2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
County results
Congressional district results
Municipality results
Precinct results
Trump
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Clinton
40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
90–100%
Tie/No Data
Treemap of the popular vote by county.
The 2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States elections in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.
On April 26, 2016, in the presidential primaries , voters selected the Democratic , Republican , and Green parties' respective nominees for president. Pennsylvania is a closed primary state, meaning voters must have been previously registered with a particular political party in order to vote for one of that parties' candidates, to participate in their respective party primary.[1]
In the general election, Donald Trump , the Republican nominee, won Pennsylvania by 44,292 votes out of more than 6 million cast, a margin of 0.72% and the narrowest margin in a presidential election since 1840 , when William Henry Harrison defeated Martin Van Buren by just 0.12%. Pennsylvania voted 2.82% more Republican than the nation-at-large, marking the first time since 1948 that Pennsylvania voted to the right of the nation.
Prior to the election, Pennsylvania was expected to be close as polling showed the results within the margin of error, but many election experts viewed that Clinton had an edge.[2] [3] However, on Election Day, Pennsylvania unexpectedly swung to Donald Trump. Trump carried 56 of the state's 67 counties, predominantly rural or suburban counties, while Clinton carried much of the Philadelphia metropolitan area as well as other cities including Pittsburgh , Harrisburg and Scranton . Nonetheless, some areas of traditional Democratic strength such as Luzerne County , where Wilkes-Barre is located, saw swings in margins of up to 25% toward Donald Trump, making him the first Republican nominee for president to win Pennsylvania since George H. W. Bush in 1988 .
Primaries
Democratic primary
Results of the Democratic primary by county. Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Republican primary
Republican primary results by county. 40–50%
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
Pennsylvania Republican primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
Actual delegate count
Bound
Unbound
Total
Donald Trump
902,593
56.61%
17
42
59
Ted Cruz
345,506
21.67%
0
4
4
John Kasich
310,003
19.44%
0
3
3
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
14,842
0.93%
0
0
0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
11,954
0.75%
0
0
0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
9,577
0.60%
0
0
0
Unprojected delegates:
0
5
5
Total:
1,594,475
100.00%
17
54
71
Source: The Green Papers
Green Party
Pennsylvania held a series of caucuses throughout April, culminating with a meeting on April 30 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania , where delegates were assigned.[4] [5]
Pennsylvania Green Party presidential caucuses, April 17, 2016
Candidate
Votes
Percentage
National delegates
Jill Stein
-
-
8
William Kreml
-
-
1
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry
-
-
-
Darryl Cherney
-
-
-
Kent Mesplay
-
-
-
Total
-
100.00%
9
Democratic National Convention
From July 25 to July 28, 2016, Philadelphia hosted the 2016 Democratic National Convention . It was held at the Wells Fargo Center with ancillary meetings at the Pennsylvania Convention Center . Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was chosen as the party's nominee for president by a 59.67% majority of delegates present at the convention roll call and then winning the nomination. While runner-up rival Senator Bernie Sanders received 39.16% of votes from delegates. Clinton becoming the first female candidate to be formally nominated by a major national party as a presidential candidate in the United States. Her running mate, Senator Tim Kaine , the junior United States senator from Virginia was chosen by delegates as the party's nominee for vice president by acclamation .
