en 2004 United States presidential election in Alaska

2004 United States presidential election in Alaska
Bush 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%	Kerry 40–50% 50–60%
President before election; George W. Bush; Republican	Elected President ; George W. Bush; Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Alaska was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 25.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. It has voted for a Republican presidential nominee in every presidential election since statehood, except for 1964. As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time anyone received over 60% of the vote in Alaska, as well as the last time that Bethel Census Area, Kusilvak Census Area, and Nome Census Area voted for the Republican candidate.

Primaries

2004 Alaska Democratic presidential primary

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.^[1]


Source	Ranking
D.C. Political Report	Solid R
Associated Press	Solid R
CNN	Likely R
Cook Political Report	Solid R
Newsweek	Solid R
New York Times	Solid R
Rasmussen Reports	Likely R
Research 2000	Solid R
Washington Post	Likely R
Washington Times	Solid R
Zogby International	Likely R
Washington Dispatch	Likely R

Polling

Only one pre-election poll was conducted in this state. Bush won the poll with 57% to 30%.^[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $263,269.^[3] Kerry raised $169,533.^[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.^[5]^[6]

Analysis

The Democratic presidential ticket though did better here in 2004 compared to 2000, narrowing the Republican advantage from around 31 percentage points in 2000 to approximately 25 percentage points in 2004. John Kerry obtained nearly 36 percent of the vote, approximately 8 percentage points (or 32,021 votes) more than Al Gore's showing of around 28 percent in 2000. In comparison, incumbent President George W. Bush only increased his vote in Alaska by around 2 percent (or 23,491 votes) from nearly 59 percent in 2000 to approximately 61 percent in 2004.

Results

2004 United States presidential election in Alaska^[7]
Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Republican	George W. Bush (incumbent)	190,889	61.07%	3
	Democratic	John Kerry	111,025	35.52%	0
	Independent	Ralph Nader	5,069	1.62%	0
	Alaska Independence	Michael Peroutka	2,092	0.67%	0
	Libertarian	Michael Badnarik	1,675	0.54%	0
	Green	David Cobb	1,058	0.34%	0
	Independent	Write-ins	790	0.25%	0
Totals			312,598	100.00%	3
Voter turnout (Voting age)					68%

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Juneau
Sitka
Skagway
Hoonah–Angoon Census Area (largest town: Hoonah)

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Bethel Census Area (largest town: Bethel)

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, an at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

District	Bush	Kerry	Representative
At-large	61.1%	35.5%	Don Young

Electors

Technically the voters of Alaska cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Alaska is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.^[8]

Gloria J. Tokar
Frederick H. Hahn
Roberly R. Waldron

References

^ "D.C.'s Political Report 2004 Presidential Ratings". dcpoliticalreport.com. October 29, 2004. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
^ David Leip. "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Retrieved January 14, 2015.
^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Retrieved January 14, 2015.
^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Retrieved January 14, 2015.
^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2015.
^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2015.
^ Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. "Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 2, 2004" (PDF).
^ "November 2, 2004 General Election" (PDF). State of Alaska Division of Elections. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 14, 2008. Retrieved June 27, 2009.

[1] "D.C.'s Political Report 2004 Presidential Ratings". dcpoliticalreport.com. October 29, 2004. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. Retrieved January 15, 2022.

[2] David Leip. "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Retrieved January 14, 2015.

[3] "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Retrieved January 14, 2015.

[4] "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Retrieved January 14, 2015.

[5] "CNN.com Specials". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2015.

[6] "CNN.com Specials". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2015.

[7] Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. "Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 2, 2004" (PDF).

[8] "November 2, 2004 General Election" (PDF). State of Alaska Division of Elections. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 14, 2008. Retrieved June 27, 2009.

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2004 United States presidential election in Alaska