Future-oriented technology analysis (FTA) is a collective term from futures studies for analyzing future technology and its consequences.[ 1] [ 2] technology forecasting , technology roadmapping , technology assessment , and technology foresight . Technology Futures Analysis or Technology Future Analysis (TFA) is a synonym.[ 1] [ 3]
Future-oriented technology analysis shares common methods with horizon scanning .[ 4] [ 5]
Definitions
Year
Definition
2004
Technology futures analysis is "any process to produce judgments about emerging technology characteristics, development pathways, and potential impacts of a technology in the future. ... [TFA] encompasses the broad technology foresight and assessment studies of the public sector and the technology forecasting and intelligence studies in private industry." [ 6]
2013
Future-oriented technology analysis is "an umbrella term to denote several decision-preparatory tools - (technology) foresight, forecasting and technology assessment - and thus it is not a discipline with solid, widely accepted theoretical foundations." [ 7]
Methods
References
^ a b Filip, F. G.; Dragomirescu, H.; Predescu, R.; Ilie, R. (2004). "IT tools for foresight studies" . Studies in Informatics and Control (13): 161-168. ^ "Technology futures analysis: Toward integration of the field and new methods" . Technological Forecasting and Social Change . 71 (3): 287–303. 1 March 2004. doi :10.1016/j.techfore.2003.11.004 . ISSN 0040-1625 . S2CID 18904868 .^ Sánchez-Torres, J. M.; Miles, I. (16 December 2017). "The role of future-oriented technology analysis in e-Government: a systematic review" . European Journal of Futures Research . 5 (1): 15. doi :10.1007/s40309-017-0131-7 ISSN 2195-2248 . S2CID 9744177 . ^ Eerola, A.; Miles, I. (1 April 2011). "Methods and tools contributing to FTA: A knowledge-based perspective" . Futures . 43 (3): 265–278. doi :10.1016/j.futures.2010.11.005 . ISSN 0016-3287 . ^ Tagiew, Rustam; Witzler, Sebastian; Portier, Martin (14 July 2022). "Towards Assessing Digital Technologies for the Future of Mobility" . Social Science Research Network. SSRN 4151745 . ^ "Technology futures analysis: Toward integration of the field and new methods" . Technological Forecasting and Social Change . 71 (3): 287–303. 1 March 2004. doi :10.1016/j.techfore.2003.11.004 . ISSN 0040-1625 . S2CID 18904868 .^ Cagnin, Cristiano; Havas, Attila; Saritas, Ozcan (1 March 2013). "Future-oriented technology analysis: Its potential to address disruptive transformations" . Technological Forecasting and Social Change . 80 (3): 379–385. doi :10.1016/j.techfore.2012.10.001 . ISSN 0040-1625 . S2CID 60530892 . ^ "Technology futures analysis: Toward integration of the field and new methods" . Technological Forecasting and Social Change . 71 (3): 287–303. 1 March 2004. doi :10.1016/j.techfore.2003.11.004 . ISSN 0040-1625 . S2CID 18904868 . 
