting is used, and is calculated separately for respondents from Scotland and respondents from England and Wales , whilst those saying they do not know how they will vote are asked which party they are leaning towards, and any responses to this are used as a full response, whilst those still unsure being discounted from the final calculation of levels of party support.[ 21]
BMG Research [ 22] is a Birmingham-based social research company which carried out its first political poll from 25 to 27 April 2015 for PoliticsHome,[ 23] May2015[ 24] and the Electoral Reform Society , with the voting intention questions being commissioned by May2015.[ 13] BMG carries out its fieldwork online and weights for past vote and likelihood to vote with people who did not vote at the previous General Election weighted down by 50%.[ 25] BMG Research is not a member of the British Polling Council but is applying for membership and abides by BPC rules in carrying out opinion polls. It is recognised by the BPC as a market researcher.[ 26] [ 27]
ComRes uses both telephone interviews and online surveys to collect its data; all polls will be conducted using one method exclusively. It is not shown explicitly in the tables in this article whether a particular poll has been conducted by telephone or online but in general those polls with the smaller samples (~1,000) are telephone polls and those with the larger samples (~2,000) were conducted online. The data tables will confirm how the poll was conducted. Whatever the data collection method, all respondents are weighted according to gender, age, social class, household tenure , work status , number of cars owned and whether or not they have taken a foreign holiday in the previous three years. Both telephone and online polls are weighted according to past vote in the last general election, whilst telephone polls also use data from the last 12 ComRes telephone-conducted opinion polls. ComRes compensates for those respondents who says they do not know by asking them instead which party they most clearly identify with, whilst all respondents are weighted according to likelihood to vote on a scale of one to ten, with respondents saying their likelihood of voting is less than four being discounted entirely, and respondents saying their likelihood is more than five being progressively weighted, with a five-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as half a response and a ten-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as one whole response.[ 28]
ICM also collects its data through telephone interviews, and also demographically weights its respondents according to their gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status and the region of the country they live in. It weights respondents according to the levels of support a party received in the previous general election and the last 25 ICM opinion polls and, if a past vote is given, this is used to allocate a response to those who say they do not know how they will vote, although such a response is counted as only half of one whole response. ICM also weights its respondents as to how likely they say they are to vote, with respondents who say they are certain to vote given a higher weighting than those who are not as certain, while if a respondent did not vote at the previous general election, their turnout weighting is automatically reduced by half.[ 29]
Ipsos MORI collects its data through telephone interviews, and weights its respondents to be demographically representative of gender, age, social class, work status, work sector, household tenure and the region of the country they live in. Data is not weighted according to the way respondents voted at the previous general election, any respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are discounted, and only the responses of people who says they are certain to vote are included in the final calculation of levels of support for each party.[ 30]
Lord Ashcroft commissions and publishes polls as Lord Ashcroft Polls. On 12 May 2014 he published the first in a series of opinion polls to be published weekly up to the 2015 UK general election.[ 31] These polls are carried out by telephone, and are past-vote weighted with an allowance for false recall. They are also weighted for likelihood to vote, with a proportion of Don't Knows reallocated to how respondents said they voted at the 2010 general election. The Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and UKIP are prompted for. Lord Ashcroft does not disclose the organisations which carry out his fieldwork, but states that a number are used.[ 32] Initially, the methodology of the weekly Ashcroft National Poll was said to be similar to that used by Populus before they moved to polling online.[ 33] He is not a BPC member; he was initially invited to join[ 34] but the BPC now states that he is not eligible as he does not work for multiple clients.[ 35]
