Unit root test
In statistics, a unit root test tests whether a time series variable is non-stationary and possesses a unit root. The null hypothesis is generally defined as the presence of a unit root and the alternative hypothesis is either stationarity, trend stationarity or explosive root depending on the test used.
General approach
In general, the approach to unit root testing implicitly assumes that the time series to be tested can be written as,
where,
- is the deterministic component (trend, seasonal component, etc.)
- is the stochastic component.
- is the stationary error process.
The task of the test is to determine whether the stochastic component contains a unit root or is stationary.[1]
Main tests
Other popular tests include:
- augmented Dickey–Fuller test[2]
- this is valid in large samples.
- Phillips–Perron test
- KPSS test
- here the null hypothesis is trend stationarity rather than the presence of a unit root.
- ADF-GLS test
Unit root tests are closely linked to serial correlation tests. However, while all processes with a unit root will exhibit serial correlation, not all serially correlated time series will have a unit root. Popular serial correlation tests include:
Notes
- ^ Kočenda, Evžen; Alexandr, Černý (2014), Elements of Time Series Econometrics: An Applied Approach, Karolinum Press, p. 66, ISBN 978-80-246-2315-3.
- ^ Dickey, D. A.; Fuller, W. A. (1979). "Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root". Journal of the American Statistical Association. 74 (366a): 427–431. doi:10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531.
References
- Bierens, H. J. (2001). "Unit roots". In Baltagi, B. (ed.). A Companion to Econometric Theory. Oxford: Blackwell Publishers. pp. 610–633. "2007 revision" Archived 2014-06-17 at the Wayback Machine
- Enders, Walter (2004). Applied Econometric Time Series (Second ed.). John Wiley & Sons. pp. 170–175. ISBN 0-471-23065-0.
- Maddala, G. S.; Kim, In-Moo (1998). "Issues in Unit Root Testing". Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. pp. 98–154. ISBN 0-521-58782-4.
Content Disclaimer
Informasi ini disarikan dari Wikipedia dan disajikan kembali untuk tujuan edukasi. Konten tersedia di bawah lisensi CC BY-SA 3.0. Kami tidak bertanggung jawab atas ketidakakuratan data yang bersumber dari kontribusi publik tersebut.
- The information displayed on this website is sourced in part or in whole from Wikipedia and has been adapted for the purpose of restating it. We strive to provide accurate and relevant information, however:
- There is no guarantee of absolute accuracy. Wikipedia is an open, collaborative project that can be edited by anyone, so information is subject to change.
- It is not intended to constitute professional advice. The content displayed is for informational and educational purposes only. For important decisions (e.g., medical, legal, or financial), please consult a professional.
- Content copyright. Wikipedia is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License (CC BY-SA). This means that content may be reused with appropriate attribution and shared under a similar license.
- Responsible use. Any risk arising from the use of information from this website is entirely the responsibility of the user.