General election
Predictions
Statewide results
By congressional district
Trump won 12 of 18 congressional districts, including one which elected a Democrat, while Clinton won 6 including two that elected a Republican.[15]
By county
County[16]
Donald Trump Republican
Hillary Clinton Democratic
Gary Johnson Libertarian
Jill Stein Green
Darrell Castle Constitution
Various candidates Other parties
Margin
Total votes cast
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
#
%
Adams
31,423
65.48%
14,219
29.63%
1,251
2.61%
405
0.84%
191
0.40%
501
1.04%
17,204
35.85%
47,990
Allegheny
259,480
39.48%
367,617
55.94%
16,102
2.45%
5,097
0.78%
1,818
0.28%
7,075
1.08%
-108,137
-16.46%
657,189
Armstrong
23,484
73.70%
7,178
22.53%
685
2.15%
141
0.44%
130
0.41%
246
0.77%
16,306
51.17%
31,864
Beaver
48,167
57.03%
32,531
38.52%
2,022
2.39%
496
0.59%
355
0.42%
891
1.05%
15,636
18.51%
84,462
Bedford
19,552
82.59%
3,645
15.40%
260
1.10%
102
0.43%
78
0.33%
38
0.16%
15,907
67.19%
23,675
Berks
96,626
52.49%
78,437
42.61%
5,247
2.85%
1,974
1.07%
781
0.42%
1,020
0.55%
18,189
9.88%
184,085
Blair
39,135
70.72%
13,958
25.22%
1,256
2.27%
338
0.61%
222
0.40%
432
0.79%
25,177
45.50%
55,341
Bradford
18,141
69.81%
6,369
24.51%
893
3.44%
137
0.53%
168
0.65%
278
1.07%
11,772
45.30%
25,986
Bucks
164,361
47.64%
167,060
48.42%
8,556
2.48%
3,121
0.90%
1,199
0.35%
745
0.22%
-2,699
-0.78%
345,042
Butler
64,431
65.71%
28,586
29.15%
3,064
3.12%
615
0.63%
382
0.39%
973
0.99%
35,845
36.56%
98,051
Cambria
42,258
66.45%
18,867
29.67%
1,270
2.00%
413
0.65%
264
0.42%
517
0.81%
23,391
36.78%
63,589
Cameron
1,589
71.90%
531
24.03%
53
2.40%
6
0.27%
7
0.32%
24
1.09%
1,058
47.87%
2,210
Carbon
18,743
64.65%
8,936
30.82%
691
2.38%
265
0.91%
141
0.49%
217
0.75%
9,807
33.83%
28,993
Centre
35,274
45.63%
37,088
47.97%
2,644
3.42%
798
1.03%
344
0.44%
1,159
0.94%
-1,814
-2.34%
77,307
Chester
116,114
42.53%
141,682
51.90%
7,930
2.90%
2,247
0.82%
827
0.30%
4,198
1.54%
-25,568
-9.37%
272,998
Clarion
12,576
71.21%
4,273
24.20%
469
2.66%
115
0.65%
102
0.58%
125
0.71%
8,303
47.01%
17,660
Clearfield
24,932
72.16%
8,200
23.73%
776
2.25%
220
0.64%
143
0.41%
279
0.81%
16,732
48.43%
34,550
Clinton
10,022
64.64%
4,744
30.60%
470
3.03%
121
0.78%
37
0.24%
111
0.71%
5,278
34.04%
15,505
Columbia
18,004
63.16%
8,934
31.34%
883
3.10%
265
0.93%
142
0.50%
278
0.97%
9,070
31.82%
28,506
Crawford
24,987
66.08%
10,971
29.01%
1,046
2.77%
271
0.72%
217
0.57%
321
0.85%
14,016
37.07%
37,813
Cumberland
69,076
55.94%
47,085
38.13%
3,975
3.22%
939
0.76%
542
0.44%
1,869
1.51%
21,991
17.81%
123,486
Dauphin
60,863
46.18%
64,706
49.10%
3,498
2.65%
1,177
0.89%
628
0.48%
911
0.69%
-3,843
-2.92%
131,783
Delaware
110,667
36.97%
177,402
59.27%
5,992
2.00%
2,588
0.86%
985
0.33%
1,702
0.57%
-66,735
-22.30%
299,336
Elk
10,025
68.91%
3,853
26.49%
401
2.76%
79
0.54%
68
0.47%
121
0.83%
6,172
42.42%
14,547
Erie
60,069
48.01%
58,112
46.44%
3,871
3.09%
1,139
0.91%
488
0.39%
1,450
1.16%
1,957
1.57%
125,129
Fayette
34,590
63.94%
17,946
33.17%
853
1.58%
232
0.43%
146
0.27%
332
0.61%
16,644
30.77%
54,099
Forest
1,684
69.59%
626
25.87%
60
2.48%
19
0.79%
13
0.54%
18
0.74%
1,058
43.72%
2,420
Franklin
49,768
70.59%
17,465
24.77%
1,712
2.43%
450
0.64%
336
0.48%
775
1.10%
32,303
45.82%
70,506
Fulton
5,694
83.47%
912
13.37%
93
1.36%
37
0.54%
35
0.51%
51
0.75%
4,782
70.10%
6,822
Greene
10,849
68.37%
4,482
28.25%
284
1.79%
83
0.52%
66
0.42%
104
0.66%
6,367
40.12%
15,868
Huntingdon
14,494
72.96%
4,539
22.85%
425
2.14%
96
0.48%
152
0.77%
160
0.81%
9,955
50.11%
19,866
Indiana
24,888
65.29%
11,528
30.24%
936
2.46%
220
0.58%
198
0.52%
352
0.92%
13,360