Opinium surveys are conducted online via web interviewing, drawing a sample of responses from the company's panel of around 30,000 people. This sample is representative of the adult population of Great Britain in the areas of age, gender, regional location, working status and social grade, as according to the latest Office for National Statistics data. Responses from different demographic groups are handled appropriately to compensate for differential response rates in these different groups.[ 36]
Populus conducts its surveys over the telephone, and weights all respondents according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, the number of cars they own, and whether they have taken a foreign holiday in the past three years, to be representative of the whole electorate . Respondents are weighted according to their past vote and the levels of support for each party recorded in the previous 20 Populus opinion polls. Respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are allocated according to how they voted at the last general election, at a reduced weighting of 0.5 for previous Conservative or Labour voters and 0.3 for previous Liberal Democrat voters. All respondents are also weighted according to how likely they are to vote, with those certain to vote given the highest weighting.[ 37]
Survation opinion polling is achieved through online surveys, and all data is weighted to represent the wider population of Great Britain in terms of gender, age, socio-economic group, religion, how the respondent previously voted, and stated likelihood of voting in the next general election. Respondents who are either undecided or refuse to state how they would vote are excluded from the final results, unless they have provided details of how they have voted in the past, in which case, that information is used to adjust the results.[ 38]
TNS-BMRB [ n 6] interviews a representative sample of adults aged 18+. All interviews are conducted in respondents' homes, although the voting intention data is collected using self-completion methods. The data is weighted twice: firstly to match population totals for age, sex, social grade, working status, presence of children, 2010 voting patterns and region; and secondly, for voting intention questions only, an additional 'likelihood-to-vote' weight is applied.[ 39]
YouGov collects its data through an online survey, and weights its respondents to be representative of the population as a whole in terms of age, gender, social class, identification with a political party, region of the country and newspaper readership. Respondents are weighted according to how they voted in the previous general election in order to achieve a sample that is reflective of each party's level of support at that election, whilst those respondents who say they do not know who they will vote for are discounted from calculating levels of support for each party.[ 40]
See also
References and notes
Notes
^ Headline figures published to one decimal place: Con 31.4% Lab 31.4% UKIP 15.7% LD 9.6% Green 4.8 SNP 4.7% Plaid 0.4 Others 1.9%
^ Final General Election 2015 prediction poll published 7 May 2015 with an additional 463 respondents added to the data published the previous day
^ Preliminary prediction poll published 6 May 2015
^ The question asked was "Thinking of the general election in
May, for which party will you vote?" rather than Opinium's usual "If there were a general election
tomorrow, for which party would you
vote?"
^ This is the VI portion (turnout weighted, Table 4) of Lord Ashcroft's NHS poll, released in January 2015. "VQ.2 If there was a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout weighted)"
^ Since December 2014, TNS's polls have been mostly branded as TNS or TNS Global.
P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out are unknown; therefore, the date of publication has been given.
References
^ Farmer, Ben (8 May 2015). "Why the opinion polls got it so wrong, YouGov president explains" . The Telegraph . Archived from the original on 9 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015 .
^ Logue, Patrick. "UK Election: Ten key points from the count" . The Irish Times . Archived from the original on 17 April 2023. Retrieved 8 May 2015 .
^ Bennister, Mark (8 May 2015). "UK Election 2015: how the votes stacked up for David Cameron" . The Conversation. Retrieved 8 May 2015 .
^ Selby, Jenn (8 May 2015). "Paddy Ashdown's hat becomes the unlikely star of election night after the former Lib Dem leader's misguided prediction" . The Independent . Archived from the original on 24 May 2022. Retrieved 8 May 2015 .
^ "Ashcroft National Poll: CATI Fieldwork 17–19 April 2015" (PDF) . Lord Ashcroft. 20 April 2015. Archived (PDF) from the original on 30 April 2015. Retrieved 20 April 2015 .
^ "Westminster Voting Intention" . UK Opinion Bee . Archived from the original on 1 April 2015. Retrieved 31 January 2015 .
^ "Election 2015: Results – National" . BBC. Archived from the original on 18 December 2020. Retrieved 9 May 2015 .
^ "Election 2015: Results – Northern Ireland" . BBC. Archived from the original on 28 February 2018. Retrieved 9 May 2015 .
^ Parker, George (5 May 2015). "Parties struggle to break UK election deadlock" . Financial Times . Retrieved 11 May 2015 .