35.05%
38,122
Jefferson
15,192
77.53%
3,650
18.63%
432
2.20%
110
0.56%
94
0.48%
117
0.60%
11,542
58.90%
19,595
Juniata
8,273
78.45%
1,821
17.27%
201
1.91%
71
0.67%
88
0.83%
91
0.86%
6,452
61.18%
10,545
Lackawanna
48,384
46.34%
51,983
49.79%
1,935
1.85%
896
0.86%
258
0.25%
948
0.91%
-3,599
-3.45%
104,404
Lancaster
137,914
56.33%
91,093
37.21%
8,555
3.49%
2,021
0.83%
1,529
0.62%
3,720
1.52%
46,821
19.12%
244,832
Lawrence
25,428
61.90%
14,009
34.11%
870
2.12%
248
0.60%
198
0.48%
323
0.79%
11,419
27.79%
41,076
Lebanon
40,525
64.84%
18,953
30.32%
1,647
2.64%
422
0.68%
298
0.48%
658
1.05%
21,572
34.52%
62,503
Lehigh
73,690
45.28%
81,324
49.97%
4,027
2.47%
1,402
0.86%
550
0.34%
1,740
1.07%
-7,634
-4.69%
162,733
Luzerne
78,688
57.90%
52,451
38.60%
2,339
1.72%
1,178
0.87%
327
0.24%
918
0.68%
26,237
19.30%
135,901
Lycoming
35,627
69.68%
13,020
25.46%
1,311
2.56%
384
0.75%
223
0.44%
566
1.11%
22,607
44.22%
51,131
McKean
11,635
70.67%
4,025
24.45%
408
2.48%
151
0.92%
77
0.47%
168
1.02%
7,610
46.22%
16,464
Mercer
31,544
59.70%
18,733
35.45%
1,370
2.59%
415
0.79%
247
0.47%
530
1.00%
12,811
24.25%
52,839
Mifflin
14,094
75.28%
3,877
20.71%
476
2.54%
80
0.43%
74
0.40%
120
0.64%
10,217
54.57%
18,721
Monroe
33,386
47.69%
33,918
48.45%
1,502
2.15%
758
1.08%
188
0.27%
256
0.36%
-532
-0.76%
70,008
Montgomery
162,731
37.10%
256,082
58.38%
10,934
2.49%
3,704
0.84%
1,236
0.28%
3,965
0.90%
-93,351
-21.28%
438,652
Montour
5,288
61.80%
2,857
33.39%
287
3.35%
73
0.85%
51
0.60%
0
0.00%
2,431
28.41%
8,556
Northampton
71,736
49.62%
66,275
45.84%
3,690
2.55%
1,371
0.95%
450
0.31%
1,047
0.72%
5,461
3.78%
144,569
Northumberland
25,427
68.89%
9,788
26.52%
931
2.52%
296
0.80%
180
0.49%
285
0.77%
15,639
42.37%
36,907
Perry
15,616
73.07%
4,632
21.67%
619
2.90%
163
0.76%
128
0.60%
213
1.00%
10,984
51.40%
21,371
Philadelphia
108,748
15.32%
584,025
82.30%
7,115
1.00%
6,679
0.94%
1,064
0.15%
1,987
0.28%
-475,277
-66.98%
709,618
Pike
16,061
61.06%
9,268
35.24%
494
1.88%
226
0.86%
71
0.27%
183
0.70%
6,793
25.82%
26,303
Potter
6,251
79.49%
1,302
16.56%
165
2.10%
35
0.45%
31
0.39%
80
1.01%
4,949
62.93%
7,864
Schuylkill
44,001
69.42%
16,770
26.46%
1,414
2.23%
449
0.71%
235
0.37%
516
0.81%
27,231
42.96%
63,385
Snyder
11,725
71.12%
4,002
24.28%
455
2.76%
111
0.67%
70
0.42%
123
0.75%
7,723
46.84%
16,486
Somerset
27,379
75.90%
7,376
20.45%
678
1.88%
166
0.46%
174
0.48%
300
0.83%
20,003
55.45%
36,073
Sullivan
2,291
72.68%
750
23.79%
65
2.06%
14
0.44%
16
0.51%
16
0.51%
1,541
48.89%
3,152
Susquehanna
12,891
67.69%
5,123
26.90%
568
2.98%
192
1.01%
89
0.47%
180
0.95%
7,768
40.79%
19,043
Tioga
13,614
73.56%
3,901
21.08%
548
2.96%
139
0.75%
123
0.66%
182
0.98%
9,713
52.48%
18,507
Union
10,622
60.02%
6,180
34.92%
450
2.54%
143
0.81%
73
0.41%
228
1.29%
4,442
25.43%
17,696
Venango
16,021
68.09%
6,309
26.81%
733
3.12%
149
0.63%
136
0.58%
182
0.77%
9,712
41.28%
23,530
Warren
12,477
67.06%
5,145
27.65%
549
2.95%
130
0.70%
133
0.71%
172
0.92%
7,332
39.41%
18,606
Washington
61,386
60.03%
36,322
35.52%
2,643
2.58%
733
0.72%
366
0.36%
817
0.80%
25,064
24.51%
102,267
Wayne
16,244
67.63%
7,008
29.18%
466
1.94%
206
0.86%
94
0.39%
0
0.00%
9,236
38.45%
24,018
Westmoreland
116,522
63.50%
59,669
32.52%
4,367
2.38%
936
0.51%
557
0.30%
1,441
0.79%
56,853
30.98%
183,492
Wyoming
8,837
66.63%
3,811
28.74%
323
2.44%
116
0.87%
57
0.43%
118
0.89%
5,026
37.89%
13,262
York
128,528
61.78%
68,524
32.94%
6,484
3.12%
1,568
0.75%
882
0.42%
2,043
0.98%
60,004
28.84%
208,029
Totals
2,970,742
48.17%
2,926,458
47.45%
146,719
2.38%
49,941
0.81%
21,572
0.35%
51,506
0.83%
44,284
0.72%
6,166,938
Swing by county
Democratic — +>15%