^ Lyons Lowe, Damian (8 May 2015). "Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory" . Survation. Archived from the original on 10 May 2015. Retrieved 8 May 2015 .
^ Balz, Dan (7 May 2015). "Cameron expected to emerge victorious, survey finds" . The Washington Post . Archived from the original on 8 May 2015. Retrieved 11 May 2015 .
^ Trevelyan, Mark (6 May 2015). "Panelbase poll on election eve puts Labour 2 points ahead" . Reuters . Archived from the original on 6 March 2016. Retrieved 11 May 2015 .
^ a b "BMG Research expands into political polling" . 29 April 2015. Archived from the original on 18 May 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2015 .
^ See also "Opinium poll that "slipped out" has CON ahead with the LDs down on 5%" . politicalbetting.com. Archived from the original on 21 November 2014. Retrieved 22 November 2014 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for Greens is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
^ a b c d Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. Before 2 Jun 2014 Ashcroft percentages for Greens are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for UKIP and Greens is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Populus adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentage for UKIP and Greens at this date is based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
^ "Election 2010: Results – National" . BBC. Archived from the original on 26 July 2017. Retrieved 9 May 2015 .
^ "Election 2010: Results – Northern Ireland" . BBC. Archived from the original on 23 August 2017. Retrieved 9 May 2015 .
^ "Angus Reid Public Opinion Methodology" (PDF) . Angus Reid Public Opinion. 20 July 2011. Archived from the original on 10 November 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011 .
^ "BMG Research" . 4 February 2016. Archived from the original on 4 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016 .
^ "PoliticsHome" . 4 February 2016. Archived from the original on 3 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016 .
^ "May2015" . 4 February 2016. Archived from the original on 5 February 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2016 .
^ Wells, Anthony (29 April 2015). "BMG, MORI Scotland, Ashcroft constituencies and ComRes marginals" . UK Polling Report. Archived from the original on 1 May 2015. Retrieved 2 May 2015 .
^ "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Tories three points ahead of Labour" . May2015.com. 29 April 2015. Archived from the original on 5 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015 .
^ "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Labour and Tories on exactly 33.7 per sent each" . May2015.com. 5 May 2015. Archived from the original on 7 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015 .
^ "Public Polling Methodology" . ComRes. Archived from the original on 15 July 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011 .
^ "July Poll for the Guardian" (PDF) . ICM Research. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 March 2012. Retrieved 26 July 2011 .
^ "Data Collection" . Ipsos MORI. Archived from the original on 10 August 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011 .
^ "Tories lead in my first weekly national poll" . Lord Ashcroft Polls. 12 May 2014. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014 .
^ "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South" . Lord Ashcroft Polls. 7 February 2015. Archived from the original on 9 February 2015. Retrieved 9 February 2015 .
^ "Ashcroft – CON 34, LAB 32, LDEM 9, UKIP 15" . Anthony Wells. Archived from the original on 18 October 2014. Retrieved 2 November 2014 .
^ "Minutes of the Annual General Meeting 2013" . British Polling Council. Archived from the original on 19 May 2014. Retrieved 19 May 2014 .
^ Curtice, John (16 April 2015). "Reading the Polls: Election 2015 and The British Polling Council" . British Polling Council. Retrieved 1 May 2015 .
^ "Political Polling" . Opinium Research LLP. Archived from the original on 30 January 2012. Retrieved 18 April 2012 .
^ "Populus sampling and weighting methodology" . Populus. Archived from the original on 2 October 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011 .
^ "Survation Poll The Budget Aftermath for the Mail on Sunday" . Survation. Archived from the original on 27 May 2012. Retrieved 27 March 2012 .
^ "TNS BMRB Methodology" . TNS BMRB. Retrieved 17 December 2012 .[permanent dead link ]
^ "Panel Methodology" . YouGov. Archived from the original on 5 October 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011 .
External links
Elections
Approval Referendums
United Kingdom Northern Ireland Scotland Wales
Issues