Democratic — +12.5-15%
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Democratic — +>15%
Democratic — +12.5-15%
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%
County flips
Democratic
Hold
Gain from Republican
Republican
Hold
Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Analysis
2016 would also be the first presidential election since 1948 in which the Democratic nominee won the popular vote without the state. Pennsylvania's vote for Donald Trump, along with that of Wisconsin and Michigan , marked the fall of the Democratic Blue Wall , a bloc of over 240 electoral votes that voted solidly Democratic from 1992 to 2012. Pennsylvania was one of the eleven states to have voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016. Although Wisconsin eventually delivered the Trump victory, when the Clinton campaign learned that they had lost Pennsylvania, they then knew that they had lost the election.[17] Trump became the first Republican ever to win the White House without carrying Chester or Dauphin Counties, as well as the first to do so without carrying Centre County since Benjamin Harrison in 1888 , and the first to do so without carrying Monroe County since Calvin Coolidge in 1924 . He also became the first Republican to win Pennsylvania without carrying any of Philadelphia's suburban counties.
See also
References
^ "About Voting and Elections" . Votespa.com. May 19, 2015. Archived from the original on April 8, 2016. Retrieved April 10, 2016 .
^ "Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein" . realclearpolitics.com. November 5, 2016.
^ "Clinton Has Solid Lead in Electoral College; Trump's Winning Map Is Unclear" . The New York Times . November 6, 2016. Retrieved October 30, 2018 . The final nonpartisan live interview polls there show Mrs. Clinton ahead by a comfortable margin of four to six points. The state will probably be close, but it's quite clear that she has the edge.
^ "2016 PA Green Party Caucus Information and Schedule" . Pennsylvania Green Party. April 9, 2016. Retrieved April 10, 2016 .
^ "#Greens, join us in caucusing and voting for our GP of PA Presidential Candidates in April" . Pennsylvania Green Party. April 9, 2016. Retrieved April 10, 2016 .
^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map" . CNN . Retrieved February 10, 2019 .
^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard" . The Cook Political Report . November 7, 2016. Retrieved February 10, 2019 .
^ "2016 Predicted Electoral Map" . Electoral-vote.com . Retrieved February 10, 2019 .
^ Todd, Chuck (November 7, 2016). "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton" . NBC News . Retrieved February 10, 2019 .
^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House" . RealClearPolitics . Retrieved February 10, 2019 .
^ "Presidential Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021 .
^ Sabato, Larry (November 7, 2016). "The Crystal Ball's 2016 Electoral College ratings" . University of Virginia Center for Politics . Retrieved February 10, 2019 .
^ Federal Election Commission (December 2017). "Federal Elections 2016" (PDF) . p. 39. Retrieved November 13, 2021 .
^ "Kathleen Monahan" . Ballotpedia . Retrieved November 13, 2021 .
^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index" . The Cook Political Report .
^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Pennsylvania" .
^ Burstein, Nanette (Director) (March 6, 2020). Episode 4 - Be Our Champion, Go Away (Documentary). Hillary . Hulu.
Further reading
External links
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